Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$196

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-24

last 11-02 15:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 70% $0

Other

17% 0% -$3

Politics

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+2	$2	86¢	$2	$0	10-25 19:14
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	86¢	$2	+$1	10-25 19:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1	$1	68¢	$1	$0	10-25 19:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	11	$44	35	35	+0	Down	+$2	10-26 17:51
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	3	$26	22	22	+0	open	—	11-02 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	5	$15	17	12	+5	Down	-$4	10-26 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$10	10	3	+7	Down	+$1	10-26 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	8	$10	9	6	+3	Up	+$1	10-26 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	10-26 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	6	$9	9	6	+3	Up	-$2	10-26 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	5	$9	11	2	+9	Down	+$2	10-25 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	4	$8	9	2	+7	Up	+$0	10-26 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	10-25 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$6	7	2	+5	Down	+$1	10-26 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$6	8	0	+8	Up	+$2	10-25 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	10-26 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	Up	-$4	10-26 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	10-26 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	-$4	10-27 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$3	6	6	+0	Down	-$1	10-26 17:41
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$3	8	0	+8	No	-$3	10-24 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	10-26 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	10-26 18:05
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	10-24 18:55
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	10-24 18:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	10-25 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	$0	10-25 18:31
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	10-25 19:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	10-25 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	10-25 18:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 15:19:04	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x75a5a1…
11-01 17:33:33	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0x04c87b…
11-01 08:11:54	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xacafa9…
10-27 05:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x7e1a8d…
10-26 18:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xbf6b40…
10-26 18:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf2ff51…
10-26 18:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7e6e63…
10-26 18:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbcd9d8…
10-26 18:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xb68257…
10-26 18:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd99c7b…
10-26 18:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbc4936…
10-26 18:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xeb2138…
10-26 17:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x519bdd…
10-26 17:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x06475d…
10-26 17:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0xfad06b…
10-26 17:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb5146e…
10-26 17:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf08344…
10-26 17:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x169d0b…
10-26 17:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x1b9965…
10-26 17:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3f2c33…
10-26 17:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd89999…
10-26 17:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8d7cf8…
10-26 17:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xcc7ed5…
10-26 17:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xab9c62…
10-26 17:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	72¢	$5	0xdc882f…
10-26 17:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x14c714…
10-26 17:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x4c8891…
10-26 17:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x2030e1…
10-26 17:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x421880…
10-26 17:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xb8e211…
10-26 17:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xd6fd7c…
10-26 17:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc67ea2…
10-26 17:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xef33ba…
10-26 17:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xeef161…
10-26 17:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5471b2…
10-26 17:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x8efe2f…
10-26 17:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x2a5f31…
10-26 17:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x46bb9f…
10-26 17:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xea69d0…
10-26 17:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0xd8447a…
10-26 17:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x9b93a5…
10-26 17:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf8653c…
10-26 17:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xd02be6…
10-26 17:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3eaaf2…
10-26 17:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xc7a5b4…
10-26 17:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xa6a3d7…
10-26 17:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x0cc403…
10-26 17:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x7b1b47…
10-26 17:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x64e0d1…
10-26 17:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xa29d93…
10-26 17:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x2d438b…
10-26 17:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xedc050…
10-26 17:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xd9838d…
10-26 17:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa71ea0…
10-26 17:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x051c38…
10-26 17:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xfeff34…
10-26 17:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xf7e9fd…
10-26 17:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf2ae99…
10-26 17:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x28b397…
10-26 17:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x915519…
10-26 17:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdd792a…
10-26 17:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xc212ff…
10-26 17:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x796159…
10-25 19:14:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x800ece…
10-25 19:12:30	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdbaa9b…
10-25 19:10:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9be27f…
10-25 18:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xbe2711…
10-25 18:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xbce091…
10-25 18:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbb397b…
10-25 18:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x08b59f…
10-25 18:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x928b9f…
10-25 18:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x38f084…
10-25 18:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x33c933…
10-25 18:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xd50513…
10-25 18:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x9cc0e9…
10-25 18:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x35c165…
10-25 18:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x75c20c…
10-25 18:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xe4a16f…
10-24 18:55:24	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x564c2c…
10-24 18:52:00	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6c40d8…
10-24 18:47:51	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x547ef8…
10-24 18:46:02	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x48905a…
10-24 18:45:20	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x7800f5…