Inferior-Honor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$414

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 06-21 16:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

69% 100% +$5

Other

29% 0% $-4

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$57	57	57	+0	open	—	04-07 22:43
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$54	63	63	+0	open	—	04-16 18:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$42	51	0	+51	open	—	04-07 22:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$29	0	29	-29	open	—	06-16 04:57
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	4	$26	35	35	+0	open	—	04-22 05:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$26	52	52	+0	open	—	05-31 03:57
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	04-19 17:03
euroleague monaco aviv 2026 04 17	3	$20	72	0	+72	open	—	04-17 18:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$17	40	40	+0	No	+$5	05-04 13:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$15	191	191	+0	open	—	05-03 14:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$15	107	0	+107	open	—	03-24 17:18
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-14 06:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$10	16	16	+0	open	—	06-15 05:12
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$9	15	15	+0	open	—	04-15 17:04
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	4	$9	264	264	+0	open	—	06-15 03:38
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-14 14:07
nba hou lal 2026 04 21	1	$5	50	0	+50	open	—	04-22 05:08
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	04-21 20:38
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-24 14:09
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid	2	$4	32	0	+32	Real Madrid	$-4	05-07 19:41
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	04-20 11:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$3	105	105	+0	open	—	05-15 11:00
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half total 1pt5	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 16:25
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	1	$2	18	0	+18	open	—	06-18 12:16
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	06-08 11:56
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	1	$2	14	0	+14	open	—	06-15 10:45
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 first half total 1pt5	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-19 17:54
fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 first half total 0pt5	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	06-19 18:08
fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 btts	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-16 05:02
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 first half total 1pt5	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	06-21 05:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 16:25:47	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half total 1pt5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc81f33…
06-21 05:05:16	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 goals darwin nunez gte1	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcfed9a…
06-21 05:02:43	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb84b2c…
06-21 05:00:59	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x357349…
06-19 18:14:11	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 first half team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa2b68f…
06-19 18:11:55	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb43c30…
06-19 18:08:05	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x07067f…
06-19 17:54:58	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8e9bfd…
06-18 12:30:37	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd014e9…
06-18 12:16:04	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x5eec3a…
06-17 10:45:17	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 btts	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x426c62…
06-16 05:02:04	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 btts	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x65cec1…
06-16 05:01:31	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Jordan	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4083ef…
06-16 04:59:55	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Senegal	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x56230b…
06-16 04:57:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0x3531f3…
06-15 10:45:10	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xeadd94…
06-15 05:12:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0x8e37ab…
06-15 04:46:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xea6a10…
06-15 03:38:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	264	0¢	$1	0xa7afa5…
06-14 14:07:31	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1ea781…
06-13 18:58:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x2d0ae0…
06-08 11:56:52	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x965aff…
06-03 15:48:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0x022cc9…
05-31 03:57:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x415f58…
05-28 14:43:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xea5287…
05-27 14:35:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x4f648e…
05-25 13:06:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0xafbc7a…
05-24 14:09:28	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xbedcf6…
05-15 11:00:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0x9a3fa0…
05-09 19:00:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x0a0f80…
05-07 19:41:10	Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid	Hapoel Tel Aviv	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x922282…
05-07 19:08:40	Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid	Hapoel Tel Aviv	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x497810…
05-06 09:38:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xc10dda…
05-04 13:11:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0x4597ab…
05-03 14:59:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	191	0¢	$0	0xd6e2cf…
05-03 08:19:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x4007e7…
04-25 12:31:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x5a9db4…
04-23 15:22:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0x4685fe…
04-22 05:36:16	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xf41b35…
04-22 05:08:32	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Rockets	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xb5f698…
04-21 20:39:30	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x954ba3…
04-21 20:38:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x7848e7…
04-21 07:55:38	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0x82641c…
04-20 11:09:56	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x26d370…
04-19 17:03:38	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x0acdf8…
04-19 15:50:20	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb3e4a7…
04-18 17:09:34	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xb3430c…
04-17 18:06:10	euroleague monaco aviv 2026 04 17	Hapoel Tel Aviv	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xe9b8a6…
04-17 17:56:58	euroleague monaco aviv 2026 04 17	Hapoel Tel Aviv	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x763e0c…
04-16 18:09:18	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x2791e7…
04-16 13:44:08	euroleague monaco aviv 2026 04 17	Hapoel Tel Aviv	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x2ffcdb…
04-15 17:04:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0xeb93f7…
04-14 20:39:32	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x8b9fec…
04-14 20:38:52	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x162bdf…
04-14 17:57:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xb16d61…
04-14 11:40:11	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	30¢	$12	0x5542c5…
04-14 06:20:09	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x639f1e…
04-12 09:29:51	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0x731171…
04-07 22:44:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	51	82¢	$42	0x0b832c…
04-07 22:43:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	57	73¢	$42	0x55f269…
03-27 11:00:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	57	26¢	$15	0x311f84…
03-24 17:18:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x8d6e2b…