Female-Staircase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.4%

Resolved

Trades

210

lifetime

Volume

$13.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-28 08:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

63% 67% +$0

Other

25% — —

Crypto

11% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	50	$8.1K	20,246	18,842	+1,404	open	—	05-08 12:48
starmer out by june 22 2026	25	$1.6K	1,106	1,106	+0	open	—	06-22 08:10
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	8	$1.5K	3,486	2,492	+993	open	—	05-07 14:31
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	7	$1.1K	1,111	0	+1,111	open	—	05-03 22:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	32	$722	543	2,036	-1,493	open	—	06-21 11:07
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	4	$440	512	512	+0	open	—	06-27 13:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	17	$43	51	51	-0	open	—	05-07 08:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	5	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	06-15 15:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	11	$13	34	27	+7	open	—	05-08 08:36
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-06 08:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	11	$10	36	34	+2	open	—	05-08 12:00
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	4	$8	13	13	+0	open	—	06-24 06:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$8	13	13	+0	open	—	05-07 08:08
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	4	$7	11	11	+0	open	—	04-30 10:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	8	$7	26	26	+0	No	$-0	05-07 07:54
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 11:42
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	2	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	06-28 08:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 10:32
Celtics vs. 76ers	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 09:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$3	10	10	+0	open	—	05-08 10:00
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	2	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	04-29 18:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	4	$3	14	14	+0	No	+$0	05-08 12:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$0	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-03 06:33
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	1	$0	5	0	+5	open	—	05-02 07:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 08:03:19	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xce01df…
06-27 13:01:29	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	512	43¢	$220	0x961154…
06-27 10:47:44	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x7c6031…
06-27 08:20:01	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xf5616f…
06-27 06:54:49	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	43¢	$215	0xbb1608…
06-27 06:54:31	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x675c4d…
06-24 06:45:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x5692b5…
06-24 06:44:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xfbb466…
06-22 08:10:13	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x46f404…
06-22 08:10:11	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	24	90¢	$21	0xb797b2…
06-22 08:07:56	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	81	82¢	$67	0x514808…
06-22 08:07:25	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x9f5e36…
06-22 08:05:17	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	81	79¢	$64	0xd4c1c5…
06-22 07:56:13	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x450aac…
06-22 07:42:40	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0xe1c572…
06-22 07:40:22	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x93ced7…
06-22 07:39:44	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0xf87a2e…
06-22 07:39:19	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x35b037…
06-22 07:39:08	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x665630…
06-22 07:38:47	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	15	82¢	$13	0x075769…
06-22 07:38:28	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0x23fed9…
06-22 07:37:58	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x54d8ec…
06-22 07:37:55	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x13d9c2…
06-22 07:37:31	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x6428ab…
06-22 07:30:44	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	236	82¢	$193	0xd22bdd…
06-22 06:33:23	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	77	76¢	$58	0x13e5bb…
06-22 06:32:26	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	77	73¢	$56	0x4b4245…
06-22 06:29:34	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x7412cd…
06-22 05:51:32	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	510	68¢	$347	0x37c44f…
06-22 05:46:34	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	316	66¢	$208	0xe2cc6c…
06-22 05:46:25	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	184	66¢	$122	0x2e723b…
06-22 05:45:34	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xf76632…
06-21 11:07:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x312704…
06-21 08:12:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x14b39d…
06-20 10:12:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x4dbc0d…
06-20 10:11:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x880031…
06-19 05:42:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0x04c047…
06-19 05:38:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x912a67…
06-18 11:44:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0xf3ef1d…
06-18 11:38:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x412190…
06-18 07:42:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x6f1f78…
06-18 06:30:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xc27690…
06-18 06:30:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x1efb11…
06-15 15:25:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x59de9f…
06-15 15:25:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	507	24¢	$122	0xc5d007…
06-15 15:06:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x74dc7b…
06-15 09:10:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0x8c5b8a…
06-15 09:10:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0x5bd028…
06-15 09:09:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x2af6e4…
06-15 09:08:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	41	30¢	$12	0x620a60…
06-15 09:08:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x6f908a…
06-15 09:05:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	133	30¢	$40	0x4157d1…
06-15 09:05:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xa11cdd…
06-15 09:03:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x0ff867…
06-15 09:02:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x5bffa8…
06-15 09:02:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x724a14…
06-15 09:01:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x4e7a08…
06-15 08:58:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x04cd5b…
06-15 08:58:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	60	30¢	$18	0xfc74c0…
06-15 08:57:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x361bf0…
06-15 08:56:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xcb92af…
06-15 08:56:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x0c2e9f…
06-15 08:52:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0xf9fb45…
06-15 08:50:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0x989317…
06-15 08:47:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x96c1e2…
06-15 08:38:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	30¢	$150	0xaed2d2…
06-15 08:36:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	29¢	$145	0x2e23fd…
06-15 08:34:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x6f9f45…
05-08 12:48:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	116	89¢	$104	0xd0d496…
05-08 12:42:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	51	89¢	$46	0x99ad34…
05-08 12:16:29	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	32	89¢	$29	0x9c2f9c…
05-08 12:04:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x065336…
05-08 12:00:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x750968…
05-08 12:00:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x270d9c…
05-08 10:12:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x09f00e…
05-08 10:00:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xe87a17…
05-08 09:42:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x9dfa6d…
05-08 09:30:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x1493b4…
05-08 08:51:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x1dd9ad…
05-08 08:41:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb03699…
05-08 08:36:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xd00428…
05-08 08:25:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x85e938…
05-08 08:25:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x85e938…
05-08 08:21:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x4c7359…
05-08 07:48:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xa5bbb8…
05-08 07:47:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x29220f…
05-08 07:15:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xa1064a…
05-08 06:53:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x2b1690…
05-08 06:52:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xb9edaf…
05-08 06:19:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x0a9615…
05-08 04:55:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x6a389f…
05-08 04:41:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xd4edef…
05-08 04:08:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x47bc3b…
05-08 04:02:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x6baa9d…
05-07 14:31:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,432	24¢	$593	0xaf669e…
05-07 13:23:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,013	20¢	$403	0x074f5f…
05-07 13:19:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	20¢	$100	0x588d48…
05-07 13:19:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	19¢	$380	0x4f5b25…
05-07 13:19:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x3bfef1…
05-07 13:19:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	20¢	$21	0x1715b8…