Gaseous-Stumbling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$185

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 06-17 05:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

67% — —

Politics

18% 0% $-0

Tech

8% — —

Sports

6% 100% +$51

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$1.6K	824	824	+0	open	—	04-22 07:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$1.2K	611	611	+0	open	—	04-09 15:07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$999	501	501	+0	open	—	04-16 09:53
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$977	494	494	+0	open	—	04-15 05:07
will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$800	401	401	+0	open	—	04-09 15:03
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$800	401	401	+0	open	—	04-08 08:32
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$800	404	404	+0	open	—	04-08 08:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$680	345	345	+0	open	—	04-08 08:30
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$600	301	301	+0	open	—	04-15 05:07
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	2	$600	303	303	+0	open	—	04-08 08:31
Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$599	300	300	+0	open	—	04-15 05:09
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	04-25 04:07
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	04-15 05:08
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	04-20 09:01
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 22c	2	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	04-16 09:46
Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?	2	$399	201	201	+0	open	—	04-12 09:33
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 25c	2	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	04-16 09:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$260	131	131	+0	open	—	04-22 07:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$248	125	125	+0	No	$-0	05-04 04:55
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	2	$239	122	122	+0	open	—	04-25 04:07
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	2	$205	124	124	+0	open	—	06-17 05:46
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	05-29 11:17
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	04-20 09:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$140	76	76	+0	open	—	05-27 12:09
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	2	$134	68	68	+0	open	—	06-01 06:15
Thunder vs. Suns	1	$116	150	0	+150	open	—	04-25 15:40
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	2	$100	55	55	+0	open	—	05-27 12:09
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$97	54	54	+0	open	—	06-04 12:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$90	45	45	+0	open	—	05-16 11:41
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)	1	$84	135	0	+135	Jose Ochoa	+$51	05-09 13:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 05:46:16	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	124	82¢	$102	0x910abd…
06-17 05:46:08	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	124	83¢	$103	0x829fcf…
06-04 12:36:33	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	54	90¢	$48	0xc1ba1c…
06-04 12:36:25	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0x802185…
06-02 12:28:25	Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	M80	BUY	80	70¢	$56	0xa2bb4b…
06-01 06:15:35	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0xd7e592…
06-01 06:15:28	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0x6aaf4d…
05-29 11:17:14	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x0cb54d…
05-29 11:17:07	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfd5c70…
05-27 12:09:35	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	55	91¢	$50	0xcc7245…
05-27 12:09:28	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xc156a2…
05-27 12:09:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xe8d41e…
05-27 12:08:53	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x6a67db…
05-20 10:52:56	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	24	94¢	$23	0xeb7a4f…
05-20 10:52:50	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x7e38e9…
05-16 11:41:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xae9005…
05-14 11:29:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x626af3…
05-09 13:30:41	UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)	Jose Ochoa	BUY	135	62¢	$84	0xbacef4…
05-04 04:55:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	125	99¢	$124	0x7366f8…
05-04 04:55:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x02c6f1…
04-25 15:40:30	Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	BUY	150	77¢	$116	0x4786e4…
04-25 04:07:30	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	SELL	122	98¢	$119	0x6ce651…
04-25 04:07:24	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0x40465a…
04-25 04:07:06	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x231368…
04-25 04:07:00	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x5445b1…
04-22 11:29:06	lol flk ub 2026 04 22	UB Alma Mater	BUY	110	51¢	$56	0xeff010…
04-22 07:53:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	201	99¢	$200	0x911ee7…
04-22 07:52:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0xdbfadc…
04-22 07:48:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	131	100¢	$130	0xf6eb1e…
04-22 07:48:20	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0x16efe5…
04-20 09:01:46	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xcf590f…
04-20 09:01:38	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x7325ed…
04-20 09:01:28	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x85a86b…
04-20 09:01:20	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x21b800…
04-18 10:15:34	nba min den 2026 04 18	Timberwolves	BUY	170	29¢	$49	0x2bde59…
04-18 08:37:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	314	99¢	$312	0xba7be8…
04-18 08:37:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	314	99¢	$312	0xe0a8ad…
04-16 17:13:00	ufc gil1 mik9 2026 04 18	Gilbert Burns	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xea6a84…
04-16 09:53:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x3e2cad…
04-16 09:53:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x66da2e…
04-16 09:46:40	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 22c	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x25a325…
04-16 09:46:30	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 25c	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0xb0a22e…
04-16 09:46:24	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 25c	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x78ebaa…
04-16 09:46:12	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 22c	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x0881f8…
04-15 05:09:58	Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0xf11902…
04-15 05:08:30	Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x7f06c8…
04-15 05:08:12	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x791cc7…
04-15 05:08:00	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x197353…
04-15 05:07:48	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	301	100¢	$300	0x84eaca…
04-15 05:07:34	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x49456f…
04-15 05:07:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	494	99¢	$488	0xb814d3…
04-15 05:07:12	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	494	99¢	$489	0x8c3c7c…
04-12 09:33:03	Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?	No	SELL	201	99¢	$199	0x4320c5…
04-12 09:32:57	Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x66e948…
04-12 09:30:59	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	36	82¢	$30	0x7a61cb…
04-12 09:30:51	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x4f0929…
04-12 09:29:49	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 10m and 11m	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x167ce8…
04-12 09:29:43	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 10m and 11m	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0d6423…
04-10 10:17:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	309	97¢	$300	0xcdb4f8…
04-10 10:16:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0xdc7d28…
04-09 15:07:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	410	100¢	$410	0x0b28bb…
04-09 15:07:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	410	100¢	$410	0x1dea77…
04-09 15:03:33	will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	401	100¢	$400	0xc08b29…
04-09 15:03:25	will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x87c972…
04-09 15:02:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x6e4798…
04-08 12:31:35	nba okc lac 2026 04 08	Clippers	BUY	220	30¢	$66	0x62c88a…
04-08 08:33:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	201	100¢	$200	0x60ab40…
04-08 08:33:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x378757…
04-08 08:32:17	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	401	100¢	$400	0xb6eb49…
04-08 08:32:05	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x973e1c…
04-08 08:31:51	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	303	99¢	$300	0x0959c5…
04-08 08:31:39	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x6d4af2…
04-08 08:31:23	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	404	99¢	$400	0x3be8bd…
04-08 08:31:01	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	404	99¢	$400	0x40deb9…
04-08 08:30:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	345	98¢	$340	0x63637c…
04-08 08:30:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	345	98¢	$340	0xdbdd42…
04-08 08:30:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x41bca4…
04-08 08:29:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	401	100¢	$400	0x4d0b92…
04-08 08:29:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x1f1ec1…