Unwelcome-Mission — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.1%

Resolved

Trades

395

lifetime

Volume

$7.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-07 13:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-47

Politics

29% 100% +$1

Crypto

10% — —

Tech

6% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	25	$669	1,097	1,097	+0	open	—	06-25 23:28
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$605	372	372	+0	open	—	03-29 03:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	9	$548	500	500	+0	open	—	06-20 10:25
gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	15	$432	392	392	+0	open	—	07-05 06:37
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	10	$327	244	244	+0	open	—	06-08 13:12
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	3	$282	200	200	+0	open	—	06-26 04:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$276	150	150	+0	open	—	06-16 06:31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	2	$215	125	125	+0	open	—	04-25 17:29
lal bil bet 2026 03 22 bil	4	$180	100	100	+0	open	—	03-22 19:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	11	$180	671	400	+271	open	—	06-26 14:29
will france join the board of peace	2	$179	100	100	+0	open	—	01-22 16:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$178	98	97	+0	open	—	04-25 11:43
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	6	$166	184	184	+0	open	—	03-24 19:58
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	3	$156	100	100	+0	open	—	07-06 01:40
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	6	$141	300	300	+0	open	—	06-26 21:42
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	2	$137	100	100	+0	open	—	06-08 12:09
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	2	$123	65	65	+0	open	—	03-11 14:34
X Money released by April 30, 2026?	4	$121	117	117	+0	open	—	04-27 11:50
trump deploys active duty troops to minnesota by jan 31 472	9	$117	84	84	+0	open	—	01-25 07:36
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	3	$112	67	67	+0	open	—	03-23 18:38
will peaky blinders the immortal man be the top us netflix movie this week	7	$112	154	154	+0	open	—	03-21 22:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	3	$105	58	58	+0	open	—	04-27 15:28
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	2	$102	57	57	+0	open	—	03-02 15:04
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	12	$99	310	310	+0	open	—	01-16 13:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	2	$91	55	55	+0	open	—	03-23 18:38
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$85	55	55	+0	open	—	03-09 19:45
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	12	$77	129	126	+3	open	—	04-15 19:53
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	6	$77	73	73	+0	open	—	06-07 04:28
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$75	35	110	-75	open	—	06-16 06:17
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	6	$67	125	125	+0	open	—	06-25 04:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 13:36:41	grok 4pt4 released by july 17	No	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xb78fa6…
07-07 04:12:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	53	21¢	$11	0x81e4e1…
07-06 21:07:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x4bac5f…
07-06 19:16:20	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 24 2026	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xb6ea9d…
07-06 17:59:05	grok 4pt4 released by july 17	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x208ec8…
07-06 01:40:41	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	SELL	99	80¢	$79	0x98a5eb…
07-05 23:17:29	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x194d1c…
07-05 06:37:46	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	SELL	21	64¢	$13	0x8dc2c1…
07-05 06:35:32	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x11de6f…
07-05 05:34:46	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	SELL	370	64¢	$237	0x659a6d…
07-04 11:46:16	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x5f2a98…
07-04 04:41:11	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x07afce…
07-02 11:14:41	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	BUY	96	21¢	$20	0x4371c8…
07-02 11:14:41	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x1d1556…
07-01 09:14:29	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	No	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x3644b5…
07-01 08:54:50	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	No	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0x70b856…
07-01 07:49:35	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x9de555…
06-30 05:55:08	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	No	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0x0914f8…
06-30 05:22:58	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	No	BUY	53	50¢	$26	0x7d196f…
06-30 04:16:19	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	No	BUY	69	49¢	$34	0x093074…
06-26 21:42:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xda4d34…
06-26 21:35:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	161	19¢	$30	0x09c206…
06-26 21:30:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	133	21¢	$28	0x49c46a…
06-26 15:56:52	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x797c89…
06-26 14:29:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xdcc053…
06-26 13:39:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	148	27¢	$40	0x8d3da1…
06-26 13:33:25	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	No	BUY	68	69¢	$47	0xdc42df…
06-26 13:33:06	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x6a2291…
06-26 13:30:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	137	27¢	$37	0xcc698d…
06-26 13:29:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xcf0ea4…
06-26 13:27:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$5	0x3714fa…
06-26 13:27:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$5	0xcd37fd…
06-26 12:56:35	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	No	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xe8df94…
06-26 04:29:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	200	70¢	$140	0xcf59fc…
06-25 23:28:58	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	21	46¢	$10	0x27e531…
06-25 23:10:17	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xa39334…
06-25 22:49:46	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x8b2418…
06-25 22:48:31	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x454e7e…
06-25 22:48:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x5180a8…
06-25 22:48:11	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xb80467…
06-25 20:37:05	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	36	45¢	$16	0x6b234f…
06-25 18:05:52	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	81	54¢	$44	0xc96fcd…
06-25 18:03:55	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	119	54¢	$64	0x898f51…
06-25 06:13:56	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xcb21be…
06-25 04:36:49	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x04ca77…
06-24 21:41:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	171	71¢	$121	0xda6f71…
06-24 21:38:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	29	71¢	$21	0x740bc1…
06-24 21:33:35	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x814995…
06-24 21:30:07	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	222	6¢	$14	0xacd4ce…
06-24 21:27:55	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	242	22¢	$52	0xc62968…
06-24 21:14:43	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	43	28¢	$12	0x421df1…
06-24 21:14:13	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0xa0cf94…
06-24 20:13:16	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xdcf838…
06-24 19:08:34	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x5a397f…
06-24 19:08:11	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	122	9¢	$11	0xd60896…
06-24 14:26:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x5fea87…
06-24 14:25:38	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x478c04…
06-21 11:16:16	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 16 22	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x1de2c1…
06-20 10:25:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x58db16…
06-19 13:44:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x77f2e5…
06-19 08:19:59	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	194	19¢	$37	0x684aa1…
06-19 07:30:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xfeef77…
06-19 06:16:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	300	11¢	$33	0x48af9d…
06-19 01:59:53	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	94	26¢	$24	0xe7a90b…
06-18 17:48:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x24b4a2…
06-18 16:50:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x6e5f4c…
06-18 11:13:04	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	203	35¢	$71	0x077e98…
06-18 09:02:56	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	79	40¢	$32	0x35bc90…
06-18 08:22:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x4a4b8b…
06-18 00:21:04	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	85	50¢	$42	0x984cb1…
06-17 00:09:56	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x59fb1d…
06-16 19:51:26	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xac684e…
06-16 19:33:08	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x90994e…
06-16 18:58:40	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xea4bfd…
06-16 18:57:32	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xbabf71…
06-16 18:21:41	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xcc96a1…
06-16 06:31:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	98¢	$147	0xab57e6…
06-16 06:17:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x513e21…
06-15 04:32:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x5e798d…
06-15 00:45:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	57	27¢	$15	0xbf7983…
06-14 22:41:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x01deca…
06-14 22:40:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x7c6efd…
06-14 22:35:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	86¢	$129	0xd4aae5…
06-14 22:28:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0x3ece77…
06-14 22:25:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	35	76¢	$27	0xb37f74…
06-14 22:02:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0xa98923…
06-14 22:01:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa51d8a…
06-14 21:55:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	75	19¢	$14	0xe7b42a…
06-14 21:22:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xf5a6df…
06-14 16:48:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	123	51¢	$63	0x60a1ce…
06-14 16:48:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	77	51¢	$39	0x7439b3…
06-12 11:26:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x49be4f…
06-12 10:26:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x2b22b5…
06-12 06:59:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x995ece…
06-11 19:49:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x5604d8…
06-11 19:42:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x7dbc6b…
06-08 13:22:15	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	SELL	32	92¢	$30	0xc5032e…
06-08 13:18:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	32	89¢	$29	0x88a667…
06-08 13:12:15	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x0942a7…
06-08 12:57:12	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x348a40…