Known-Priority — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$330

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$5.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 06-14 15:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 59% $-464

Politics

25% 100% +$14

Sports

6% 100% +$119

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	6	$525	677	0	+677	Down	$-525	05-05 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	6	$510	590	590	+0	Down	$-290	05-05 16:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$484	298	298	+0	open	—	05-08 09:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$484	258	258	+0	No	+$14	05-10 10:32
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	3	$354	244	244	+0	Yes	+$119	05-06 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$300	498	0	+498	Up	+$198	05-05 16:16
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$245	144	144	+0	open	—	04-12 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$205	157	157	+0	Up	+$105	05-05 18:35
btc updown 5m 1781372700	4	$146	229	194	+34	open	—	06-13 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$135	99	99	+0	Down	+$45	05-05 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$108	59	59	+0	Down	+$8	05-05 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$107	58	58	+0	Up	+$7	05-05 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$106	238	238	+0	Down	+$6	05-05 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	4	$103	100	68	+32	Up	$-17	05-05 16:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$100	116	0	+116	open	—	04-12 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$98	126	70	+56	Down	+$3	05-05 17:39
btc updown 5m 1781373300	1	$95	0	96	-96	open	—	06-13 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	4	$94	82	82	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	3	$87	61	61	+0	Up	+$7	05-05 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$82	109	68	+41	Down	$-18	05-05 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$80	98	42	+55	Down	$-20	05-05 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$70	51	51	+0	Up	+$30	05-05 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$70	42	42	+0	Down	+$14	05-05 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	3	$65	542	42	+500	Down	+$9	05-05 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$59	71	71	+0	Up	+$9	05-05 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$52	40	40	+0	Up	+$12	05-05 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$51	125	125	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$51	62	62	+0	Up	+$11	05-05 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$51	111	111	+0	Up	+$11	05-05 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$49	48	48	+0	Down	+$9	05-05 21:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 15:18:40	btc updown 5m 1781450100	Up	BUY	37	10¢	$4	0x9e8e87…
06-14 15:18:13	btc updown 5m 1781450100	Down	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x4b1bb1…
06-14 15:18:00	btc updown 5m 1781450100	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xd566e3…
06-14 15:17:33	btc updown 5m 1781450100	Up	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0xb685a4…
06-14 15:17:16	btc updown 5m 1781450100	Up	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xd36e3f…
06-14 15:16:55	btc updown 5m 1781450100	Down	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x70168e…
06-14 15:15:45	btc updown 5m 1781450100	Down	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0xca0fac…
06-14 15:14:04	btc updown 5m 1781449800	Up	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0xe351c1…
06-14 15:13:46	btc updown 5m 1781449800	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x9af299…
06-14 15:13:18	btc updown 5m 1781449800	Up	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x44b2cf…
06-14 15:12:48	btc updown 5m 1781449800	Up	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x849cd2…
06-14 15:12:24	btc updown 5m 1781449800	Up	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0x543e6e…
06-14 15:11:52	btc updown 5m 1781449800	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xbc7ecc…
06-14 15:11:22	btc updown 5m 1781449800	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xa8cde8…
06-14 15:10:49	btc updown 5m 1781449800	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1cd666…
06-14 15:08:06	btc updown 5m 1781449500	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x331e9c…
06-14 15:07:39	btc updown 5m 1781449500	Up	SELL	52	27¢	$14	0xb0ca98…
06-14 15:06:58	btc updown 5m 1781449500	Up	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0x3bdf9c…
06-14 15:03:18	btc updown 5m 1781449200	Down	BUY	1,865	1¢	$19	0x52fe99…
06-13 21:36:40	btc updown 5m 1781386500	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x668bd2…
06-13 18:00:58	btc updown 5m 1781373300	Down	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0xf777f5…
06-13 17:51:45	btc updown 5m 1781373000	Up	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x6be288…
06-13 17:49:13	btc updown 5m 1781372700	Up	SELL	130	19¢	$24	0x84c5b4…
06-13 17:49:09	btc updown 5m 1781372700	Up	BUY	165	18¢	$30	0x8d300c…
06-13 17:47:51	btc updown 5m 1781372700	Down	SELL	64	96¢	$61	0x9de7e2…
06-13 17:47:16	btc updown 5m 1781372700	Down	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xc69a8a…
06-01 08:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x4a30a2…
06-01 08:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xfd627d…
06-01 08:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2d700e…
06-01 08:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe237f9…
06-01 07:59:22	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	21¢	$8	0x28c973…
05-31 00:44:56	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	23¢	$8	0xd20c6a…
05-10 10:32:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	258	96¢	$249	0xd17916…
05-08 09:30:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	258	91¢	$235	0x1493b4…
05-08 09:29:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	298	79¢	$235	0x3c0ec6…
05-07 09:21:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	298	84¢	$249	0xeb1b6c…
05-07 09:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	57	33¢	$19	0xa654af…
05-07 09:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x357c6b…
05-07 09:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0xd8a18e…
05-07 09:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x05e4cf…
05-07 09:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0xffdb88…
05-07 09:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x4dcbe7…
05-06 21:31:47	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0xc5d5a8…
05-06 20:31:35	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	SELL	67	89¢	$60	0x46f137…
05-06 13:36:36	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	244	48¢	$117	0x08d1b3…
05-05 21:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	111	28¢	$31	0x6013a9…
05-05 21:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xcfe61b…
05-05 21:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x7b04a3…
05-05 21:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0x7d9da5…
05-05 21:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x55d333…
05-05 21:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	62	50¢	$31	0x13a7b0…
05-05 21:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xbdce4b…
05-05 21:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	48	60¢	$29	0x6c00ed…
05-05 21:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x2aacf5…
05-05 21:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x4845ee…
05-05 21:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x7391ad…
05-05 21:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x9a471f…
05-05 21:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xe18ff1…
05-05 20:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xf0f346…
05-05 18:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	157	99¢	$155	0xf0cd50…
05-05 18:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	157	32¢	$50	0x4c350b…
05-05 18:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	71	48¢	$34	0x872130…
05-05 18:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x513909…
05-05 18:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x5b55ef…
05-05 18:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	42	71¢	$30	0x6eed08…
05-05 18:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x1c8cc2…
05-05 18:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xd660c9…
05-05 18:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	125	21¢	$26	0xabc2c3…
05-05 18:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0xbf229f…
05-05 17:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	71	30¢	$21	0x5271c4…
05-05 17:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xf57acf…
05-05 17:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	167	21¢	$35	0xfbe0da…
05-05 17:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0x89239a…
05-05 17:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x8cc08c…
05-05 17:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	68	47¢	$32	0x970166…
05-05 17:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x98a748…
05-05 17:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xa8384b…
05-05 17:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	57	17¢	$10	0x093810…
05-05 17:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xac4fe9…
05-05 17:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xe543bd…
05-05 17:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	70	32¢	$23	0x0ba874…
05-05 17:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x86552f…
05-05 17:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x139e84…
05-05 17:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x3f4585…
05-05 17:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x720460…
05-05 17:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xcecb25…
05-05 17:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	57	96¢	$54	0x387ba5…
05-05 17:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x5ee284…
05-05 17:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	43	83¢	$35	0xcd71c5…
05-05 17:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x3b01d7…
05-05 17:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0x485629…
05-05 17:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x7df863…
05-05 17:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xa7bdae…
05-05 17:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xff20cb…
05-05 17:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x982a85…
05-05 17:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb74e87…
05-05 17:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	57	16¢	$9	0x08590d…
05-05 17:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xd42da0…
05-05 16:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x5a7dd8…
05-05 16:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	68	63¢	$43	0xbb7a02…