Female-Staircase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$136

Hit rate

30.4%

Resolved

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

$131

1 position

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-18 11:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

71% 67% +$0

Other

16% — —

Crypto

13% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		-973	$-267	14¢	$-131	+$136	06-18 07:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	50	$8.1K	20,246	18,842	+1,404	open	—	05-08 12:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	8	$1.5K	3,486	2,492	+993	open	—	05-07 14:31
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	7	$1.1K	1,111	0	+1,111	open	—	05-03 22:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	26	$690	521	2,007	-1,486	open	—	06-18 07:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	17	$43	51	51	-0	open	—	05-07 08:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	5	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	06-15 15:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	11	$13	34	27	+7	open	—	05-08 08:36
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-06 08:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	11	$10	36	34	+2	open	—	05-08 12:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$8	13	13	+0	open	—	05-07 08:08
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	4	$7	11	11	+0	open	—	04-30 10:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	8	$7	26	26	+0	No	$-0	05-07 07:54
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	06-18 11:44
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 11:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 10:32
Celtics vs. 76ers	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 09:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$3	10	10	+0	open	—	05-08 10:00
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	2	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	04-29 18:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	4	$3	14	14	+0	No	+$0	05-08 12:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$0	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-03 06:33
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	1	$0	5	0	+5	open	—	05-02 07:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 11:44:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0xf3ef1d…
06-18 11:38:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x412190…
06-18 07:42:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x6f1f78…
06-18 06:30:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xc27690…
06-18 06:30:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x1efb11…
06-15 15:25:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x59de9f…
06-15 15:25:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	507	24¢	$122	0xc5d007…
06-15 15:06:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x74dc7b…
06-15 09:10:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0x8c5b8a…
06-15 09:10:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0x5bd028…
06-15 09:09:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x2af6e4…
06-15 09:08:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	41	30¢	$12	0x620a60…
06-15 09:08:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x6f908a…
06-15 09:05:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	133	30¢	$40	0x4157d1…
06-15 09:05:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xa11cdd…
06-15 09:03:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x0ff867…
06-15 09:02:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x5bffa8…
06-15 09:02:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x724a14…
06-15 09:01:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x4e7a08…
06-15 08:58:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x04cd5b…
06-15 08:58:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	60	30¢	$18	0xfc74c0…
06-15 08:57:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x361bf0…
06-15 08:56:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xcb92af…
06-15 08:56:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x0c2e9f…
06-15 08:52:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0xf9fb45…
06-15 08:50:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0x989317…
06-15 08:47:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x96c1e2…
06-15 08:38:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	30¢	$150	0xaed2d2…
06-15 08:36:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	29¢	$145	0x2e23fd…
06-15 08:34:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x6f9f45…
05-08 12:48:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	116	89¢	$104	0xd0d496…
05-08 12:42:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	51	89¢	$46	0x99ad34…
05-08 12:16:29	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	32	89¢	$29	0x9c2f9c…
05-08 12:04:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x065336…
05-08 12:00:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x750968…
05-08 12:00:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x270d9c…
05-08 10:12:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x09f00e…
05-08 10:00:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xe87a17…
05-08 09:42:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x9dfa6d…
05-08 09:30:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x1493b4…
05-08 08:51:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x1dd9ad…
05-08 08:41:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb03699…
05-08 08:36:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xd00428…
05-08 08:25:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x85e938…
05-08 08:25:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x85e938…
05-08 08:21:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x4c7359…
05-08 07:48:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xa5bbb8…
05-08 07:47:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x29220f…
05-08 07:15:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xa1064a…
05-08 06:53:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x2b1690…
05-08 06:52:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xb9edaf…
05-08 06:19:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x0a9615…
05-08 04:55:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x6a389f…
05-08 04:41:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xd4edef…
05-08 04:08:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x47bc3b…
05-08 04:02:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x6baa9d…
05-07 14:31:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,432	24¢	$593	0xaf669e…
05-07 13:23:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,013	20¢	$403	0x074f5f…
05-07 13:19:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	20¢	$100	0x588d48…
05-07 13:19:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	19¢	$380	0x4f5b25…
05-07 13:19:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x3bfef1…
05-07 13:19:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	20¢	$21	0x1715b8…
05-07 10:47:11	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x3c9621…
05-07 10:47:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	20¢	$21	0xf1665c…
05-07 10:45:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	172	20¢	$34	0x656baf…
05-07 10:33:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0x0bd1c9…
05-07 10:30:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	20¢	$12	0x1eb5f7…
05-07 10:25:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	20¢	$22	0xe5f08d…
05-07 10:21:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xa84381…
05-07 10:20:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	20¢	$60	0x2ab264…
05-07 10:02:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	20¢	$200	0x1fb107…
05-07 10:00:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	20¢	$200	0x7bfb58…
05-07 09:51:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,694	20¢	$339	0x3a1f4c…
05-07 09:45:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x326b6d…
05-07 09:38:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,823	20¢	$365	0x33e969…
05-07 09:35:43	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,500	20¢	$500	0xeedc4a…
05-07 09:15:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x8126ef…
05-07 08:39:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x8b7503…
05-07 08:38:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0xcd7460…
05-07 08:37:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	781	20¢	$156	0x360338…
05-07 08:37:29	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x729380…
05-07 08:34:53	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x14ded4…
05-07 08:34:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x329d92…
05-07 08:33:31	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x76d847…
05-07 08:32:47	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0xa578b8…
05-07 08:32:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0xd410ac…
05-07 08:32:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0xae86d3…
05-07 08:29:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0xb3535f…
05-07 08:29:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	20¢	$400	0xa9c88f…
05-07 08:23:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x225e87…
05-07 08:20:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x234ee1…
05-07 08:20:23	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x78b688…
05-07 08:18:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	20¢	$400	0x50501c…
05-07 08:15:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x1d1eb2…
05-07 08:13:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xe68540…
05-07 08:12:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x24b56e…
05-07 08:11:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20,000	20¢	$4,000	0xf8f93a…
05-07 08:11:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xe5f73c…
05-07 08:08:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0xaa5446…
05-07 08:05:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	26¢	$9	0x31c8a1…