(anonymous) 0xcb86c3…d6feda
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.36K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.19K
Hit rate
54.9%
Resolved
21
Trades
2,020
lifetime
Volume
$103.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$49.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-19
last 10-28 02:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
80% 62% -$4,715
Other
15% 100% +$344
Tech
3% — —
Sports
2% 100% +$2,014
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +10,641 $9,897 92¢ $9.8K -$53 10-27 17:23
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +9,328 $6,170 66¢ $6.2K +$33 10-28 02:03
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +4,770 $3,040 68¢ $3.2K +$180 10-24 22:44
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,475 $3,038 70¢ $3.1K +$72 10-27 07:54
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +3,272 $2,687 82¢ $2.7K -$4 10-25 00:44
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +3,059 $2,596 84¢ $2.6K -$27 10-27 07:51
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,349 $2,128 68¢ $2.3K +$132 10-25 21:28
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,485 $2,228 62¢ $2.2K -$51 10-24 21:20
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +2,534 $1,722 70¢ $1.8K +$40 10-27 07:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,792 $1,220 94¢ $1.7K +$473 10-24 20:32
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +1,617 $1,368 88¢ $1.4K +$63 10-27 00:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,373 $1,222 88¢ $1.2K -$7 10-26 23:59
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +1,926 $1,106 62¢ $1.2K +$98 10-27 10:38
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +1,165 $808 80¢ $927 +$118 10-27 17:23
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,359 $897 66¢ $904 +$7 10-25 16:09
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +1,254 $895 72¢ $896 +$2 10-26 20:06
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,174 $875 74¢ $875 +$0 10-27 17:24
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +878 $774 88¢ $769 -$5 10-27 17:24
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +991 $678 72¢ $718 +$40 10-25 19:58
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +947 $650 68¢ $639 -$11 10-25 18:32
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +826 $600 72¢ $591 -$10 10-26 20:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +764 $518 65¢ $496 -$22 10-27 22:44
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +649 $462 76¢ $493 +$31 10-26 15:10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +475 $437 92¢ $435 -$2 10-26 01:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +670 $416 64¢ $426 +$9 10-26 09:47
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +399 $318 94¢ $377 +$60 10-26 08:55
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +585 $359 62¢ $366 +$6 10-26 17:13
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +409 $340 86¢ $353 +$13 10-27 10:49
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +396 $300 77¢ $305 +$5 10-15 09:46
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +310 $248 80¢ $249 +$2 10-27 23:17