Wary-Antecedent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 05-28 10:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 100% +$1

Other

28% — —

Politics

18% 100% +$1

Sports

5% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$260	266	+266	open	—	03-19 18:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$259	260	+260	No	+$1	05-11 10:01
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	1	$222	222	+222	open	—	04-17 10:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	1	$215	215	+215	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:20
bitcoin above 66k on march 25	1	$200	200	+200	open	—	03-25 12:22
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$195	205	+205	open	—	02-10 01:44
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$150	152	+152	open	—	03-22 20:28
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	1	$150	150	+150	open	—	04-18 20:26
bitcoin above 60k on april 7	1	$150	150	+150	open	—	04-06 21:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$145	145	+145	No	+$0	05-05 11:16
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	1	$140	140	+140	open	—	03-30 20:22
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	1	$135	135	+135	open	—	04-06 21:11
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	1	$130	130	+130	open	—	04-22 19:44
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 400 419	1	$125	125	+125	open	—	04-18 20:30
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$120	132	+132	open	—	03-20 09:52
bitcoin above 70k on april 23	1	$120	120	+120	open	—	04-22 19:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	04-28 09:41
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	03-29 19:18
nba okc was 2026 03 21	1	$110	115	+115	open	—	03-21 18:00
bitcoin above 72k on march 30	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	03-29 19:20
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	04-22 19:45
bitcoin above 76k on april 7	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	04-06 21:03
nba bos mem 2026 03 20	1	$105	115	+115	open	—	03-20 09:51
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 0 39	1	$100	101	+101	open	—	03-21 17:59
ethereum above 2600 on april 17	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-17 10:30
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-18 20:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	1	$85	85	+85	open	—	05-28 10:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	1	$70	70	+70	open	—	04-28 09:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$60	60	+60	open	—	04-28 09:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$55	55	+55	open	—	04-28 09:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 10:10:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x7b5032…
05-28 10:03:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x3e3867…
05-16 10:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8d2534…
05-16 10:42:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc7e6d0…
05-11 10:12:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x798637…
05-11 10:06:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x327989…
05-11 10:05:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdc5a8b…
05-11 10:04:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5b4937…
05-11 10:03:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x680ea1…
05-11 10:01:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0x6025a9…
05-05 11:21:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x16f387…
05-05 11:20:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe0e7b9…
05-05 11:20:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x55e1d0…
05-05 11:17:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xea8875…
05-05 11:16:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xbee673…
04-28 09:43:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x43d4b3…
04-28 09:41:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x91745b…
04-28 09:40:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x0a4f1c…
04-28 09:40:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x0bfb23…
04-28 09:39:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xaee451…
04-28 09:38:42	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa7e158…
04-22 19:48:34	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x979736…
04-22 19:47:50	Madrid Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Royer	Alejandro Tabilo	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x325fc0…
04-22 19:47:20	bitcoin above 70k on april 23	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x5a334d…
04-22 19:45:14	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xf6fc56…
04-22 19:44:46	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x5aa99a…
04-18 20:30:50	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 400 419	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x5c5f78…
04-18 20:30:06	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x5dd71f…
04-18 20:28:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5f5392…
04-18 20:27:54	Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7ab974…
04-18 20:26:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x87f73a…
04-18 20:26:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xdf4333…
04-17 11:12:34	Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcee3cf…
04-17 10:32:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa71402…
04-17 10:31:16	Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaccf71…
04-17 10:30:36	ethereum above 2600 on april 17	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x278268…
04-17 10:28:42	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x0b411d…
04-17 10:28:40	bitcoin above 72k on april 17	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x90aa39…
04-17 10:27:14	btc updown 5m 1776421500	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe1525f…
04-17 10:27:00	atp medjedo borges 2026 04 16	Hamad Medjedovic	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xd80f8b…
04-17 10:24:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb69b70…
04-06 21:11:27	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xc27717…
04-06 21:09:13	highest temperature in london on april 8 2026 15c	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6e0894…
04-06 21:07:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x481568…
04-06 21:04:33	will bitcoin dip to 67k on april 6	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf3d08d…
04-06 21:03:25	bitcoin above 76k on april 7	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x83ba48…
04-06 21:02:23	bitcoin above 60k on april 7	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x49e834…
04-06 20:59:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x4f1807…
04-06 20:58:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x402a96…
04-06 20:58:19	cs2 uno alkaa 2026 04 06	UNO MILLE	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x03540c…
04-06 20:56:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x806690…
04-06 20:55:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x32cfdf…
03-30 20:22:39	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x31585c…
03-29 19:21:12	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3aa17c…
03-29 19:20:34	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xece6b5…
03-29 19:18:30	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xfbcac7…
03-26 20:24:37	nba chi okc 2026 03 27	Thunder	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xaf935f…
03-26 20:22:49	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xe71016…
03-26 20:20:27	highest temperature in wellington on march 28 2026 13corbelow	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x07cf07…
03-25 12:22:47	btc updown 5m 1774441200	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xdd3d46…
03-25 12:22:15	bitcoin above 66k on march 25	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x7efd35…
03-25 12:15:03	nba lal ind 2026 03 25	Lakers	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x7787ef…
03-25 12:10:29	btc updown 5m 1774440600	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe380de…
03-22 20:28:35	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x172851…
03-22 20:23:39	btc updown 5m 1774210800	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe89b02…
03-21 18:00:49	nba okc was 2026 03 21	Thunder	BUY	115	96¢	$110	0x2bd09f…
03-21 17:59:53	btc updown 5m 1774115700	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe9f68f…
03-21 17:59:27	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 0 39	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xfc5eb8…
03-20 09:52:33	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	132	91¢	$120	0xfa5583…
03-20 09:51:53	btc updown 5m 1774000200	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xf23005…
03-20 09:51:27	nba bos mem 2026 03 20	Celtics	BUY	115	91¢	$105	0x5c1008…
03-19 18:42:37	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	266	98¢	$260	0xc9cdf6…
03-19 18:40:25	btc updown 5m 1773945300	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5ce172…
03-19 18:38:45	btc updown 5m 1773945300	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3599b3…
02-10 01:44:39	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xce35f9…
02-09 08:41:49	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xe3b3d8…