Bowed-Pelt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

592

lifetime

Volume

$5.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-11 18:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 100% +$1

Other

16% 100% +$0

Sports

13% — —

Politics

8% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	37	$228	157	157	+0	open	—	03-11 14:20
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	22	$160	106	106	-0	open	—	03-20 02:59
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	12	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	02-28 09:54
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	14	$86	46	46	+0	open	—	03-19 09:46
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	12	$65	52	52	+0	open	—	02-23 13:02
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$56	29	29	+0	open	—	03-06 00:25
GTA VI released before June 2026?	6	$46	24	24	+0	open	—	03-04 22:16
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	6	$46	24	24	+0	open	—	02-19 15:15
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	02-19 22:05
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	6	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	01-29 16:13
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	8	$44	25	25	+0	open	—	02-10 22:53
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	6	$41	29	29	+0	open	—	02-01 13:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	5	$39	26	42	-15	Yes	+$9	02-17 23:45
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	8	$38	30	30	+0	open	—	02-03 17:18
bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	03-09 16:03
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	5	$36	25	25	+0	open	—	02-14 19:41
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	02-16 23:04
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	4	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	03-05 10:21
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$32	18	18	+0	open	—	02-10 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	2	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	05-14 18:57
mwoh swe ita 2026 02 11	3	$26	17	10	+7	open	—	02-11 20:54
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$26	16	10	+6	open	—	02-26 09:18
nba was bos 2026 03 14	2	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	03-14 19:16
bitcoin up or down march 8 10pm et	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	03-09 03:40
bitcoin up or down march 9 9pm et	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	03-10 01:58
bitcoin up or down march 9 12am et	2	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	03-09 04:56
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	7	$22	48	0	+48	open	—	02-01 03:17
lol g2 tsw 2026 03 16	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-16 19:29
bitcoin up or down march 4 8pm et	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-05 04:04
bitcoin up or down march 9 4am et	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-09 08:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 18:02:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0xfaa9fa…
06-11 02:38:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5baac8…
06-11 01:38:09	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x0b846f…
06-11 00:48:19	mlb min det 2026 06 10	Detroit Tigers	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x0b5d33…
06-10 04:54:15	mlb cin sd 2026 06 09 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xdb7a69…
06-10 00:55:39	mlb chc col 2026 06 09 total 12pt5	Over	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xd75479…
06-09 23:40:16	mlb ari mia 2026 06 09 total 10pt5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x66ad23…
06-09 01:42:28	mlb cin sd 2026 06 08	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x5daf59…
06-09 01:41:10	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 08	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	10	67¢	$6	0x9a16e4…
06-07 21:22:31	mlb laa lad 2026 06 07 total 11pt5	Over	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xb72dc4…
06-07 19:22:45	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x9a4fb3…
06-06 02:29:49	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 217pt5	Over	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x151200…
06-06 02:29:43	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 217pt5	Over	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe2b221…
06-05 01:23:57	mlb oak chc 2026 06 04	Athletics	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9c8ddc…
06-04 04:10:36	mlb lad ari 2026 06 03 total 10pt5	Under	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x733366…
06-04 02:02:33	mlb pit hou 2026 06 03 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xc8171b…
06-03 01:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x17d382…
06-01 21:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff1aee…
06-01 10:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x205e19…
06-01 01:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x46da2e…
05-31 20:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb488d0…
05-31 19:07:07	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xbbe8e3…
05-31 19:06:51	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95d30c…
05-31 07:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x551100…
05-30 10:01:39	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x95ce37…
05-30 05:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfe162a…
05-29 21:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa92b18…
05-29 20:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x1463b5…
05-29 03:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xce39cc…
05-28 16:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3e36de…
05-27 20:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc822ec…
05-27 01:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xb369e9…
05-26 08:47:30	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x297497…
05-25 19:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe400ac…
05-22 11:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x9c7d23…
05-21 10:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa6fb7b…
05-20 07:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xde3cbe…
05-20 05:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2959a3…
05-19 22:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0xf74456…
05-19 20:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf8674f…
05-19 07:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x33d274…
05-19 01:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb811fd…
05-18 11:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4a1041…
05-18 07:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x2f8593…
05-18 03:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x19dde3…
05-18 01:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0xb30f89…
05-17 21:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xeed535…
05-17 03:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfc85a8…
05-17 01:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x743836…
05-16 10:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd51ced…
05-16 09:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb63875…
05-16 06:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x298d14…
05-15 19:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0cc451…
05-15 14:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x9dddfb…
05-15 12:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd818d1…
05-15 09:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xae04a6…
05-15 07:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5e142f…
05-15 06:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x09f973…
05-15 03:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf5ca02…
05-15 02:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x463492…
05-14 23:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x27b585…
05-14 18:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	16	72¢	$12	0x6f4bef…
05-14 18:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xb7a479…
05-14 15:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x34d129…
05-14 03:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0692d5…
05-13 23:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x995f35…
05-13 18:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x5e95b1…
05-13 18:03:33	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xf8caba…
04-26 13:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xebfee8…
04-26 03:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2de2f6…
04-25 13:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x11e56d…
04-25 11:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x1f4b76…
04-25 11:12:32	Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-04-25?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xb6cf46…
04-25 01:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe495f8…
04-24 23:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x1dd392…
04-24 16:50:08	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x99b360…
04-24 11:50:08	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdb6848…
04-24 10:50:36	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x6fd8e3…
04-24 05:56:10	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe26a4f…
04-24 03:50:26	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x219ade…
04-23 14:50:54	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x707115…
04-23 09:52:08	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe605d2…
04-23 05:57:02	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x678a5e…
04-23 02:51:22	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0df412…
04-23 00:55:50	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x76f2c3…
04-22 22:50:18	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x6d8fa5…
04-22 20:55:10	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7921a1…
04-22 19:55:14	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf97a1c…
04-22 17:54:52	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb3ab56…
04-22 13:53:02	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x50ce56…
04-21 23:50:40	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a8471…
04-21 20:50:08	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8a6522…
04-21 17:55:00	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x9d96a4…
04-21 12:50:16	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2cac90…
04-21 11:50:08	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9210ed…
04-21 09:50:14	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb1a30e…
04-21 06:51:02	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3082a9…
04-20 21:50:08	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8b0acf…
04-20 19:57:34	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x123231…
04-20 14:55:20	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xb950a6…