Alert-Curiosity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$55.8K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$916.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12.6K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 01:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

80% 75% +$55,776

Other

17% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	2	$405.4K	296,113	296,113	+0	open	—	06-04 03:24
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$59.5K	50,027	50,027	+0	Sean Strickland	+$40,472	05-10 04:49
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$48.9K	116,463	0	+116,463	open	—	05-27 00:30
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$43.0K	130,303	0	+130,303	open	—	06-09 01:48
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	2	$34.4K	24,453	24,452	+0	Joshua Van	+$14,428	05-10 03:48
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$28.8K	15,054	15,054	+0	open	—	03-07 02:25
cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	2	$28.6K	19,948	19,620	+328	open	—	04-05 01:23
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	1	$25.0K	92,593	0	+92,593	open	—	05-03 22:29
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	1	$20.0K	60,606	0	+60,606	open	—	02-08 21:08
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	2	$19.0K	50,618	0	+50,618	open	—	04-05 01:39
nba phi sas 2026 04 06	2	$18.3K	10,390	10,318	+72	open	—	04-07 02:39
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$18.0K	60,000	0	+60,000	Knicks	$-18,000	05-04 21:01
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	2	$17.9K	12,000	11,948	+52	open	—	03-23 04:18
cbb stjohn kan 2026 03 22	2	$15.6K	9,677	9,638	+40	open	—	03-23 00:20
nba det phi 2026 04 04	2	$14.6K	9,056	8,953	+103	open	—	04-05 01:23
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	2	$12.2K	40,674	0	+40,674	open	—	04-07 02:41
cbb iowa fl 2026 03 22	2	$11.0K	9,029	9,002	+27	open	—	03-23 04:18
nba atl cle 2026 04 08	1	$8.6K	17,974	0	+17,974	open	—	04-08 15:16
spx up or down on january 20 2026	2	$6.0K	24,525	0	+24,525	open	—	01-19 14:54
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$6.0K	24,836	0	+24,836	Timberwolves	+$18,875	05-04 21:01
nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	1	$5.5K	34,375	0	+34,375	open	—	03-03 22:19
btc updown 5m 1773771900	6	$5.1K	10,019	5,962	+4,057	open	—	03-17 18:30
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	1	$5.0K	12,869	0	+12,869	open	—	01-26 00:28
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	1	$5.0K	17,857	0	+17,857	open	—	01-14 13:04
btc updown 5m 1773770700	2	$5.0K	6,473	0	+6,473	open	—	03-17 18:06
epl liv lee 2026 01 01 liv	1	$4.9K	9,010	0	+9,010	open	—	01-01 18:51
ufc rob2 rau2 2026 03 07	1	$4.0K	5,634	0	+5,634	open	—	03-07 02:29
ufc gre3 bru8 2026 03 07	1	$3.6K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	03-07 02:29
ufc mic4 dre 2026 03 07	1	$3.6K	7,347	0	+7,347	open	—	03-07 02:27
ufc rei1 cai2 2026 03 07	1	$3.6K	9,139	0	+9,139	open	—	03-07 02:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 01:48:54	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	130,303	33¢	$43,000	0xc9b4dc…
06-04 03:24:01	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	SELL	296,113	100¢	$295,817	0xee37fc…
06-03 21:35:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81,994	0¢	$410	0x430902…
06-03 21:29:21	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	BUY	296,113	37¢	$109,562	0x6a9c56…
05-27 00:30:31	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	116,463	42¢	$48,914	0x4f79e1…
05-10 04:49:28	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	50,027	100¢	$49,977	0xcc1bc0…
05-10 03:48:51	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	SELL	24,452	100¢	$24,428	0x517393…
05-09 22:00:33	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	50,027	19¢	$9,505	0xb3f5f5…
05-09 22:00:12	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	24,453	41¢	$10,000	0x6d5c19…
05-04 21:01:34	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	24,836	24¢	$5,961	0x8c169d…
05-04 21:01:06	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	60,000	30¢	$18,000	0x102665…
05-03 22:29:16	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	92,593	27¢	$25,000	0x3f3f9a…
04-08 15:16:25	nba atl cle 2026 04 08	Hawks	BUY	17,974	48¢	$8,628	0xcadbb4…
04-07 02:41:11	cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	13,051	17¢	$2,219	0xb34e0b…
04-07 02:39:43	nba phi sas 2026 04 06	Spurs	SELL	10,318	100¢	$10,308	0x3b9e8c…
04-07 01:17:05	cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	27,623	36¢	$10,000	0xb5b40f…
04-06 14:16:43	nba phi sas 2026 04 06	Spurs	BUY	10,390	77¢	$8,000	0xc1ce98…
04-05 01:39:13	cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	31,868	31¢	$10,000	0x73622f…
04-05 01:23:31	nba det phi 2026 04 04	Pistons	SELL	8,953	100¢	$8,944	0xd3699a…
04-05 01:23:23	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	Connecticut Huskies	SELL	19,620	100¢	$19,600	0x9260c0…
04-04 22:45:09	nba det phi 2026 04 04	Pistons	BUY	9,056	62¢	$5,615	0x05fc95…
03-31 22:50:07	cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	18,750	48¢	$9,000	0x4ff588…
03-31 22:49:49	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	19,948	45¢	$9,000	0x89512b…
03-29 20:24:56	cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	Duke Blue Devils	BUY	4,412	68¢	$3,000	0x4855f2…
03-23 04:18:47	cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	Alabama Crimson Tide	SELL	11,948	100¢	$11,936	0x4918a1…
03-23 04:18:35	cbb iowa fl 2026 03 22	Iowa Hawkeyes	SELL	9,002	100¢	$8,993	0xbafa98…
03-23 00:21:51	cbb tenn vir 2026 03 22	Virginia Cavaliers	BUY	2,977	34¢	$1,000	0xf0746f…
03-23 00:21:27	cbb tenn vir 2026 03 22	Virginia Cavaliers	BUY	2,174	46¢	$1,000	0x77985b…
03-23 00:20:19	cbb iowa fl 2026 03 22	Iowa Hawkeyes	BUY	9,029	22¢	$2,000	0x52885c…
03-23 00:20:05	cbb stjohn kan 2026 03 22	St. John's Red Storm	SELL	9,638	100¢	$9,628	0x26433e…
03-22 20:52:57	cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	Alabama Crimson Tide	BUY	12,000	50¢	$6,000	0xd92886…
03-22 20:52:49	cbb stjohn kan 2026 03 22	St. John's Red Storm	BUY	9,677	62¢	$6,000	0x7e5a72…
03-18 18:11:09	will powell say war during march press conference	Yes	BUY	1,898	53¢	$1,000	0x807fef…
03-18 18:09:43	will powell say shutdown or shut down during march press conference 837	Yes	BUY	1,838	54¢	$1,000	0xa694d6…
03-18 18:08:13	will powell say dollar 2 times during march press conference	Yes	BUY	2,302	43¢	$1,000	0xedd419…
03-17 18:30:01	btc updown 5m 1773771900	Up	SELL	966	1¢	$10	0xeb2fbe…
03-17 18:30:01	btc updown 5m 1773771900	Up	SELL	4,996	3¢	$139	0x4fecbd…
03-17 18:28:03	btc updown 5m 1773771900	Up	BUY	2,890	40¢	$1,145	0xe721f0…
03-17 18:28:03	btc updown 5m 1773771900	Up	BUY	2,960	49¢	$1,457	0x7eb6b4…
03-17 18:28:03	btc updown 5m 1773771900	Up	BUY	273	63¢	$172	0x3e17cc…
03-17 18:28:03	btc updown 5m 1773771900	Up	BUY	3,897	57¢	$2,226	0x1703ba…
03-17 18:22:51	btc updown 5m 1773771600	Up	BUY	2,569	48¢	$1,225	0xe8b0b7…
03-17 18:22:51	btc updown 5m 1773771600	Up	BUY	1,411	55¢	$775	0x8fc001…
03-17 18:19:41	btc updown 5m 1773771300	Up	BUY	2,375	35¢	$841	0xd55f99…
03-17 18:19:41	btc updown 5m 1773771300	Up	BUY	1,816	45¢	$820	0x9b46ae…
03-17 18:19:41	btc updown 5m 1773771300	Up	BUY	646	57¢	$368	0x397479…
03-17 18:12:33	btc updown 5m 1773771000	Down	BUY	1,417	44¢	$626	0x761611…
03-17 18:12:33	btc updown 5m 1773771000	Down	BUY	3,417	40¢	$1,374	0x04355d…
03-17 18:06:19	btc updown 5m 1773770700	Down	BUY	3,132	81¢	$2,547	0xd901f9…
03-17 18:06:19	btc updown 5m 1773770700	Down	BUY	3,341	73¢	$2,453	0x4524ca…
03-17 18:02:19	btc updown 5m 1773770400	Down	BUY	2,171	89¢	$1,928	0x4ef546…
03-17 17:56:35	btc updown 5m 1773770100	Down	BUY	258	56¢	$144	0xc27721…
03-07 02:29:51	ufc rob2 rau2 2026 03 07	Raul Rosas Jr.	BUY	5,634	71¢	$4,000	0x484d8f…
03-07 02:29:07	ufc gre3 bru8 2026 03 07	Gregory Rodrigues	BUY	6,000	60¢	$3,600	0xc39cce…
03-07 02:27:57	ufc mic4 dre 2026 03 07	Drew Dober	BUY	7,347	49¢	$3,600	0x031535…
03-07 02:27:35	ufc rei1 cai2 2026 03 07	Reinier de Ridder	BUY	9,139	39¢	$3,600	0x2b2e22…
03-07 02:26:37	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Max Holloway	BUY	5,539	65¢	$3,600	0xdcb675…
03-07 02:25:11	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	15,054	98¢	$14,828	0x2fa5ed…
03-03 22:19:21	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Nets	BUY	34,375	16¢	$5,500	0x5662b4…
02-16 06:30:39	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	15,054	93¢	$14,000	0x46631d…
02-08 21:08:15	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	60,606	33¢	$20,000	0xa211d6…
02-08 21:04:53	will the super bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds 852	Yes	BUY	1,826	27¢	$500	0x670117…
01-26 00:28:20	nfl la sea 2026 01 25	Rams	BUY	12,869	39¢	$5,000	0xcd3af6…
01-23 23:23:42	ufc der wal2 2026 01 24	Lewis	BUY	7,692	26¢	$2,000	0x6a1a7d…
01-23 23:20:50	ufc arn jea 2026 01 24	Allen	BUY	6,051	33¢	$2,000	0xa57b21…
01-23 15:29:12	spx up or down on january 23 2026	Down	BUY	4,519	44¢	$2,000	0xe6b862…
01-22 14:21:22	spx up or down on january 22 2026	Up	BUY	2,749	91¢	$2,500	0x537541…
01-19 14:54:44	spx up or down on january 20 2026	Up	BUY	17,728	20¢	$3,500	0xc18ab2…
01-19 00:43:02	spx up or down on january 20 2026	Up	BUY	6,797	37¢	$2,500	0xb9bd48…
01-14 13:04:24	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	BUY	17,857	28¢	$5,000	0x2ecb14…
01-09 13:14:40	spx up or down on january 9 2026	Down	BUY	2,253	44¢	$1,000	0x542959…
01-01 19:00:53	bitcoin up or down january 1 2pm et	Up	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0xf87aca…
01-01 18:51:39	epl liv lee 2026 01 01 liv	Yes	BUY	9,010	54¢	$4,870	0x2cfb6b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	32	$384.8K	2,804	06-09 03:34
Lasting-Jar 0xf8c8…7c4c	30	$5.86K	556	06-08 17:43
Violet-Helicopter 0x661d…4dc6	27	$132.0K	963	06-09 02:52
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	26	$461.9K	2,037	06-09 02:26
Aged-Crowd 0x0f8e…3082	25	$6.26K	137	05-10 04:41
Alive-Fritter 0xd37a…2358	23	$23.7K	1,725	05-21 13:58
Boring-Constellation 0xdc5b…f102	23	$10.3K	44	06-08 15:00
(anonymous) 0x383d…87ea	22	$1.32K	404	06-09 02:59