Trusty-Belly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.08K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.3%

Resolved

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$7.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-26 00:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

78% 39% -$2,418

Sports

12% 62% +$249

Politics

8% 100% +$216

Tech

2% 0% -$135

Crypto

0% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	19	$1.6K	3,600	3,600	+0	No	-$880	02-19 18:20
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	6	$1.5K	2,854	0	+2,854	No	-$1,512	05-17 19:58
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 8 million	7	$639	650	647	+3	Yes	-$6	01-08 08:35
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	3	$482	300	300	+0	No	+$116	02-16 07:10
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	10	$462	256	256	+0	Yes	+$26	05-14 16:21
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	12	$451	2,216	2,216	+0	No	-$259	05-11 16:49
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	10	$256	200	200	+0	Yes	+$102	02-16 07:28
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	10	$218	640	0	+640	Yes	+$422	04-25 02:10
Spread: Ravens (-2.5)	2	$153	100	100	+0	Ravens	+$47	09-13 20:27
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	1	$150	250	0	+250	Yes	+$100	05-18 07:27
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	10	$144	1,394	1,394	+0	No	-$101	05-11 16:49
will google gemini 3 score at least 40 on the frontiermath benchmark	3	$130	200	0	+200	No	+$70	01-06 16:08
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$100	500	0	+500	No	-$100	05-14 17:08
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)	1	$100	191	0	+191	49ers	+$91	10-11 20:35
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$87	500	0	+500	No	-$87	05-14 17:08
Ravens vs. Falcons	2	$81	200	0	+200	Ravens	+$119	10-12 03:26
will claude opus 4 7 thinking be the top ai model on april 24 2026 style control on	6	$81	1,390	0	+1,390	Yes	-$81	04-24 21:38
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	2	$75	44	44	+0	Yes	+$13	02-16 07:11
Spread: Lions (-3.5)	1	$70	119	0	+119	Lions	-$70	10-11 20:34
Chiefs vs. Seahawks	1	$70	121	0	+121	Seahawks	+$51	10-26 00:19
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	10	$59	498	0	+498	No	-$59	05-19 13:15
Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)	1	$56	100	0	+100	Giants	-$56	09-13 16:54
will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 24 2026 style control on	3	$54	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$54	04-24 21:32
maduro mugshot released by january 9	3	$53	84	0	+84	No	+$31	01-05 06:10
Spread: Packers (-4.5)	1	$52	100	0	+100	Falcons	-$52	09-25 00:15
Spread: Steelers (-6.5)	1	$51	100	0	+100	Steelers	-$51	09-13 16:55
Spread: Rams (-3.5)	1	$50	100	0	+100	49ers	+$50	09-11 00:29
Giants vs. Commanders	1	$50	96	0	+96	cancelled	-$2	10-11 20:33
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)	1	$47	100	0	+100	Commanders	-$47	09-13 18:04
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	3	$46	481	0	+481	No	-$46	05-17 20:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 00:19:41	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	121	58¢	$70	0xbeb552…
10-12 03:26:27	Ravens vs. Falcons	Ravens	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xb0212d…
10-12 00:53:20	Ravens vs. Falcons	Ravens	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xbf337b…
10-11 20:35:10	Spread: 49ers (-2.5)	49ers	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0x461e8b…
10-11 20:34:13	Spread: Lions (-3.5)	Cardinals	BUY	119	59¢	$70	0x4f99d1…
10-11 20:33:33	Giants vs. Commanders	Giants	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x9a0e00…
09-25 00:15:47	Spread: Packers (-4.5)	Packers	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xdc9698…
09-13 20:29:10	Spread: Vikings (-2.5)	Vikings	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x8aec51…
09-13 20:27:01	Spread: Ravens (-2.5)	Ravens	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf3b1aa…
09-13 20:10:00	Spread: Raiders (-3.5)	Raiders	BUY	39	45¢	$18	0x7d6233…
09-13 20:09:04	Spread: Raiders (-3.5)	Raiders	BUY	61	45¢	$27	0x8f2dcf…
09-13 18:04:57	Spread: Eagles (-6.5)	Eagles	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x0b1298…
09-13 16:58:45	Spread: Ravens (-2.5)	Ravens	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x3852e8…
09-13 16:55:09	Spread: Steelers (-6.5)	Falcons	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xfd8ce5…
09-13 16:54:37	Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)	Cowboys	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xd32307…
09-13 16:53:48	Spread: Bears (-3.5)	Bears	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xa281bc…
09-11 00:29:22	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	49ers	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xd101fe…
05-19 13:15:18	Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	113	9¢	$10	0x8f23bb…
05-19 13:15:11	Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	79	9¢	$7	0xc6e5cb…
05-18 15:48:37	Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x43d5b7…
05-18 07:27:56	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0x34fc09…
05-18 07:17:33	Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x6eb30d…
05-18 07:12:52	Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x4b3669…
05-18 02:00:54	Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x10de74…
05-18 02:00:52	Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x9386f7…
05-18 02:00:52	Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x711182…
05-17 20:05:47	Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	101	9¢	$9	0xed410b…
05-17 20:05:28	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	7¢	$16	0x1bf308…
05-17 20:05:05	Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x434974…
05-17 19:58:02	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,300	20¢	$260	0xd0230f…
05-15 05:21:52	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	71¢	$128	0x42547a…
05-14 17:10:15	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0xae145a…
05-14 17:09:57	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	13¢	$27	0x567473…
05-14 17:08:58	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xe27ab8…
05-14 17:08:44	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	500	17¢	$87	0xbb2620…
05-14 17:08:16	Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	148	19¢	$27	0x2ed5e0…
05-14 17:07:55	Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	226	6¢	$14	0x3bfbb5…
05-14 16:29:19	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	70¢	$16	0xb15ad1…
05-14 16:21:16	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	95¢	$244	0x708fec…
05-11 16:51:47	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	91¢	$727	0x3c064f…
05-11 16:51:28	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	89¢	$223	0x44cff2…
05-11 16:49:47	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 14?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x17d534…
05-11 16:49:41	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	1¢	$1	0xb1d118…
05-11 16:49:38	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,288	2¢	$20	0x469a87…
05-11 16:49:22	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,216	4¢	$96	0x073dd5…
05-10 02:48:29	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 14?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xa922a1…
05-10 02:37:17	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$26	0x9f75c0…
05-09 22:34:28	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xe1f71b…
05-09 21:56:47	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xf39383…
05-09 21:56:47	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xc0b37e…
05-09 21:56:47	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x64c8dd…
05-09 21:56:47	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x396b0b…
05-09 21:56:47	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x35b974…
05-09 21:56:47	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x0ad979…
05-09 21:56:45	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xdbf07a…
05-09 20:53:07	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x3923d0…
05-09 20:52:49	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	5¢	$9	0x71e0ff…
05-08 14:13:13	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x4815f1…
05-08 07:36:15	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	8¢	$34	0x93dbf5…
05-08 04:35:46	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x8f8aff…
05-08 04:20:29	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x24b95c…
05-08 04:20:08	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	12¢	$17	0x36f0e8…
05-08 02:50:49	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	13¢	$32	0x9e5e04…
05-08 02:50:35	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	52¢	$157	0x8198f1…
05-06 06:56:44	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	17¢	$24	0xb28e36…
05-06 06:56:28	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	11¢	$19	0x59a635…
05-06 06:55:56	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	10¢	$7	0x911d41…
05-06 06:55:44	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	10¢	$11	0xf86708…
05-06 06:55:34	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x346c47…
05-06 02:35:44	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xaad1aa…
05-06 02:32:00	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	273	29¢	$79	0x4e2f94…
05-06 02:12:44	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xd2504e…
05-06 01:42:34	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	629	4¢	$28	0x752a0b…
05-06 01:41:40	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	166	29¢	$48	0x3b16bc…
05-06 01:41:22	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	29¢	$131	0xd46e05…
04-25 02:10:16	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xde7631…
04-24 23:26:32	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x52f409…
04-24 23:18:44	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xfbe7b9…
04-24 23:16:50	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0x8b7120…
04-24 23:16:50	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	443	34¢	$151	0x034e24…
04-24 22:29:24	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xe7b919…
04-24 22:29:24	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x88ba8b…
04-24 22:29:24	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x7d1f89…
04-24 22:29:24	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x7a6115…
04-24 22:29:24	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0x255aae…
04-24 21:38:32	will claude opus 4 7 thinking be the top ai model on april 24 2026 style control on	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xd58610…
04-24 21:38:24	will claude opus 4 7 thinking be the top ai model on april 24 2026 style control on	No	BUY	190	5¢	$10	0x6c96e0…
04-24 21:33:34	will claude opus 4 7 thinking be the top ai model on april 24 2026 style control on	No	BUY	500	5¢	$26	0x14b798…
04-24 21:32:30	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 24 2026 style control on	Yes	BUY	411	5¢	$22	0xc7fa00…
04-24 21:29:06	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 24 2026 style control on	Yes	BUY	89	5¢	$5	0xe0b2cf…
04-24 21:20:20	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 24 2026 style control on	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$28	0x3f7d06…
04-24 21:19:22	will claude opus 4 7 thinking be the top ai model on april 24 2026 style control on	No	BUY	494	7¢	$35	0x66b633…
04-24 21:18:26	will claude opus 4 7 thinking be the top ai model on april 24 2026 style control on	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xca6ae4…
04-24 21:15:16	will claude opus 4 7 thinking be the top ai model on april 24 2026 style control on	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xebf3f2…
02-19 18:20:06	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	3,600	10¢	$360	0xaece08…
02-16 07:45:21	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	952	35¢	$333	0xfd3d80…
02-16 07:44:33	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0x05ca49…
02-16 07:43:59	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x7ac230…
02-16 07:40:43	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	274	35¢	$96	0xf85640…
02-16 07:40:25	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	351	35¢	$123	0xc27d73…