Tough-Poppy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$182

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 07-16 06:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

42% 100% +$0

Sports

26% — —

Other

22% 100% +$0

Crypto

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl edm sj 2026 02 28	1	$11	19	+19	open	—	02-28 11:04
btc updown 5m 1773462600	1	$11	21	+21	open	—	03-13 14:18
will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 5	1	$10	21	+21	open	—	03-18 06:03
wta andreev mboko 2026 03 23	1	$10	19	+19	open	—	03-23 08:05
nhl pit ott 2026 03 26	1	$9	21	+21	open	—	03-26 04:28
bitcoin up or down on march 2	1	$7	14	+14	open	—	03-01 09:58
nba lac ind 2026 03 27	1	$7	29	+29	open	—	03-27 07:05
highest temperature in paris on march 29 2026 13c	1	$7	44	+44	open	—	03-28 10:54
j1100 gam fag 2026 04 19 gam	1	$6	11	+11	open	—	04-19 06:02
highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 15c	1	$6	10	+10	open	—	03-03 07:28
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$6	8	+8	open	—	06-14 06:25
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	1	$6	9	+9	open	—	04-01 06:57
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-13 06:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	05-02 10:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	04-26 07:43
nba cle det 2026 02 27 spread home 6pt5	1	$6	11	+11	open	—	02-27 11:03
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-28 07:57
nba lac mem 2026 03 07	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	03-07 09:47
iran successfully targets shipping on july 2 20260625225210243	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	07-02 02:53
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	06-27 07:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-22 07:53
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$5	6	+6	Hanwha Life Esports	+$0	05-06 09:30
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	06-15 06:09
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	07-11 04:20
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	07-16 06:31
nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	1	$5	11	+11	open	—	03-09 08:16
nhl lak nyr 2026 03 16	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	03-16 06:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	1	$5	14	+14	open	—	04-09 06:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 06:31:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0ea0a1…
07-11 04:20:14	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x26a782…
07-02 02:53:34	iran successfully targets shipping on july 2 20260625225210243	No	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0xae2cee…
06-27 07:33:11	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb5a6aa…
06-15 06:09:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x0ebc9e…
06-14 06:25:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x63aa89…
05-28 07:57:15	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x5c488b…
05-22 07:53:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xa654ea…
05-13 06:03:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x79fd0a…
05-06 09:30:58	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x23683b…
05-02 10:32:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xc0c9e6…
04-26 07:43:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xca40c7…
04-19 06:02:38	j1100 gam fag 2026 04 19 gam	Yes	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x5c64da…
04-09 06:45:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb43210…
04-01 06:57:41	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xec3803…
03-28 10:54:53	highest temperature in paris on march 29 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	44	15¢	$7	0x9a8c45…
03-27 07:05:39	nba lac ind 2026 03 27	Pacers	BUY	29	23¢	$7	0x200850…
03-26 04:28:49	nhl pit ott 2026 03 26	Penguins	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x4cd9c0…
03-23 08:05:11	wta andreev mboko 2026 03 23	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x4edbb9…
03-18 06:03:15	will the emmanuel grgoire list win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 paris municipal election by 5	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xef05a9…
03-16 06:59:21	nhl lak nyr 2026 03 16	Kings	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0e30fa…
03-13 14:18:55	btc updown 5m 1773462600	Up	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0xfd6e45…
03-09 08:16:33	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Clippers	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x543946…
03-07 09:47:35	nba lac mem 2026 03 07	Clippers	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0x2a7f47…
03-03 07:28:53	highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 15c	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x7ae82d…
03-01 09:58:01	bitcoin up or down on march 2	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x418060…
02-28 11:04:35	nhl edm sj 2026 02 28	Oilers	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0xdea718…
02-27 11:03:05	nba cle det 2026 02 27 spread home 6pt5	Pistons	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x5260b5…