Probable-Possible — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

37.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-14 19:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

100% 50% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on May 15?	No		+2	$2	100¢	$2	$-0	05-14 19:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on May 15?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-14 19:00
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	1	$2	2	+2	BetBoom Team	$-2	05-12 20:00
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-05-10?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	05-10 17:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 19:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on May 15?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9cedb1…
05-12 20:00:59	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	Vitality	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x3b0a5f…
05-10 17:05:59	Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-05-10?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x99eb8c…