Frail-Tactics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.8%

Resolved

Trades

553

lifetime

Volume

$9.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 07-31 23:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

51% 80% +$10

Crypto

35% — —

Politics

13% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	9	$646	904	904	+0	open	—	06-05 20:50
spy up or down on july 27 2026	27	$629	701	701	+0	open	—	07-27 18:39
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	3	$377	200	200	+0	open	—	06-05 16:54
spy up or down on july 20 2026	17	$322	618	618	+0	open	—	07-20 16:13
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	2	$298	200	200	+0	open	—	06-11 19:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$291	170	170	+0	open	—	06-05 18:54
spy up or down on july 22 2026	17	$249	489	489	+0	open	—	07-22 17:29
spy up or down on july 15 2026	12	$227	330	330	+0	open	—	07-15 16:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$224	300	100	+200	open	—	07-31 23:55
spy up or down on july 13 2026	19	$219	723	723	+0	open	—	07-13 14:59
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	2	$214	220	0	+220	open	—	06-07 20:06
spy up or down on july 7 2026	13	$195	700	700	+0	open	—	07-07 17:14
spy up or down on june 22 2026	12	$195	315	315	+0	open	—	06-22 19:06
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	3	$184	200	200	+0	open	—	06-03 06:50
spy up or down on july 2 2026	7	$159	300	300	+0	open	—	07-02 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$147	110	110	+0	open	—	05-24 09:19
spy up or down on june 30 2026	18	$146	684	784	-100	open	—	06-30 17:47
spy up or down on july 31 2026	12	$141	303	303	+0	open	—	07-31 14:36
spy up or down on june 25 2026	9	$138	105	105	+0	open	—	06-25 20:01
spy up or down on june 24 2026	10	$134	163	153	+10	open	—	06-24 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	5	$128	100	100	+0	open	—	05-24 08:27
spy up or down on july 16 2026	11	$120	210	210	+0	open	—	07-16 14:00
spy up or down on june 26 2026	18	$105	158	148	+10	open	—	06-26 19:32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	2	$102	0	104	-104	open	—	06-02 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	05-24 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	05-24 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$100	131	0	+131	open	—	05-24 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	05-24 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	05-24 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	05-24 11:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 23:55:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x6f797a…
07-31 14:36:02	spy up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x2d72b5…
07-31 14:35:36	spy up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x33bc0b…
07-31 14:31:45	spy up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0xef9213…
07-31 14:13:23	spy up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	86	30¢	$26	0x9d1d13…
07-31 14:13:12	spy up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3b706f…
07-31 14:13:09	spy up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x780e50…
07-31 14:13:09	spy up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x068683…
07-31 14:10:47	spy up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0xe655b4…
07-31 14:07:27	spy up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xaf3bc9…
07-31 14:07:27	spy up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x62bd99…
07-31 13:32:12	spy up or down on july 31 2026	Down	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0xbd6b6c…
07-31 13:30:05	spy up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x82916a…
07-27 18:39:55	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	101	12¢	$12	0xe9727a…
07-27 18:04:00	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x82c205…
07-27 17:06:43	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x26c281…
07-27 16:55:33	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	194	28¢	$54	0x1303f5…
07-27 16:55:22	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x75e6b7…
07-27 16:55:22	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x14471d…
07-27 16:55:22	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x03f886…
07-27 16:55:21	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x6af0bb…
07-27 16:09:31	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	195	41¢	$80	0xa07505…
07-27 16:05:12	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x60ecd6…
07-27 16:05:10	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xdcd3db…
07-27 15:58:40	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x112c4c…
07-27 15:05:46	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x838f92…
07-27 15:05:46	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	63	65¢	$41	0x4de9e6…
07-27 15:05:46	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x49861a…
07-27 15:05:46	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x3a1a5e…
07-27 15:05:45	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0x743d0c…
07-27 15:05:40	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xe74215…
07-27 15:05:40	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xdf17e9…
07-27 15:05:40	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xa20911…
07-27 15:05:40	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x6d5c6a…
07-27 15:05:36	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x4c0597…
07-27 15:02:18	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xd01ab9…
07-27 14:29:46	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	176	54¢	$95	0xa44a47…
07-27 14:29:34	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x20c1c2…
07-27 14:00:12	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	93	80¢	$74	0xa23399…
07-27 13:59:51	spy up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x7af59c…
07-27 05:28:54	btc updown 5m 1785129900	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x2c1a28…
07-27 05:20:21	btc updown 5m 1785129600	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xd42268…
07-27 05:20:21	btc updown 5m 1785129600	Up	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x073fde…
07-27 05:17:09	btc updown 5m 1785129600	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc5a9a0…
07-27 05:15:16	btc updown 5m 1785129300	Down	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x5aa7c2…
07-27 05:14:27	btc updown 5m 1785129300	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1ca310…
07-27 05:03:15	btc updown 5m 1785128400	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xa67b38…
07-26 16:12:03	btc updown 5m 1785082200	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xaccab0…
07-26 16:12:03	btc updown 5m 1785082200	Up	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x78770e…
07-22 17:29:58	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	SELL	196	26¢	$51	0x3c6f33…
07-22 17:26:19	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xb044d7…
07-22 17:22:34	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	SELL	31	28¢	$9	0x8617f4…
07-22 17:22:34	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	SELL	58	28¢	$16	0x810a76…
07-22 17:22:31	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	SELL	112	27¢	$30	0xee05bd…
07-22 17:22:30	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0xe63a22…
07-22 17:22:30	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0x9c76d2…
07-22 17:22:30	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0x2158d4…
07-22 17:22:15	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xcd9462…
07-22 16:38:36	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xa2a0aa…
07-22 16:36:00	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	177	16¢	$28	0x17b7f3…
07-22 16:00:28	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	38	24¢	$9	0xe49613…
07-22 16:00:07	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x91f61b…
07-22 16:00:06	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	150	24¢	$36	0x59fed4…
07-22 14:00:39	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	96	40¢	$39	0xe52970…
07-22 14:00:03	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1be01f…
07-22 14:00:01	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x94733a…
07-22 08:35:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xd31a4e…
07-20 16:13:33	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	84	92¢	$78	0x26a310…
07-20 16:10:10	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x104071…
07-20 15:44:51	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xdfd77d…
07-20 14:57:10	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	95	62¢	$59	0x25459f…
07-20 14:56:58	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4819ce…
07-20 13:56:22	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	98	21¢	$21	0xeb8cbb…
07-20 13:56:21	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	110	21¢	$23	0x93ace4…
07-20 13:56:21	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	110	21¢	$23	0x46413d…
07-20 13:56:07	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	90	20¢	$18	0x04d011…
07-20 13:56:06	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	110	20¢	$22	0xe6cb73…
07-20 13:41:15	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	131	10¢	$13	0x938a26…
07-20 13:41:13	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x5b70cd…
07-20 13:41:12	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0x9f61a4…
07-20 13:40:25	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x23c412…
07-20 13:39:19	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	67	10¢	$7	0xfa4fff…
07-20 13:35:40	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xe07c7b…
07-20 11:33:15	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xf6d5f7…
07-18 23:34:27	f1 belgian grand prix driver podium verstappen 2026 07 19	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x716d30…
07-18 16:38:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x31913f…
07-16 14:00:14	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xaff8e2…
07-16 14:00:14	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xa18be7…
07-16 14:00:02	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xd989e7…
07-16 13:41:17	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf03aa9…
07-16 13:07:46	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0xee67f5…
07-16 11:50:14	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	53	28¢	$15	0x68a64c…
07-16 11:50:10	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	33	28¢	$9	0xfa4102…
07-16 11:50:10	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x7d40d0…
07-16 11:50:07	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	44	28¢	$12	0xd51088…
07-16 11:50:05	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xf9e6f2…
07-16 11:50:04	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xc5e7c0…
07-15 16:46:52	spy up or down on july 15 2026	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x9644f6…
07-15 16:46:52	spy up or down on july 15 2026	Up	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0x8dac7c…
07-15 16:46:52	spy up or down on july 15 2026	Up	SELL	235	36¢	$85	0x6351ff…