Finished-Mustache — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,107

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$233

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 06-21 13:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 100% +$3

Other

24% — —

Politics

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No		+148	$126	89¢	$132	+$6	06-21 13:51
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No		+190	$122	54¢	$102	$-20	06-01 20:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770739200	32	$884	700	700	+0	open	—	02-10 16:17
btc updown 5m 1770903300	1	$644	651	0	+651	open	—	02-12 13:40
btc updown 15m 1770737400	4	$637	404	403	+0	open	—	02-10 15:45
will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	2	$594	301	301	+0	open	—	02-10 11:05
btc updown 15m 1770738300	18	$364	400	300	+100	open	—	02-10 15:57
btc updown 15m 1770389100	2	$277	182	179	+3	open	—	02-06 15:00
btc updown 15m 1770725700	1	$270	279	0	+279	open	—	02-10 12:27
spx opens up or down on february 6 2026	2	$237	137	137	+0	open	—	02-06 14:40
lol vks lev 2026 02 14	2	$229	323	323	+0	open	—	02-14 18:49
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be greater than 3pt5	2	$223	123	123	+0	open	—	02-20 17:44
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	2	$220	182	182	+0	open	—	02-15 09:43
spx opens up or down on february 9 2026	2	$217	117	117	+0	open	—	02-09 15:00
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$216	220	0	+220	open	—	02-22 11:45
btc updown 15m 1770732900	3	$211	281	100	+181	open	—	02-10 14:29
btc updown 15m 1770477300	6	$207	368	259	+109	open	—	02-07 15:29
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	2	$207	107	107	+0	open	—	02-13 17:06
lol t1 dk 2026 02 22 game4	2	$200	363	0	+363	open	—	02-22 11:24
btc updown 15m 1770734700	1	$181	197	0	+197	open	—	02-10 14:56
lol t1 fox1 2026 02 15	2	$160	836	0	+836	open	—	02-15 11:12
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	2	$157	90	90	+0	open	—	02-28 17:19
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$157	153	153	+0	open	—	04-08 13:35
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$150	200	0	+200	open	—	06-09 13:33
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	4	$144	200	0	+200	open	—	02-23 14:39
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	2	$127	135	0	+135	open	—	06-01 16:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$126	133	0	+133	open	—	06-01 16:49
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	1	$126	148	0	+148	open	—	06-21 13:51
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$122	190	0	+190	open	—	06-01 20:06
lol ig1 nip 2026 02 10	2	$106	56	56	+0	open	—	02-09 15:00
xrp updown 15m 1770735600	4	$105	100	100	+0	open	—	02-10 15:14
btc updown 15m 1770648300	2	$104	120	0	+120	open	—	02-09 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 13:51:52	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	BUY	148	85¢	$126	0xda1e68…
06-09 13:33:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x8f6904…
06-03 19:06:13	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0x3dc044…
06-03 19:02:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	89¢	$21	0x6cf5e1…
06-03 18:55:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0xa0c514…
06-01 20:06:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	190	64¢	$122	0x50080a…
06-01 16:54:38	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	94¢	$122	0x46a577…
06-01 16:53:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2b05f5…
06-01 16:49:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	133	95¢	$126	0x1a81c6…
05-10 14:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xcbec8e…
05-10 14:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa08b3c…
05-09 17:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xee725d…
05-09 16:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1d06a2…
05-09 16:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6896e1…
05-09 16:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x92bc23…
04-27 14:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x76908e…
04-27 14:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xac7f4b…
04-27 14:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x24e314…
04-27 14:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xfd7b68…
04-27 14:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xdc4e38…
04-27 14:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xfdc093…
04-27 14:06:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc4d632…
04-27 13:53:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xe85153…
04-27 13:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x787895…
04-27 13:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x3f8a5e…
04-27 13:51:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1f5b62…
04-27 13:41:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x692773…
04-27 13:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x90f28b…
04-27 13:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xd34e52…
04-27 13:40:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x248f53…
04-27 13:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x2856e3…
04-27 13:31:54	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x50b476…
04-27 13:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9be554…
04-27 13:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x985e5d…
04-27 13:30:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x95fa16…
04-27 13:27:46	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xde2250…
04-27 13:26:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x96bc72…
04-27 13:24:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x9975ed…
04-27 13:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xe99089…
04-27 13:20:46	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xda95b5…
04-27 13:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbc97c6…
04-27 13:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd14ceb…
04-27 13:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd635d2…
04-27 13:12:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x6e54e4…
04-27 13:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x58f7eb…
04-27 13:11:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa914cf…
04-27 13:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x39fa93…
04-27 12:48:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x912e76…
04-27 12:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xbc6236…
04-27 12:46:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xebe1bd…
04-27 12:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x836514…
04-27 12:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xcdd107…
04-27 12:40:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf721ab…
04-27 12:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3ac1c7…
04-27 12:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xaaed1a…
04-27 12:31:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x962d7a…
04-27 12:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe5553d…
04-27 12:31:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe01db3…
04-27 12:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xb13dd6…
04-27 12:27:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xa889a7…
04-27 12:26:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6b075d…
04-27 12:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x29c3dc…
04-27 12:22:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x451cd6…
04-27 12:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xdc03a7…
04-27 12:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xfe353f…
04-27 12:21:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x684416…
04-27 12:16:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc6fe48…
04-27 12:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1ffa8e…
04-27 12:10:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7ac857…
04-27 12:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x918a4b…
04-27 11:56:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x0f3bc5…
04-27 11:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb56907…
04-27 11:55:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x211b99…
04-27 11:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xa34b1c…
04-27 11:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdcfe8e…
04-27 11:55:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xdb3cd7…
04-27 11:46:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x8a378f…
04-27 11:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x306232…
04-27 11:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb28624…
04-27 11:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x31764e…
04-27 11:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7a97fe…
04-27 11:35:48	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2d8c52…
04-27 11:31:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xe5c9bc…
04-27 11:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x53605a…
04-27 11:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xbcf56e…
04-27 11:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xf16310…
04-27 11:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa1f81a…
04-27 11:16:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x22112a…
04-27 11:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x47cbb5…
04-27 11:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x5caf11…
04-27 11:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd50930…
04-27 11:04:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x8ade44…
04-27 11:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf441c3…
04-27 11:02:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x6f0e5e…
04-27 10:57:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xaabdde…
04-27 10:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x44f7ea…
04-27 10:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x87d076…
04-27 10:52:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1ec9de…
04-27 10:47:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb48d16…
04-27 10:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x666ea3…