Elastic-Babushka — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$218

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-14 01:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Tech

46% — —

Other

30% — —

Crypto

22% 100% +$2

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$100	154	+154	open	—	04-24 07:05
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	5	$50	66	+66	open	—	05-11 13:29
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	1	$10	20	+20	open	—	05-06 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	05-13 12:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	04-23 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-01 12:03
btc updown 5m 1776939900	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	04-23 10:27
btc updown 5m 1776940200	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	04-23 10:31
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	1	$1	4	+4	open	—	05-06 15:40
btc updown 5m 1776939600	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	04-23 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-25 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-26 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-25 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Up	+$0	05-10 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-25 18:09
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-23 09:54
btc updown 5m 1776951600	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	04-23 13:42
btc updown 5m 1776939300	1	$1	4	+4	open	—	04-23 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-26 05:22
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group A	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-27 10:43
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-14 01:41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-28 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-03 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-25 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-25 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-25 13:38
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptiste	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-27 10:42
btc updown 5m 1776938100	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	04-23 09:55
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-27 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Up	+$0	05-09 08:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 01:41:17	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa27e6a…
05-13 12:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x8f640c…
05-11 13:29:19	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xdafd24…
05-11 13:27:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xdf2a34…
05-11 13:27:43	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x798b78…
05-11 13:27:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xfc20b1…
05-10 03:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x432cbc…
05-09 08:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x417b13…
05-06 15:48:19	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x28c427…
05-06 15:42:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x8ec46b…
05-06 15:40:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc87db9…
05-03 13:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x328d6c…
05-01 12:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb17f5e…
04-30 08:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf92436…
04-29 11:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa64b10…
04-29 11:06:20	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x41efb8…
04-29 11:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1b645b…
04-29 08:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3fc8f8…
04-29 03:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x21076e…
04-29 02:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4d1c1b…
04-28 09:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x694c0d…
04-28 08:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x31131d…
04-28 07:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x84dd72…
04-27 15:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9c9196…
04-27 10:45:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x589f62…
04-27 10:44:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd5c0a7…
04-27 10:43:16	Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group A	Lilmix	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7d0025…
04-27 10:42:44	Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptiste	Hailey Baptiste	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x931b44…
04-26 09:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5369dd…
04-26 09:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1d55d2…
04-26 09:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd17c3c…
04-26 08:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0816f1…
04-26 08:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa3ca5b…
04-26 08:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf40c9f…
04-26 07:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x027130…
04-26 06:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdb4d4d…
04-26 06:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0f072a…
04-26 05:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x32287e…
04-26 05:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5e141f…
04-25 18:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x11e25e…
04-25 18:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x54268d…
04-25 18:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x82a6df…
04-25 15:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6a841c…
04-25 15:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2c0c41…
04-25 13:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x414b1a…
04-25 13:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x83be78…
04-25 12:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe6f265…
04-25 07:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd134bb…
04-25 05:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x37f387…
04-24 07:05:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x02ff3c…
04-24 04:09:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xe9c551…
04-23 14:21:42	btc updown 5m 1776954000	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbe9881…
04-23 13:47:02	btc updown 5m 1776951900	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc69964…
04-23 13:42:36	btc updown 5m 1776951600	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x782039…
04-23 10:31:12	btc updown 5m 1776940200	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x72c51f…
04-23 10:27:24	btc updown 5m 1776939900	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xac8241…
04-23 10:21:54	btc updown 5m 1776939600	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x420e17…
04-23 10:16:24	btc updown 5m 1776939300	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4fe167…
04-23 09:55:40	btc updown 5m 1776938100	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7534c6…
04-23 09:54:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xefc926…
04-23 09:54:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xee4b44…
04-23 09:54:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x04f27a…