Tidy-Questionnaire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 05-23 04:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

59% 50% +$18

Other

41% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$425	252	252	+0	open	—	04-05 04:32
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	3	$241	172	172	+0	open	—	02-28 08:45
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	8	$175	329	220	+108	open	—	03-29 11:47
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$124	74	74	+0	open	—	03-30 19:32
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$123	164	87	+77	open	—	03-20 12:27
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$122	72	72	+0	open	—	02-28 08:45
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$120	70	70	+0	open	—	04-12 21:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$110	68	68	+0	open	—	04-28 13:08
will trump visit china by march 31	3	$94	55	55	+0	open	—	03-20 09:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$90	51	50	+0	open	—	04-02 12:26
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$89	53	53	+0	open	—	03-23 19:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	3	$67	43	42	+1	open	—	04-30 04:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$64	36	36	+0	open	—	05-23 04:24
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	3	$63	37	37	+0	open	—	03-25 22:51
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$59	34	34	+0	open	—	03-23 01:35
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	2	$54	30	30	+0	open	—	03-29 11:46
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	2	$50	93	0	+93	open	—	03-23 11:48
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$46	36	36	+0	open	—	02-28 08:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$45	76	0	+76	open	—	04-08 00:31
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	2	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	04-29 23:54
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$30	77	0	+77	open	—	01-26 23:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	1	$30	61	0	+61	open	—	04-07 12:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$25	39	38	+1	open	—	04-07 22:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$20	45	0	+45	Yes	+$25	01-27 00:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$19	15	14	+0	open	—	04-04 11:32
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	5	$18	41	41	+0	open	—	04-09 12:34
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	2	$15	65	0	+65	open	—	05-23 04:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$13	67	67	+0	No	$-7	05-07 23:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-13 13:02
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	02-18 12:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 04:25:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x529dbf…
05-23 04:24:53	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0x17b7c6…
05-23 04:23:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xf6c5f9…
05-07 23:48:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	67	4¢	$3	0xc62204…
05-03 08:42:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x56e168…
04-30 04:53:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x9988a3…
04-29 23:54:48	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x1607ee…
04-28 13:08:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x9d61cd…
04-21 13:35:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb40d60…
04-21 13:35:00	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xae1e7d…
04-21 00:08:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x6490da…
04-19 13:17:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xaded20…
04-13 22:08:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x65abe0…
04-13 13:02:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2d7c6b…
04-13 13:02:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x018b82…
04-12 21:21:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x72c1d6…
04-11 01:23:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x4812de…
04-09 12:34:03	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x25e8db…
04-08 23:50:23	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	26	31¢	$8	0x7c9313…
04-08 11:33:33	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x49168f…
04-08 00:31:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xefa1f5…
04-07 22:47:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0xac22e9…
04-07 22:47:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	38	13¢	$5	0x48ddf1…
04-07 12:57:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xd51f1b…
04-07 12:56:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0xc84c5e…
04-07 05:30:41	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x271927…
04-05 04:32:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	182	100¢	$182	0xd10986…
04-04 23:45:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x7adff8…
04-04 21:32:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x37dab2…
04-04 11:32:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	14	74¢	$11	0x7f6f9c…
04-04 11:31:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	70	83¢	$58	0x8c5b2b…
04-02 12:26:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x359690…
03-30 23:02:15	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xc7ac1e…
03-30 20:31:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x9db71f…
03-30 20:30:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0x8ddbaa…
03-30 19:32:19	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0xafe238…
03-29 11:49:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x13cb6e…
03-29 11:47:58	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xffba48…
03-29 11:47:46	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa0f374…
03-29 11:46:52	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x610798…
03-25 22:53:11	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x14becd…
03-25 22:52:31	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xe262f0…
03-25 22:52:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0xf6ba12…
03-25 22:51:57	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	SELL	37	89¢	$33	0xbb12f4…
03-24 11:40:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x5ac119…
03-24 11:40:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xa1c4db…
03-24 11:23:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x8cc08a…
03-24 03:57:53	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x569b68…
03-24 03:57:41	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3e2b4b…
03-24 03:57:21	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x58b733…
03-24 03:57:15	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa8e958…
03-23 19:57:35	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x5e52bd…
03-23 19:57:09	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x59ae56…
03-23 19:54:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	27	82¢	$22	0xbc2d94…
03-23 19:54:23	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	53	94¢	$49	0x9946c8…
03-23 12:46:47	us evacuates beirut embassy by march 31	Yes	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0x8f4baa…
03-23 11:48:35	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x9cb46c…
03-23 11:48:17	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x4d6eb9…
03-23 01:35:13	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	34	98¢	$34	0x9e0720…
03-20 12:27:17	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	87	27¢	$23	0x4aba7c…
03-20 09:56:01	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x96517e…
03-20 09:55:41	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xc1123e…
03-20 09:54:07	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0xa3f7d5…
03-18 23:49:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x0e2051…
03-18 23:49:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xa4ade6…
03-16 21:37:57	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xf04372…
03-16 09:33:25	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0x28c971…
03-16 06:21:45	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x068730…
03-15 10:45:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	193	32¢	$62	0x667cf6…
03-15 07:34:19	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0xb361b0…
03-14 10:41:29	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x575056…
03-14 10:39:29	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x673c5e…
03-14 10:37:59	us evacuates beirut embassy by march 31	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa81559…
03-12 23:03:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	193	26¢	$50	0x4eef38…
03-12 04:20:35	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x52449e…
02-28 08:45:41	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x8c1fc7…
02-28 08:45:35	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xf565dc…
02-28 08:45:29	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	172	100¢	$171	0x6a37b2…
02-28 04:07:51	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x5d4dcc…
02-28 04:06:01	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xd8913b…
02-18 12:36:30	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xf58016…
02-18 12:26:42	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xc71467…
02-14 11:47:15	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x7f7cfb…
01-27 00:00:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x762416…
01-26 23:56:55	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x6fd640…
01-26 23:56:39	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xa844e1…
01-26 23:49:05	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x457e43…