Meager-Duplexer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

315

lifetime

Volume

$20.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-22 10:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

49% 0% $-1

Other

24% — —

Politics

13% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$1.1K	578	578	+0	open	—	02-14 07:59
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	9	$904	463	463	+0	open	—	02-14 07:55
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	13	$896	473	473	+0	open	—	04-17 03:16
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	7	$645	342	342	+0	open	—	02-14 00:11
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$610	314	314	+0	open	—	03-11 02:50
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	8	$567	291	291	+0	open	—	02-14 08:08
will italy win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	10	$549	285	285	+0	open	—	02-14 07:53
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$541	279	279	+0	open	—	02-14 07:54
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	7	$484	252	252	+0	open	—	04-05 20:50
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	9	$471	242	242	+0	No	$-0	02-14 07:53
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$468	242	242	+0	No	$-0	03-30 17:39
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	14	$456	236	236	+0	open	—	02-12 05:58
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	8	$455	233	233	+0	open	—	04-21 03:37
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	8	$442	236	236	-0	open	—	04-08 05:00
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	4	$415	215	215	+0	open	—	02-13 08:26
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$403	207	207	+0	open	—	03-24 18:53
will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	4	$397	207	207	+0	open	—	03-14 18:02
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$383	197	197	-0	open	—	03-30 10:10
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	7	$382	209	209	+0	open	—	04-12 21:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	6	$371	195	195	+0	open	—	05-08 06:19
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$359	102	265	-163	open	—	03-26 09:22
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	5	$358	183	183	+0	open	—	01-30 14:33
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	4	$344	178	178	+0	open	—	03-27 11:54
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	6	$337	182	181	+1	open	—	04-17 09:04
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$335	170	170	+0	open	—	01-13 05:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$334	172	172	+0	open	—	03-28 13:55
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	4	$333	170	170	+0	open	—	02-14 07:50
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$243	130	130	+0	open	—	02-10 20:48
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$239	122	122	+0	open	—	02-10 21:00
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$237	123	123	+0	open	—	02-10 20:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 10:31:40	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x240b9c…
07-22 02:31:31	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x5cf174…
05-21 07:39:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x412ce7…
05-21 00:34:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$58	0xcdf57c…
05-09 00:55:09	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	64	98¢	$62	0xcf85b7…
05-08 18:52:15	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x2258bf…
05-08 06:19:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	62	96¢	$60	0x622eeb…
05-08 00:17:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x4122d5…
05-04 14:28:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	63	94¢	$60	0xfe4c64…
05-04 08:25:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0x9e053b…
05-04 08:18:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	69	95¢	$65	0xa08d72…
05-04 02:14:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	69	95¢	$66	0xd2feca…
04-27 17:40:26	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	69	94¢	$65	0x1fe335…
04-27 11:35:54	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	69	94¢	$65	0xfafe84…
04-27 11:26:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	78	95¢	$74	0xa6888f…
04-27 03:26:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	78	93¢	$73	0x9e31fc…
04-21 03:37:46	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0x78f54e…
04-20 19:59:16	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x9ae5a6…
04-19 13:03:20	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	77	96¢	$74	0x6d9f81…
04-19 05:49:44	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	77	96¢	$75	0xc5bffd…
04-19 00:50:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0xbc6e97…
04-18 20:45:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0x4e1e33…
04-18 20:10:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0x2aab17…
04-18 18:13:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xc67f63…
04-18 18:11:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x9a25c2…
04-18 14:35:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xba9e73…
04-17 21:47:06	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$54	0xd4eb1a…
04-17 14:27:32	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x36bdeb…
04-17 09:04:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	68	92¢	$62	0x50ec3e…
04-17 03:31:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	68	94¢	$64	0xf6b48e…
04-17 03:16:08	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0xa6cf5f…
04-16 20:42:46	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x6d3a8a…
04-16 19:18:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x7dc359…
04-16 11:02:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x652ba8…
04-15 09:47:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0xe065e5…
04-15 01:43:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x82a464…
04-14 16:57:40	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x469ac5…
04-14 07:55:21	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xe2a5de…
04-13 11:38:01	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	52	95¢	$50	0x760d0c…
04-13 03:34:41	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xef6f1f…
04-12 21:25:43	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	51	92¢	$47	0x5dbf9f…
04-12 14:23:21	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	51	92¢	$47	0xbefb5a…
04-12 14:20:33	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	59	91¢	$54	0xd68ec7…
04-12 09:19:17	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	59	92¢	$54	0x117f55…
04-12 09:17:11	will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	61	96¢	$59	0x60648e…
04-12 04:15:47	will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x277016…
04-12 04:14:51	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	47	91¢	$43	0x9bc198…
04-11 23:20:31	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	19	91¢	$18	0x584302…
04-11 23:15:03	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x52652c…
04-11 23:14:19	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	17	91¢	$16	0x772e80…
04-11 23:13:35	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0x6301d2…
04-11 18:11:25	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0x9e121e…
04-11 18:03:33	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	41	96¢	$40	0x8b75c7…
04-11 11:59:37	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x924bac…
04-10 18:46:01	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	61	90¢	$55	0xe02b33…
04-10 14:45:09	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	61	92¢	$56	0xa34773…
04-10 07:27:19	will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	55	97¢	$54	0xb2c6df…
04-10 00:26:11	will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x670d99…
04-10 00:23:19	will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x43d886…
04-10 00:23:15	will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	23	97¢	$23	0xcb8869…
04-09 01:38:01	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$46	0x6a817c…
04-08 17:33:01	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0xa82252…
04-08 05:00:51	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	70	94¢	$65	0x0c4e66…
04-08 00:06:01	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0x9922cc…
04-07 23:53:05	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x907d44…
04-07 03:48:45	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	61	92¢	$56	0x222a6e…
04-06 22:12:03	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0x039b7e…
04-06 21:56:17	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0xc62670…
04-05 20:50:11	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	64	95¢	$61	0xf4377b…
04-05 10:17:07	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	28	95¢	$26	0x8ea426…
04-05 10:11:45	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x370a6a…
03-30 22:14:57	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	59	86¢	$51	0xebee60…
03-30 18:06:59	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	49	93¢	$45	0x265a7a…
03-30 18:04:55	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xb9840c…
03-30 17:39:59	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0xce6486…
03-30 10:29:50	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0x8ad498…
03-30 10:10:42	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	85	97¢	$82	0x228607…
03-30 07:44:16	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xf8f836…
03-30 06:16:54	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$25	0x810e63…
03-30 06:03:38	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x4e53a4…
03-29 16:31:24	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	89	95¢	$85	0x6c105a…
03-29 08:58:58	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	89	96¢	$85	0xed7b01…
03-29 08:50:42	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	98	93¢	$90	0x13ab83…
03-29 00:48:00	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	98	93¢	$91	0xa46fed…
03-29 00:23:58	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	91	93¢	$85	0x565a30…
03-28 16:23:09	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x45fb19…
03-28 16:16:59	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	63	94¢	$59	0xe782f9…
03-28 13:55:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	90	97¢	$88	0x91cf64…
03-28 08:51:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x159fdd…
03-28 08:39:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	90	97¢	$86	0xb96446…
03-28 01:32:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0x22d54b…
03-27 20:43:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	82	97¢	$79	0x0d5bd2…
03-27 12:37:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	82	96¢	$79	0xa5d27a…
03-27 11:54:11	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	86	97¢	$83	0x6f1761…
03-27 03:48:55	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	86	97¢	$83	0xf27398…
03-27 03:20:43	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	76	94¢	$71	0xad1ad7…
03-26 22:13:57	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	76	94¢	$71	0x2d6efa…
03-26 17:59:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	94	97¢	$91	0x8da414…
03-26 09:52:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	94	97¢	$91	0x2d34fb…
03-26 09:22:43	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	92	98¢	$90	0x9df26e…