Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.3%

Resolved

Trades

412

lifetime

Volume

$2.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-31 22:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

68% 0% $-0

Crypto

19% 29% $-1

Other

12% 0% $-40

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	14	$341	1,328	328	+1,000	open	—	03-12 16:45
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	9	$235	645	235	+410	open	—	04-08 02:52
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	6	$157	160	160	+0	open	—	04-07 21:23
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	9	$94	12,704	10,204	+2,500	open	—	03-03 03:47
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	8	$85	134	128	+6	open	—	03-04 16:23
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$81	54	54	+0	open	—	04-05 15:17
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	3	$80	160	160	+0	open	—	04-14 22:56
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	6	$80	317	317	+0	No	$-40	05-02 22:52
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	6	$74	66	66	+0	open	—	03-01 21:09
israel closes its airspace by august 15	6	$69	296	141	+155	open	—	07-31 22:10
iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	4	$58	87	87	+0	open	—	07-31 21:46
will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	2	$55	510	510	+0	open	—	07-28 18:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$48	115	115	+0	open	—	07-28 11:05
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	5	$45	685	685	+0	open	—	07-18 16:07
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	2	$45	77	77	+0	open	—	04-17 19:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$44	43	43	+0	open	—	04-18 08:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$41	76	76	+0	open	—	04-07 22:48
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	2	$35	73	0	+73	open	—	03-04 16:23
btc updown 5m 1775525100	6	$34	42	40	+2	open	—	04-07 01:30
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$33	55	28	+27	open	—	03-18 17:27
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1	$30	298	0	+298	open	—	04-18 08:21
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$29	24	24	+0	open	—	04-07 22:43
us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	5	$29	85	42	+42	open	—	03-18 19:23
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	2	$27	52	52	+0	open	—	03-03 15:30
btc updown 5m 1775314200	7	$27	19	18	+1	open	—	04-04 14:55
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$24	171	0	+171	open	—	02-26 23:41
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	04-03 22:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$20	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	03-02 20:45
btc updown 5m 1775664300	5	$20	22	10	+12	open	—	04-08 16:09
btc updown 5m 1775527200	6	$19	29	21	+8	open	—	04-07 02:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 22:10:32	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x82fdc6…
07-31 22:07:14	btc updown 5m 1785535500	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x31f63f…
07-31 22:04:21	btc updown 5m 1785535200	Up	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0xbf37c3…
07-31 22:03:32	btc updown 5m 1785535200	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb4f815…
07-31 22:01:20	btc updown 5m 1785535200	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xed3d54…
07-31 22:00:21	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x9a7f4e…
07-31 21:57:09	btc updown 5m 1785534900	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x132152…
07-31 21:46:41	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc9c257…
07-31 21:46:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x61a05e…
07-30 21:41:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x9a2bbf…
07-30 21:40:45	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0x30c81b…
07-30 21:24:41	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	82	14¢	$11	0x33266d…
07-30 20:08:38	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	264	14¢	$37	0x04dd13…
07-30 20:08:17	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	SELL	54	41¢	$22	0x75c88d…
07-30 14:52:14	btc updown 5m 1785423000	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xec9f2d…
07-30 14:46:20	btc updown 5m 1785422700	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xccccdd…
07-30 14:37:35	btc updown 5m 1785422100	Up	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x55e3e7…
07-30 14:36:00	btc updown 5m 1785422100	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x1e8290…
07-30 14:32:00	btc updown 5m 1785421800	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xe413f5…
07-30 14:29:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xc03c7e…
07-29 10:18:15	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	Yes	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0xb204bf…
07-28 18:59:43	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	SELL	510	6¢	$30	0x65a873…
07-28 18:52:52	btc updown 5m 1785264600	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x972898…
07-28 18:52:35	btc updown 5m 1785264600	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x3c094c…
07-28 18:50:26	btc updown 5m 1785264600	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x92ff6c…
07-28 18:48:46	btc updown 5m 1785264300	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x50df1a…
07-28 18:47:08	btc updown 5m 1785264300	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x55663c…
07-28 11:28:38	btc updown 5m 1785237900	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xb9caa4…
07-28 11:25:49	btc updown 5m 1785237900	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x748949…
07-28 11:24:25	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0x77babf…
07-28 11:24:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	166	1¢	$1	0x0ecc35…
07-28 11:05:34	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	BUY	510	5¢	$25	0x96566a…
07-28 11:05:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	21¢	$5	0x9a38d2…
07-28 11:05:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	90	21¢	$19	0x8af78b…
07-18 16:09:24	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	166	4¢	$7	0x4b1ee1…
07-18 16:07:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	279	3¢	$8	0x67d685…
07-16 22:08:43	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0xf85449…
07-16 22:07:47	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	Yes	SELL	36	21¢	$7	0xd6586c…
07-15 00:14:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	136	3¢	$4	0x76d7f4…
07-15 00:14:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$4	0x7647ce…
07-15 00:14:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	SELL	18	22¢	$4	0x52d708…
07-13 23:16:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	65	20¢	$13	0x0c589a…
07-13 23:15:29	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	406	3¢	$14	0x71fac4…
07-13 23:12:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4eb39a…
07-13 19:27:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x4dd821…
07-13 19:25:41	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xf1405f…
07-13 19:25:38	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xa78f92…
07-13 19:24:20	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	406	4¢	$15	0x327174…
07-01 16:25:26	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x0cabf1…
07-01 16:23:34	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x86d542…
05-05 12:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb66142…
05-05 05:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x459f94…
05-05 05:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0x0f3ab2…
05-05 05:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2f1828…
05-05 05:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf561b1…
05-05 04:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe4167b…
05-05 04:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x9f690d…
05-05 04:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xdf0b17…
05-05 04:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf05240…
05-05 04:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x855e86…
05-05 04:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4878d5…
05-05 04:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xe14b04…
05-05 04:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x4072ae…
05-05 04:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	13	71¢	$9	0x2fbbb3…
05-05 04:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x745d47…
05-05 04:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x3b394e…
05-05 04:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x611e2c…
05-05 04:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdc4004…
05-05 04:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x81200f…
05-05 04:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xb086b5…
05-05 04:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe509fc…
05-05 04:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf8c93d…
05-05 03:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd34fca…
05-04 18:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb739f8…
05-04 18:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf23f1c…
05-04 18:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xfa9866…
05-04 18:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x9dce62…
05-04 18:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3ac973…
05-04 18:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xa21eb4…
05-04 18:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc38482…
05-04 18:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0xcdadc3…
05-04 18:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5d6abc…
05-04 18:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa9bf52…
05-04 18:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xce2549…
05-04 18:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x5922e9…
05-04 18:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x23d2f6…
05-04 18:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8a4d39…
05-04 18:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa586dd…
05-04 18:05:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0x594947…
05-02 22:53:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x164ff3…
05-02 22:52:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	226	0¢	$0	0x638618…
05-02 22:52:54	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0x700d7e…
04-21 01:52:24	btc updown 5m 1776736200	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0ee151…
04-19 22:58:16	btc updown 5m 1776639300	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0x701d3f…
04-19 22:56:06	btc updown 5m 1776639300	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xde1fab…
04-19 22:34:12	btc updown 5m 1776637800	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x25b09a…
04-19 22:22:46	btc updown 5m 1776637200	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfcd5a5…
04-19 22:11:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xc9004a…
04-18 08:21:36	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	298	10¢	$30	0x467dff…
04-18 08:20:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	26	23¢	$6	0xe16145…