Informal-Knowledge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

Trades

276

lifetime

Volume

$1.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-09 16:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$63	40	40	+0	Down	+$13	05-12 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$46	26	26	+0	open	—	05-20 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	3	$46	32	21	+11	open	—	05-20 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	5	$42	74	0	+74	open	—	05-20 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$41	36	36	+0	open	—	05-20 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$41	26	26	+0	open	—	05-14 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$36	32	16	+16	open	—	05-20 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$35	25	25	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	5	$34	30	15	+15	open	—	05-20 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	3	$26	36	6	+29	open	—	05-20 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$25	31	31	+0	open	—	06-03 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	05-19 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	05-01 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$23	47	0	+47	open	—	05-20 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$21	18	18	+0	open	—	05-01 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	05-20 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$20	44	0	+44	open	—	05-20 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$20	28	0	+28	open	—	05-19 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	05-20 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	05-20 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	05-19 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	05-20 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	05-19 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	05-19 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	05-19 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	05-20 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-19 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$6	05-13 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$16	12	12	+0	Down	+$6	05-13 21:46
btc updown 5m 1777041300	1	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	04-24 14:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:29:09	btc updown 5m 1781022300	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf9285f…
06-09 15:14:18	btc updown 5m 1781017800	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x351e18…
06-08 23:24:04	btc updown 5m 1780960800	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x7eb633…
06-07 23:53:22	btc updown 5m 1780876200	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x85ba4e…
06-07 22:54:04	btc updown 5m 1780872600	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x0e181d…
06-07 22:18:12	btc updown 5m 1780870500	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xeec1a6…
06-07 19:38:46	btc updown 5m 1780860900	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x83fe78…
06-07 13:09:01	btc updown 5m 1780837500	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x73c6e4…
06-07 07:24:12	btc updown 5m 1780816800	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x2d0786…
06-07 06:44:13	btc updown 5m 1780814400	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x4b6ece…
06-06 23:19:16	btc updown 5m 1780787700	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x251e17…
06-06 14:09:10	btc updown 5m 1780754700	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc133eb…
06-06 08:14:07	btc updown 5m 1780733400	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x12e6cb…
06-06 05:44:09	btc updown 5m 1780724400	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x3dfba4…
06-06 04:27:22	btc updown 5m 1780719900	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x0d9c9e…
06-06 00:01:24	btc updown 5m 1780704000	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe97984…
06-05 23:17:10	btc updown 5m 1780701300	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x7a745e…
06-05 23:03:22	btc updown 5m 1780700400	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x6e1237…
06-05 22:42:46	btc updown 5m 1780699200	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6a0cce…
06-05 22:27:49	btc updown 5m 1780698300	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x96fdb9…
06-05 22:23:04	btc updown 5m 1780698000	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8e1db0…
06-05 21:06:43	btc updown 5m 1780693500	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x2c83d2…
06-05 20:52:48	btc updown 5m 1780692600	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x00983f…
06-05 20:36:13	btc updown 5m 1780691700	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xf8149b…
06-05 20:21:19	btc updown 5m 1780690800	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x012263…
06-05 20:15:34	btc updown 5m 1780690500	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xd6c9fc…
06-05 20:11:04	btc updown 5m 1780690200	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x5c97b9…
06-05 19:53:55	btc updown 5m 1780689000	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xfb9439…
06-05 19:38:01	btc updown 5m 1780688100	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb66289…
06-05 19:21:34	btc updown 5m 1780687200	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xcb245e…
06-05 19:14:10	btc updown 5m 1780686600	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x1a66e8…
06-05 19:00:43	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x2c8dad…
06-05 18:17:45	btc updown 5m 1780683300	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xe70a96…
06-05 17:49:21	btc updown 5m 1780681500	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xc5f300…
06-05 17:42:40	btc updown 5m 1780681200	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x44eb75…
06-05 16:57:54	btc updown 5m 1780678500	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xb8ec81…
06-05 16:57:54	btc updown 5m 1780678500	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x153ffe…
06-05 16:50:42	btc updown 5m 1780678200	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xe6bd6f…
06-05 16:37:25	btc updown 5m 1780677300	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xd69754…
06-05 14:16:30	btc updown 5m 1780668900	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xaf7ef9…
06-05 14:04:09	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x68f5f6…
06-05 13:51:28	btc updown 5m 1780667400	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x01d04f…
06-05 13:36:21	btc updown 5m 1780666500	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0xa1acb0…
06-05 10:34:24	btc updown 5m 1780655400	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0x21bf06…
06-05 10:04:22	btc updown 5m 1780653600	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x9210eb…
06-05 09:15:12	btc updown 5m 1780650900	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0xafd48c…
06-04 21:38:18	btc updown 5m 1780608900	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3e342b…
06-03 10:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xcfa0d1…
06-03 10:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x47eb32…
06-03 10:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xb57ecf…
06-03 10:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x4fa7ae…
06-03 10:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x0f086f…
06-03 09:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x423355…
06-03 09:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x30f06a…
06-03 09:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	18	26¢	$5	0x99cea2…
06-03 09:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x49c92a…
06-03 09:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x8ee3d9…
06-03 09:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xfaaea4…
06-03 08:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x165e30…
06-03 08:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xc6ec9d…
05-20 15:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbd32aa…
05-20 15:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfa9bdb…
05-20 15:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4f9b01…
05-20 15:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd9b5a4…
05-20 15:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xe51c10…
05-20 15:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf342f0…
05-20 14:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x462fdf…
05-20 14:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xdc7343…
05-20 14:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xbd7c62…
05-20 14:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	32	55¢	$18	0x380430…
05-20 14:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x032ece…
05-20 14:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x475b10…
05-20 14:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x3a98ae…
05-20 14:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x9e0f57…
05-20 14:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x5b8332…
05-20 13:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xf18a5a…
05-20 13:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x24aaee…
05-20 13:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xe28454…
05-20 13:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb6b556…
05-20 13:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x610a25…
05-20 13:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x0363bf…
05-20 13:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x55df1c…
05-20 12:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x0a62ea…
05-20 12:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x3e63b6…
05-20 12:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xd27d2e…
05-20 12:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x9c14c9…
05-20 12:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xda7b77…
05-20 12:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x148919…
05-20 12:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0xd1dc18…
05-20 12:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x19cc5c…
05-20 11:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x84836a…
05-20 11:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x391c64…
05-20 11:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x4953f7…
05-20 10:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x9642bd…
05-20 10:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0xa95047…
05-20 10:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x881845…
05-20 10:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xa942f1…
05-20 10:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xebb218…
05-20 10:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x0c2750…
05-20 10:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	36	60¢	$21	0x5df318…