Elementary-Arrest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$357

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-13 01:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$8

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No		+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	06-02 02:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	Yes	+$3	05-11 01:01
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 9?	1	$1.1K	1,074	0	+1,074	No	+$2	05-09 01:19
ethereum above 3600 on january 18	1	$1.1K	1,073	0	+1,073	open	—	01-18 01:19
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 17	1	$1.1K	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	01-17 01:15
bitcoin above 102k on january 16	1	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	open	—	01-16 01:45
bitcoin above 86k on january 15	1	$1.1K	1,069	0	+1,069	open	—	01-15 01:37
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	01-14 01:37
ethereum above 3500 on january 13	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	open	—	01-13 01:09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	No	+$2	05-05 03:12
will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 12	1	$1.1K	1,065	0	+1,065	open	—	01-12 02:20
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 11	1	$1.1K	1,064	0	+1,064	open	—	01-11 02:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 10	1	$1.1K	1,063	0	+1,063	open	—	01-10 02:01
will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 9	1	$1.1K	1,061	0	+1,061	open	—	01-09 05:25
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on May 3?	1	$1.1K	1,055	0	+1,055	open	—	05-03 02:07
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-20 01:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 2	4	$9	4,293	0	+4,293	open	—	01-02 00:45
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	1	$8	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	02-11 02:04
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	1	$7	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	02-04 06:08
ethereum above 1700 on february 18	1	$3	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	02-18 02:11
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-14 02:21
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-21 09:35
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-06 11:26
ethereum above 1600 on february 25	1	$2	1,112	0	+1,112	open	—	02-25 02:20
ethereum above 1600 on march 9	1	$2	1,092	0	+1,092	open	—	03-09 02:40
will the price of xrp be between 1pt00 1pt10 on april 8	1	$2	1,088	0	+1,088	open	—	04-08 01:25
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 17	1	$2	1,087	0	+1,087	open	—	04-17 00:42
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	1	$2	1,077	0	+1,077	open	—	04-28 00:53
ethereum above 1600 on march 30	1	$2	1,066	0	+1,066	open	—	03-30 00:51
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 21	2	$2	1,063	0	+1,063	open	—	03-21 02:03
ethereum above 1800 on june 13 2026	1	$2	1,056	0	+1,056	open	—	06-13 01:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 01:12:31	ethereum above 1800 on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,056	0¢	$2	0x7cc9fb…
06-04 06:18:07	ethereum above 1500 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	795	0¢	$2	0xbbe9c3…
06-02 02:45:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6b2b84…
05-21 09:35:44	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4ef622…
05-11 01:01:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,077	0x6b1d49…
05-09 01:19:34	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 9?	No	BUY	1,074	100¢	$1,071	0x10c7fb…
05-05 03:12:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,064	0xd83e96…
05-03 02:07:12	Will the price of Solana be above $50 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1,055	100¢	$1,053	0x5ea92a…
04-28 00:53:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	1,077	0¢	$2	0xa7f7ac…
04-17 00:42:02	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 17	Yes	BUY	1,087	0¢	$2	0xc2c7ab…
04-14 02:21:55	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x228b71…
04-08 01:25:29	will the price of xrp be between 1pt00 1pt10 on april 8	Yes	BUY	1,088	0¢	$2	0x555ca0…
04-06 11:26:45	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7a6baa…
03-30 00:51:56	ethereum above 1600 on march 30	No	BUY	1,066	0¢	$2	0xa08108…
03-21 02:03:31	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 21	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x3fd69d…
03-21 02:03:29	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 21	Yes	BUY	1,051	0¢	$2	0xc4c204…
03-09 02:40:11	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	No	BUY	1,092	0¢	$2	0x62e9b2…
02-25 02:20:16	ethereum above 1600 on february 25	No	BUY	1,112	0¢	$2	0x0e1136…
02-18 02:11:39	ethereum above 1700 on february 18	No	BUY	1,101	0¢	$3	0x582f14…
02-11 02:04:59	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1,100	1¢	$8	0x762731…
02-04 06:08:40	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	Yes	BUY	1,071	1¢	$7	0x8a41ba…
02-02 03:57:48	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x260cef…
01-30 07:21:08	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0adc1b…
01-29 08:47:44	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfd19d4…
01-28 04:01:15	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	Yes	BUY	1,076	0¢	$1	0x4b4d2e…
01-26 11:49:39	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x13fd42…
01-20 01:32:44	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7b87cf…
01-19 02:54:22	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x367e57…
01-18 01:19:34	ethereum above 3600 on january 18	No	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,071	0xcce164…
01-17 01:15:12	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 17	No	BUY	1,071	100¢	$1,070	0xff554e…
01-16 01:45:04	bitcoin above 102k on january 16	No	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,069	0xebe04f…
01-15 01:37:22	bitcoin above 86k on january 15	Yes	BUY	1,069	100¢	$1,068	0xf275d5…
01-14 01:37:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,066	0x6d504d…
01-13 01:09:13	ethereum above 3500 on january 13	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,065	0x6bff95…
01-12 02:20:42	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 12	No	BUY	1,065	100¢	$1,064	0xc51ea9…
01-11 02:32:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 11	No	BUY	1,064	100¢	$1,063	0x12e3f9…
01-10 02:01:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 10	No	BUY	1,063	100¢	$1,062	0x7be27f…
01-09 05:25:08	will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 9	No	BUY	1,061	100¢	$1,060	0x015eab…
01-02 00:45:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 2	Yes	BUY	1,073	0¢	$2	0xb6cfcd…
01-02 00:43:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 2	Yes	BUY	1,073	0¢	$2	0xc3b651…
01-02 00:42:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 2	Yes	BUY	1,074	0¢	$2	0xb9cb55…
01-02 00:40:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 2	Yes	BUY	1,073	0¢	$2	0xe3b621…