Buttery-Candidacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$1.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 07-27 20:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

60% — —

Other

24% — —

Crypto

11% 0% $-10

Politics

5% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	16	$473	597	597	+0	open	—	04-20 06:45
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	14	$425	839	839	+0	open	—	04-24 14:47
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$182	307	307	+0	open	—	04-19 16:42
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$154	78	78	+0	open	—	04-13 14:10
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	20	$106	105	105	+0	open	—	07-27 20:34
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$91	87	87	+0	open	—	04-19 21:33
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	6	$90	87	87	+0	Yes	$-1	04-30 04:30
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	7	$90	124	124	-0	open	—	04-30 17:15
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$73	46	45	+1	open	—	04-25 14:26
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	6	$73	72	72	+0	open	—	07-11 00:19
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	13	$70	66	73	-7	open	—	07-23 06:46
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	7	$47	156	156	+0	open	—	06-03 10:03
Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$30	71	0	+71	open	—	04-24 15:12
Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$20	76	0	+76	open	—	04-24 15:12
Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$10	345	0	+345	Yes	$-10	04-24 15:12
Over $500k committed to the Pharos public sale?	1	$10	108	0	+108	open	—	04-24 15:11
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-13 05:05
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$0	100	0	+100	open	—	04-13 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 20:34:36	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0xf29625…
07-27 20:29:18	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x77a63f…
07-25 07:42:09	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	17	50¢	$8	0xe47c9f…
07-25 07:37:33	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0xebf619…
07-23 06:46:57	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	15	50¢	$7	0x023016…
07-23 06:41:04	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x666b99…
07-21 18:15:25	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0x194029…
07-21 06:07:21	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0xb3d286…
07-21 05:59:24	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x03d6b3…
07-20 05:34:34	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x7d2295…
07-20 05:29:52	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd8a6d4…
07-13 13:20:26	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	SELL	7	49¢	$4	0xdf6fc3…
07-13 13:13:34	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x2dc048…
07-13 01:06:38	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xd2858a…
07-13 01:00:43	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf50e1e…
07-11 12:31:22	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0xd173c8…
07-11 12:24:25	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x5214af…
07-11 00:19:01	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x2ca975…
07-11 00:18:47	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x2a412e…
07-08 23:26:52	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x50fbfe…
07-08 23:23:11	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x64eca1…
07-06 22:33:43	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0x076964…
07-06 22:27:40	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xdad806…
07-04 21:37:31	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x532b49…
07-04 21:32:07	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x81ac14…
07-03 21:18:28	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0xed3cff…
07-03 21:13:37	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xfe0fb4…
07-02 20:58:31	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x93d9ef…
07-02 20:50:28	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x2f2f44…
07-02 08:46:52	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x1dd156…
07-02 08:40:14	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x161805…
06-03 10:03:25	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	69	15¢	$10	0x430234…
06-02 23:33:42	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	69	15¢	$10	0xf30795…
06-01 02:09:57	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	21	51¢	$11	0x750694…
05-31 15:15:32	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xa76c87…
05-31 02:52:48	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	87	14¢	$12	0x61b0be…
05-30 18:44:49	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	38	17¢	$6	0x16e934…
05-30 16:42:26	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x873b01…
05-30 16:42:23	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0xf5a37f…
05-30 16:42:23	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0x02b1a0…
05-29 07:31:49	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0xdf5820…
05-28 19:39:49	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xa24006…
05-28 19:24:38	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	SELL	31	51¢	$16	0x38a650…
05-28 09:14:33	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0xf0747e…
05-28 08:59:23	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	SELL	33	51¢	$17	0xd72e49…
05-27 21:53:23	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0x9fdcdd…
04-30 17:15:54	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	14	82¢	$12	0xd0f1eb…
04-30 16:05:28	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xb7e9c8…
04-30 07:10:52	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0x49ce53…
04-30 06:02:58	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	26	40¢	$11	0x4cc850…
04-30 04:30:58	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0xb5b2c6…
04-30 03:11:30	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0xc2e3ea…
04-29 21:10:22	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0xa9fdfe…
04-29 20:09:12	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0xb7b986…
04-25 14:26:26	Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0xb2dd90…
04-24 15:12:30	Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x47434d…
04-24 15:12:16	Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	76	26¢	$20	0x550433…
04-24 15:12:00	Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0x28a5c9…
04-24 15:11:42	Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	No	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xdc2418…
04-24 15:11:28	Over $500k committed to the Pharos public sale?	No	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0x93ac15…
04-24 14:47:30	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	27	88¢	$24	0x99c57d…
04-24 03:10:10	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0xe839e5…
04-22 17:13:58	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	186	12¢	$22	0x94b2a2…
04-22 05:51:22	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	186	12¢	$23	0x80ca35…
04-20 14:17:36	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	304	13¢	$41	0x3fe1bb…
04-20 12:36:36	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	304	14¢	$42	0x4b2947…
04-20 08:47:30	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	61	86¢	$53	0x4bac1d…
04-20 07:01:08	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	61	86¢	$53	0x6154ab…
04-20 06:45:52	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	189	27¢	$51	0x266293…
04-20 05:26:54	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	189	28¢	$53	0xf782b6…
04-20 05:14:22	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	44	53¢	$23	0x79ad5c…
04-20 05:13:34	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	44	54¢	$24	0xa21996…
04-20 02:28:14	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	211	13¢	$28	0x050f78…
04-20 02:19:16	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	211	13¢	$28	0x48ad22…
04-19 21:33:04	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	49	52¢	$25	0x245161…
04-19 21:25:50	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	49	52¢	$25	0xda02bd…
04-19 17:49:12	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	39	52¢	$20	0x67cafe…
04-19 17:40:28	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	39	53¢	$20	0xa6f208…
04-19 16:42:48	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	166	13¢	$22	0xb42e10…
04-19 16:33:24	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	166	13¢	$22	0x4c7e15…
04-19 09:10:24	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	26	88¢	$23	0x71da74…
04-19 09:00:32	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0xcf5642…
04-18 15:58:30	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	84	27¢	$22	0x19feb6…
04-18 15:53:08	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	45	28¢	$13	0xb63118…
04-18 15:53:08	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	39	28¢	$11	0x40de7d…
04-18 13:15:10	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	34	85¢	$29	0xef89f3…
04-18 13:05:46	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	34	85¢	$29	0xde2d3a…
04-18 00:10:04	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0x762825…
04-17 23:54:06	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0x74cf4f…
04-17 20:15:18	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	34	86¢	$29	0x116370…
04-17 20:01:22	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	34	86¢	$29	0xb7ff7f…
04-16 22:50:14	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	29	78¢	$23	0xa46b0d…
04-16 22:45:06	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	29	78¢	$23	0x6b4635…
04-16 21:42:40	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	33	78¢	$26	0x9f94c0…
04-16 21:37:14	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	33	78¢	$26	0x5350ba…
04-16 14:16:38	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	129	22¢	$29	0x4d60e5…
04-16 14:10:52	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	129	22¢	$29	0x4296e3…
04-15 10:13:14	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	110	22¢	$24	0xcf5259…
04-15 10:06:34	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	110	22¢	$24	0x4c8173…
04-13 23:10:17	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	45	78¢	$35	0xad8520…