Vast-Legend — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

Trades

220

lifetime

Volume

$8.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 05-19 05:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% — —

Politics

36% 67% +$1

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	10	$497	260	260	+0	No	$-0	05-08 15:06
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	7	$447	231	231	+0	open	—	04-03 14:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	10	$378	425	332	+93	open	—	05-09 04:23
will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$289	146	146	+0	open	—	04-08 23:47
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	11	$286	329	329	+0	No	+$0	04-18 23:43
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	5	$284	150	150	+0	open	—	04-13 22:17
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$258	133	133	+0	open	—	04-10 12:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	5	$252	135	135	+0	open	—	05-06 09:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	8	$250	271	271	+0	No	+$1	05-10 23:29
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	8	$201	177	177	+0	open	—	04-12 18:22
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$167	92	92	+0	open	—	03-25 14:50
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	2	$165	126	126	+0	open	—	03-26 02:06
will the uk join the board of peace	2	$163	82	82	+0	open	—	03-30 22:57
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	2	$162	88	88	+0	open	—	03-30 15:56
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 440 459	2	$162	86	86	+0	open	—	03-20 15:07
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	2	$162	82	82	+0	open	—	03-31 06:44
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$161	84	84	+0	open	—	03-28 17:22
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$157	82	82	+0	open	—	04-04 15:32
military action against iran ends on march 29 2026	6	$152	244	244	+0	open	—	03-27 06:59
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	2	$152	79	79	+0	open	—	03-25 07:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$149	81	81	+0	open	—	04-21 04:45
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 180 199	3	$149	76	76	+0	open	—	03-31 14:55
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	3	$146	74	74	+0	open	—	03-28 02:39
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	2	$146	78	78	+0	open	—	03-26 07:26
will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$144	73	73	+0	open	—	04-08 09:06
will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$144	73	73	+0	open	—	04-10 18:16
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$144	75	75	+0	open	—	04-11 22:17
will si woo kim win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$144	73	73	+0	open	—	04-08 02:39
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	2	$142	74	74	+0	open	—	04-13 03:19
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	3	$142	72	72	+0	open	—	04-12 08:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 05:23:39	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	48	5¢	$2	0x2670c9…
05-18 22:25:20	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x12f940…
05-13 10:59:43	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x2bc98f…
05-13 10:59:43	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0x2966fb…
05-13 10:59:43	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$1	0x237239…
05-13 03:27:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0xa2043f…
05-13 03:26:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x9fced4…
05-12 15:02:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x8daf24…
05-12 13:35:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x8b0f90…
05-11 20:47:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	128	3¢	$4	0x411d7c…
05-11 17:59:05	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	3¢	$3	0x79f653…
05-11 17:59:05	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x3954ff…
05-11 13:17:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0xc78fe9…
05-11 11:18:13	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	65	96¢	$63	0x310b89…
05-10 23:29:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0xb039d4…
05-10 19:37:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0x1ac0fa…
05-10 07:04:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	4¢	$6	0x90c4f1…
05-10 05:37:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	4¢	$2	0xbac1eb…
05-10 05:37:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x3b7b46…
05-10 05:37:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x0d2851…
05-09 11:44:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	65	96¢	$62	0x648270…
05-09 10:29:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	65	96¢	$63	0x7a6300…
05-09 04:23:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	58	98¢	$57	0xc3cb58…
05-09 01:31:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0x1f4a1a…
05-08 15:06:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0x9f81e8…
05-08 12:55:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0x889f3c…
05-08 09:22:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	64	96¢	$62	0x21bbcd…
05-08 06:42:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0xd2f6e3…
05-07 20:45:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	123	3¢	$3	0x396e72…
05-07 20:45:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$0	0xdacd46…
05-07 19:38:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	142	4¢	$6	0xec1baf…
05-07 04:20:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	93	3¢	$3	0xd378a4…
05-07 00:53:17	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	62	94¢	$58	0xac666a…
05-06 21:09:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0xff42f8…
05-06 18:35:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	68	95¢	$64	0xc6c11d…
05-06 16:58:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	68	95¢	$64	0x70f6b3…
05-06 09:57:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	68	86¢	$58	0xf55d55…
05-06 04:59:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	68	95¢	$64	0xadb6b1…
05-05 14:44:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	67	96¢	$64	0xbfdd17…
05-05 11:44:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xe3dfce…
05-05 11:44:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xddaf7a…
05-03 20:16:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	46	94¢	$43	0x621f0e…
05-03 20:16:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0x340a75…
05-03 16:44:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x1342e1…
05-03 16:43:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xc3b922…
05-03 10:59:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	67	96¢	$64	0x645136…
05-03 09:39:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	67	96¢	$64	0x4220fd…
04-30 20:31:28	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0x12b52c…
04-30 15:15:36	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x6bad29…
04-30 11:45:36	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x1c446a…
04-30 09:54:50	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	71	97¢	$69	0x3db74c…
04-29 11:54:00	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	148	2¢	$4	0x10ca32…
04-29 10:08:12	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	68	3¢	$2	0x87ee97…
04-29 10:08:12	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$2	0x2aa964…
04-28 02:04:24	Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xc30ab4…
04-27 20:37:46	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xba774c…
04-27 20:37:46	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0xa353ad…
04-27 18:44:56	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	66	96¢	$63	0xaea53a…
04-27 12:25:32	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	SELL	97	2¢	$2	0x96e369…
04-27 10:46:44	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	BUY	97	2¢	$2	0x450c04…
04-26 23:23:26	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9ec142…
04-26 23:23:26	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x33bec2…
04-26 19:22:00	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0xb883f4…
04-26 15:10:08	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0xa3bd6d…
04-26 15:10:08	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x41b53e…
04-26 12:00:32	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x29e50e…
04-26 07:54:46	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0x41b365…
04-26 03:39:18	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x33f692…
04-25 07:57:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	141	5¢	$7	0x44486a…
04-25 05:32:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	94	5¢	$4	0xc457c4…
04-25 05:32:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	47	5¢	$2	0x7c90b9…
04-24 17:03:54	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	64	98¢	$63	0x7859a0…
04-24 14:08:28	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0x721f70…
04-24 02:26:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	156	6¢	$10	0x638783…
04-24 00:23:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	BUY	156	7¢	$11	0x48cd3c…
04-23 11:45:00	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	32	91¢	$29	0xe6f5ae…
04-23 11:45:00	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	38	91¢	$34	0x34ed4a…
04-23 08:35:32	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0xc6af50…
04-23 03:46:22	Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xeef09d…
04-23 03:46:22	Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0x78b607…
04-23 00:59:14	Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x5d1ab5…
04-22 18:49:58	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	64	98¢	$63	0x8a1130…
04-22 18:49:58	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x63a03d…
04-22 17:15:18	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xb563cd…
04-21 19:38:40	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	70	95¢	$66	0x2d9701…
04-21 15:15:12	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0xedd7e7…
04-21 10:16:46	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xeca56a…
04-21 10:16:46	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x3f0e93…
04-21 07:21:14	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0xaad555…
04-21 04:45:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0xc11de9…
04-21 04:45:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	68	91¢	$62	0x2b319e…
04-21 02:48:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	81	93¢	$75	0x422120…
04-20 21:41:56	Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x3dc03b…
04-20 21:41:56	Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x1902e1…
04-20 20:34:32	Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	1¢	$1	0xcf4001…
04-20 20:34:32	Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	1¢	$1	0x4b33f9…
04-20 18:09:40	Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0x91dd5e…
04-20 18:09:40	Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0x7cf8bd…
04-20 12:18:50	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	73	93¢	$68	0x5c856b…
04-20 09:49:12	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	73	94¢	$68	0xa6cbe2…