Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved

Trades

234

lifetime

Volume

$994

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 05-10 21:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

62% 50% +$20

Other

32% 0% $-2

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-2

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	9	$191	195	183	+12	open	—	04-02 14:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	7	$74	246	246	+0	Yes	+$20	04-26 10:45
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	10	$55	25,417	698	+24,718	open	—	04-05 23:13
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$51	78	78	+0	open	—	04-07 20:56
AWS service disrupted by April 30?	6	$46	57	57	+0	open	—	04-11 21:23
will 40 49 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	2	$39	110	110	+0	open	—	04-11 16:52
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	6	$34	11,000	10,000	+1,000	open	—	04-30 21:48
fif bra fra 2026 03 26 spread away 1pt5	3	$33	50	50	+0	open	—	03-26 21:47
will trump praise allah again by april 15	4	$29	27	27	+0	open	—	04-11 13:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$27	33	33	+0	open	—	04-07 21:58
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	3	$13	15	15	+0	open	—	03-30 16:24
Will Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?	5	$12	169	168	+0	open	—	04-20 06:54
will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	8	$11	505	505	+0	open	—	04-11 18:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	2	$11	19	18	+1	open	—	04-07 13:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$10	14	14	+0	open	—	04-27 19:30
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$10	197	197	+0	open	—	04-10 12:06
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$10	300	300	+0	open	—	03-27 13:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$10	24	23	+1	open	—	04-27 19:30
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	04-08 11:20
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$10	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	03-25 00:06
will turkey qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	03-31 15:35
Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$10	690	690	+0	open	—	04-05 14:48
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	3	$9	1,250	1,000	+250	open	—	04-30 21:49
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	2	$8	52	52	+0	open	—	03-31 07:23
btc updown 15m 1774462500	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-25 18:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	3	$7	114	114	+0	open	—	04-26 10:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$7	151	0	+151	open	—	04-07 13:04
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	2	$7	13	13	+0	open	—	04-08 17:56
cs2 g2 sin2 2026 03 25	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	03-25 22:34
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	3	$6	400	400	+0	open	—	04-30 16:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 21:41:57	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x410a34…
05-01 09:03:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0xeb7294…
04-30 21:49:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0x79b66c…
04-30 21:48:34	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$6	0xb35a3e…
04-30 16:06:42	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$0	0x9f0e6b…
04-30 16:05:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x9b5840…
04-28 20:14:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	8,000	0¢	$16	0xc604cd…
04-28 18:44:56	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xe5d2d1…
04-28 18:07:52	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xce8a87…
04-27 22:33:16	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xb47cca…
04-27 21:16:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xb3905f…
04-27 19:30:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x5996d6…
04-27 19:30:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xa5cee1…
04-27 17:25:26	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x0fb2ac…
04-27 16:34:52	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x79cc66…
04-27 13:11:58	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb7b9cf…
04-26 20:58:44	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x08cc47…
04-26 18:26:50	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf3362d…
04-26 12:05:58	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xb8a801…
04-26 10:54:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0xc6e194…
04-26 10:48:42	Will Trump say "Trump-Kennedy Center" or "Trump Kennedy" in April?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x127a75…
04-26 10:48:20	Will Trump say "Trump University" in April?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x95eba1…
04-26 10:47:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	0¢	$0	0x328ecc…
04-26 10:47:04	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$1	0x920279…
04-26 10:45:28	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x7f5031…
04-26 10:45:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xcf20ef…
04-25 09:18:00	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xcd79af…
04-25 08:24:00	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x8295d6…
04-24 17:58:40	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x667d30…
04-24 17:58:34	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdf4ca7…
04-22 19:02:12	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x672b19…
04-22 17:29:18	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 cel	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xfd0ff6…
04-20 17:13:50	highest temperature in chicago on april 22 2026 48 49f	Yes	BUY	850	0¢	$1	0x373c91…
04-20 06:54:28	Will Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0xb322a3…
04-20 06:09:46	Will Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x8e920e…
04-19 16:24:38	will donk be said during the cs iem rio 2026 grand final	No	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0xa5181a…
04-19 16:07:30	will squeaky be said during the cs iem rio 2026 grand final	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x5c8744…
04-19 16:05:10	will starmer say public health during the next prime ministers questions event 155 245	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x9f03fe…
04-19 16:03:00	will trump say epic fury this week april 19	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x76e526…
04-19 16:00:50	will donk be said during the cs iem rio 2026 grand final	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xa7c5c2…
04-19 15:56:48	Will Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	SELL	116	5¢	$6	0xd49f59…
04-15 19:09:20	Will Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0xac425f…
04-15 19:06:22	will bleed out be said during the cs iem rio 2026 grand final	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdda298…
04-15 19:05:54	will bleed out be said during the cs iem rio 2026 grand final	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa2e482…
04-15 19:00:26	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0x06c173…
04-15 11:40:40	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xdc3c58…
04-15 07:02:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x9a4732…
04-14 23:10:28	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xaed3a3…
04-14 22:08:48	Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x7b725d…
04-14 22:07:54	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x3743ff…
04-14 22:07:26	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x28aee0…
04-14 22:05:00	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9e3f92…
04-14 17:58:22	Will Trump say "Trump University" in April?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x86fadb…
04-14 17:58:14	Will Trump say "Trump-Kennedy Center" or "Trump Kennedy" in April?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x70e43a…
04-11 21:23:59	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	Yes	SELL	51	27¢	$14	0x105faf…
04-11 18:39:51	will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x2dfd45…
04-11 18:27:17	will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	SELL	235	0¢	$1	0x08b80a…
04-11 18:14:39	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x8876ef…
04-11 18:08:31	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x69edac…
04-11 16:52:37	will 40 49 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	SELL	110	31¢	$34	0x195173…
04-11 15:42:03	will 20 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0x97150c…
04-11 15:42:01	will 30 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	SELL	24	2¢	$0	0xdc6d37…
04-11 13:31:47	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xfb5901…
04-11 13:27:01	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0xcda60d…
04-11 13:19:47	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x67a963…
04-11 13:18:51	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1650df…
04-11 10:21:19	will 20 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x366aac…
04-11 09:20:19	will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$1	0x3e74a3…
04-11 08:47:47	will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$1	0x532a94…
04-11 08:47:17	will 20 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x608835…
04-11 00:53:23	Will Leavitt say "Islamabad" 5+ times during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xee3df9…
04-10 21:50:03	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0xf85fab…
04-10 19:12:19	will 30 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xaa438e…
04-10 19:08:17	will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	BUY	326	1¢	$2	0xfa0d6a…
04-10 19:08:09	will 20 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0x1700df…
04-10 13:27:05	will 20 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	SELL	48	5¢	$2	0x3c4b63…
04-10 12:06:11	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	197	3¢	$5	0xa898d9…
04-10 11:26:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0xac8d48…
04-10 09:47:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x75faf1…
04-09 22:37:01	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x2fd678…
04-09 22:33:21	will 30 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xa9772f…
04-09 22:14:31	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x072cc3…
04-09 21:48:31	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x030551…
04-09 21:15:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xe8f47b…
04-09 19:24:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	232	20¢	$46	0xaa160e…
04-09 15:29:07	will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	SELL	179	2¢	$4	0xcfcced…
04-08 23:22:27	will 30 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xe9b911…
04-08 21:58:39	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	7¢	$3	0x152256…
04-08 21:55:39	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x11ed48…
04-08 21:51:33	Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xe8c3bf…
04-08 20:56:55	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x506b86…
04-08 20:15:41	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x12d5da…
04-08 18:34:31	Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd5463e…
04-08 17:56:31	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0xd34e41…
04-08 17:12:21	will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in march 2026	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x854071…
04-08 16:45:59	Military action against Iran ends on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	1¢	$1	0x5926a5…
04-08 16:45:45	Military action against Iran ends on April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	185	1¢	$1	0x984316…
04-08 16:41:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0xb6128a…
04-08 16:27:15	will 20 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x977237…
04-08 16:27:03	will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xa334b5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	83	$409.9K	26,155	05-17 20:36
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	82	$42.2K	9,016	05-08 15:03
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	77	$292.2K	22,542	05-02 16:55
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	71	$786.2K	12,871	05-30 10:34
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	67	$119.0K	9,808	04-25 04:39
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	65	$16.1M	19,753	05-20 11:41
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	64	$25.2K	2,978	05-09 19:29
Full-Bow 0x59fe…14fd	63	$10.4K	4,466	05-06 20:28