Cold-Spyglass-Stepmother — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-22 22:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

81% 100% +$0

Other

19% 62% $-26

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	8	$1.3K	3,346	296	+3,050	open	—	06-14 22:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	13	$813	957	401	+556	open	—	06-13 16:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$539	767	0	+767	open	—	05-25 13:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$354	123	318	-194	open	—	05-29 21:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$210	256	0	+256	open	—	05-24 01:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$140	115	115	+0	open	—	05-06 16:45
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$115	128	0	+128	No	+$13	05-06 17:20
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$100	105	0	+105	No	+$5	05-06 17:26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$90	79	79	+0	open	—	06-09 16:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	3	$59	86	86	+0	open	—	05-06 16:45
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$50	54	0	+54	Yes	$-50	05-06 17:05
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $735 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$49	42	42	+0	Yes	$-1	05-06 17:18
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	2	$26	25	25	+0	open	—	05-12 01:29
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	2	$24	46	46	+0	open	—	05-11 16:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$20	21	21	+0	open	—	05-16 22:22
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?	2	$20	17	17	+0	open	—	05-12 01:29
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$19	22	22	+0	No	$-1	05-08 13:59
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$17	18	0	+18	No	+$1	05-07 23:49
atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	1	$17	25	0	+25	open	—	06-05 16:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	1	$15	22	0	+22	open	—	05-11 01:24
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	1	$15	19	0	+19	Yes	+$4	05-08 13:56
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	1	$15	18	0	+18	open	—	05-15 05:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$10	15	15	+0	open	—	05-16 22:20
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	1	$10	13	0	+13	Yes	+$3	05-08 14:00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-19 12:00
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	05-16 22:16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-15 21:41
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	05-15 05:22
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	2	$8	13	13	+0	open	—	06-01 17:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-08 22:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 22:47:31	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9024e4…
06-14 22:30:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,067	33¢	$350	0xf342d7…
06-14 21:46:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,364	25¢	$342	0x90f12e…
06-14 21:43:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	714	35¢	$250	0xff9f47…
06-13 16:30:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x6cbc46…
06-13 16:29:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa8a5dd…
06-13 16:28:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xc7780f…
06-13 16:28:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	88	46¢	$40	0x3f9dbc…
06-13 16:23:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x52d257…
06-13 16:23:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	133	76¢	$100	0x9cda15…
06-13 14:18:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	46	76¢	$35	0x1da1d2…
06-13 14:16:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	76	46¢	$35	0x28dcd2…
06-12 19:54:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x1dfc96…
06-12 15:56:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xeeb0d1…
06-12 15:55:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	64¢	$22	0x060b5c…
06-12 13:36:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x68d79d…
06-11 22:58:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	114	68¢	$78	0x2c2deb…
06-09 16:31:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	79	57¢	$45	0x160392…
06-05 16:26:54	atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x5730fa…
06-05 16:22:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	79	57¢	$45	0x5b778f…
06-01 17:07:03	Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0x9173e7…
06-01 13:01:56	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb49305…
06-01 12:54:39	Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd73283…
05-29 21:37:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	231	65¢	$150	0x1a0107…
05-29 21:12:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	296	74¢	$219	0xccae03…
05-29 21:11:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	318	80¢	$254	0xdb6428…
05-29 21:10:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	401	64¢	$257	0x2fb90e…
05-29 13:43:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	93	61¢	$57	0x157b41…
05-29 13:42:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	93	61¢	$57	0xd391d2…
05-29 13:41:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xea0c0e…
05-25 13:32:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xcd8830…
05-24 01:40:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	35¢	$12	0x2eeae9…
05-24 01:40:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xe97f80…
05-22 21:02:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	172	87¢	$150	0x2b5562…
05-22 21:02:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	185	81¢	$150	0xec421f…
05-21 21:32:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0x9314a8…
05-21 21:31:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	82¢	$57	0xaf574e…
05-21 12:37:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x7185bc…
05-19 12:00:15	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x150f46…
05-16 22:22:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	21	50¢	$10	0x6d382a…
05-16 22:20:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0x6758b0…
05-16 22:16:11	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x90b1d0…
05-15 21:41:03	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x95d210…
05-15 05:23:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x39327d…
05-15 05:22:41	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x535693…
05-15 05:22:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x82aac8…
05-15 05:21:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x87d9a6…
05-12 01:29:33	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?	Yes	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0xd92afc…
05-12 01:29:19	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0xbe7455…
05-11 16:41:31	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	46	30¢	$14	0x2d7559…
05-11 01:24:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xd1f1c6…
05-11 01:24:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x22cfe2…
05-11 01:20:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x567323…
05-08 22:13:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x86841a…
05-08 21:45:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	215	65¢	$140	0xca490e…
05-08 21:43:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x6a128d…
05-08 14:00:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa10e23…
05-08 14:00:13	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x0c803f…
05-08 13:59:08	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	39¢	$9	0x1eff15…
05-08 13:58:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x7715e4…
05-08 13:56:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xd49ba4…
05-08 13:56:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x6c6b2e…
05-08 13:56:15	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x157a45…
05-07 23:49:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0xf71a09…
05-06 17:26:43	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x585ebf…
05-06 17:26:43	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x011625…
05-06 17:20:53	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	128	90¢	$115	0x56e523…
05-06 17:18:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $735 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	58¢	$24	0x776685…
05-06 17:05:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x8aa5d5…
05-06 16:59:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $735 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xbe74f7…
05-06 16:45:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	115	61¢	$70	0x8c4689…
05-06 16:45:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	86	34¢	$29	0x83e454…
05-06 16:36:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xf87f8c…
05-06 16:36:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x136f32…
05-06 16:36:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	115	61¢	$70	0x0b475d…