Informal-Knowledge — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.9%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

16 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$85

$85 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-15 01:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$20	0	25	-25	Down	$-5	05-13 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$15	16	0	+16	Down	+$1	05-13 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$11	0	11	-11	Down	$-0	05-13 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-14 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-14 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-13 04:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-13 07:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-13 04:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$3	17	0	+17	Down	+$14	05-12 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-3	05-13 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-3	05-13 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$1	9	0	+9	Down	$-1	05-12 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-14 02:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$1	11	0	+11	Down	$-1	05-13 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-11 14:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 01:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x9fd4d2…
05-14 12:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7383a6…
05-14 11:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8aa3aa…
05-14 02:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc7ab40…
05-13 22:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x73c296…
05-13 22:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0x4a862c…
05-13 22:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x282c42…
05-13 21:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0648f7…
05-13 20:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x9d341f…
05-13 19:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xc82a31…
05-13 07:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0ebd28…
05-13 04:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x8cdb2c…
05-13 04:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1bf35c…
05-12 01:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x699257…
05-12 00:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0xae910a…
05-11 14:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc95be6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	16	$2.92K	123	05-15 01:45
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	16	$711	176	05-15 01:43
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	15	$5.39K	63	05-15 01:40
Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55	15	$694	78	05-15 01:43
Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579	15	$597	67	05-15 01:43
Outlandish-Dragon-Curler 0x218f…17bc	14	$1.03K	119	05-14 12:44
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	14	$988	94	05-14 12:42
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	13	$1.10K	90	05-14 02:21