Grown-Circuit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$122

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.1%

Resolved

195

Trades

2,283

lifetime

Volume

$12.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 07-08 09:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 35% +$122

Politics

9% — —

Other

5% — —

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	12	$359	350	350	+0	open	—	07-01 22:35
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	16	$242	382	382	+0	open	—	06-28 15:15
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	16	$211	243	243	+0	open	—	06-28 17:12
iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260629202434611	5	$187	215	215	+0	open	—	07-01 21:19
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	13	$164	395	395	+0	open	—	07-02 21:23
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	12	$117	191	191	+0	open	—	06-30 01:12
iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 20260629202434614	2	$109	294	294	+0	open	—	07-01 23:14
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	4	$101	68	68	+0	open	—	07-02 13:05
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	6	$100	193	193	+0	open	—	06-29 14:40
michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195	2	$98	60	60	+0	open	—	07-03 02:37
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	6	$94	120	120	+0	open	—	07-02 21:49
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	4	$76	60	60	+0	open	—	07-08 09:41
iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260629202434613	2	$75	113	113	+0	open	—	07-01 23:15
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	7	$71	72	72	+0	open	—	06-29 14:31
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	6	$63	49	49	+0	open	—	06-29 00:58
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	2	$44	60	60	+0	open	—	07-06 08:08
iran leadership change by june 30 2027	2	$42	85	85	+0	open	—	07-02 18:27
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	7	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	06-26 21:55
iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	2	$37	167	167	+0	open	—	06-28 14:57
will amzn dip to 224 by june 29 2026	3	$35	29	29	+0	open	—	06-29 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$35	33	33	+0	open	—	05-28 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$35	33	33	+0	open	—	06-01 13:58
will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 95 mph 20260626193609215	2	$34	49	49	+0	open	—	06-30 17:17
btc updown 5m 1781249700	3	$31	27	27	+0	open	—	06-12 07:39
will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9b 20260618021658043	2	$31	29	29	+0	open	—	06-28 23:56
btc updown 5m 1781580000	3	$30	26	26	+0	open	—	06-16 03:24
btc updown 5m 1781813700	2	$30	26	26	+0	open	—	06-18 20:17
btc updown 5m 1780981200	7	$29	24	24	+0	open	—	06-09 05:04
btc updown 5m 1781779200	4	$28	23	23	+0	open	—	06-18 10:44
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	2	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	07-02 02:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 09:41:01	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0x1e22f2…
07-08 05:24:22	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	30	63¢	$19	0xb032fa…
07-07 20:08:31	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	26	63¢	$16	0xa3f1a6…
07-07 17:55:31	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0x874b00…
07-06 08:08:52	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	SELL	60	37¢	$22	0x919cce…
07-06 06:06:11	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	BUY	60	37¢	$22	0xd12525…
07-03 02:37:35	michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195	No	SELL	60	77¢	$46	0x3000a1…
07-03 02:35:28	michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195	No	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0x26f258…
07-02 21:49:46	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	18	25¢	$4	0x8fe6cc…
07-02 21:49:22	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	42	25¢	$11	0x420a31…
07-02 21:23:43	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0xe1e3aa…
07-02 21:18:58	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0xa6add7…
07-02 21:10:02	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0x98a266…
07-02 21:09:31	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	88	1¢	$1	0x044d7e…
07-02 20:32:29	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x88d49e…
07-02 20:32:19	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x9fec62…
07-02 20:31:28	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	60	35¢	$21	0xf54507…
07-02 20:23:20	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0x49a974…
07-02 20:05:20	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x876a26…
07-02 18:27:14	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	85	23¢	$20	0x8af68f…
07-02 17:16:32	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	43	7¢	$3	0xed967d…
07-02 16:40:17	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0xb1e189…
07-02 15:48:44	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xf01909…
07-02 13:32:22	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	54	8¢	$4	0x762b0a…
07-02 13:16:01	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x98272e…
07-02 13:05:01	Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	18	73¢	$13	0x5979f3…
07-02 12:40:41	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x1caca2…
07-02 06:58:02	Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0xc12454…
07-02 04:06:58	Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0xcb6fd2…
07-02 04:06:56	Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xdd7977…
07-02 02:52:32	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	85	27¢	$23	0xcdedc3…
07-02 02:46:47	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	No	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0xd80889…
07-02 02:35:50	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	No	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0x3250a8…
07-01 23:15:44	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260629202434613	No	SELL	113	34¢	$38	0x67ca01…
07-01 23:14:43	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 20260629202434614	No	SELL	294	20¢	$59	0x43ea0c…
07-01 22:35:40	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	122	38¢	$46	0xe052c5…
07-01 21:19:29	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260629202434611	No	SELL	57	70¢	$40	0x867a31…
07-01 20:41:29	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 20260629202434614	No	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0xa50320…
07-01 20:29:55	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260629202434611	No	SELL	11	68¢	$7	0x94daa2…
07-01 18:37:07	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260629202434611	Yes	SELL	147	27¢	$40	0xe1743a…
07-01 18:37:07	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260629202434611	No	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xe1743a…
07-01 18:15:10	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x7aa441…
07-01 18:15:10	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	77	58¢	$45	0x2ce6fe…
07-01 18:00:49	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260629202434611	Yes	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x99f4ec…
07-01 16:04:46	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x112038…
07-01 15:45:25	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	76	66¢	$50	0x05a0d5…
07-01 15:34:29	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xbb51db…
07-01 12:28:41	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260629202434613	No	BUY	113	32¢	$36	0x7330a6…
07-01 04:58:46	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x983fee…
07-01 04:57:53	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x4d358c…
07-01 04:54:47	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	45	84¢	$38	0xbf1584…
07-01 03:54:34	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xbbb238…
06-30 17:17:07	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 95 mph 20260626193609215	Yes	SELL	49	29¢	$14	0x0a0095…
06-30 01:12:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	SELL	33	9¢	$3	0xaf0729…
06-29 21:04:10	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 95 mph 20260626193609215	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x5841a6…
06-29 18:14:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xb8286f…
06-29 16:10:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x11771b…
06-29 16:07:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	SELL	77	13¢	$10	0x748803…
06-29 15:41:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x480295…
06-29 15:08:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xa67a60…
06-29 14:40:31	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	88	12¢	$11	0x9b532a…
06-29 14:37:23	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	22	89¢	$20	0x61f38b…
06-29 14:31:08	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	Yes	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0x7a11f1…
06-29 14:29:50	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	83	12¢	$10	0xc73d43…
06-29 14:24:49	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	Yes	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0x6a3dbb…
06-29 13:56:40	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	Yes	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x6a8048…
06-29 13:54:25	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	Yes	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0xa91544…
06-29 13:54:25	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0xa91544…
06-29 13:53:44	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0x948922…
06-29 13:52:52	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x65326a…
06-29 13:44:37	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x8d5ff4…
06-29 13:42:13	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x181493…
06-29 13:42:10	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x3e7694…
06-29 13:19:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x4b8c33…
06-29 02:57:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0xfaefc0…
06-29 02:52:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	10	82¢	$9	0x7191d8…
06-29 02:51:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x5fc4b3…
06-29 00:58:05	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	20	58¢	$11	0xc6462e…
06-29 00:48:10	will amzn dip to 224 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x98427b…
06-29 00:40:19	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xe478b4…
06-29 00:34:28	will amzn dip to 224 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0xdf97ac…
06-29 00:08:53	will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 12pt25b 20260618015333983	No	SELL	35	19¢	$7	0x1b8cad…
06-29 00:01:28	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x9565c7…
06-28 23:56:23	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9b 20260618021658043	No	SELL	29	38¢	$11	0x2de7fb…
06-28 23:10:22	will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 12pt25b 20260618015333983	No	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x22a349…
06-28 22:23:34	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9b 20260618021658043	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x8fb9ba…
06-28 22:17:37	will amzn dip to 224 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x065deb…
06-28 21:33:04	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x537021…
06-28 21:06:53	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	26	34¢	$9	0xc20138…
06-28 20:36:44	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0x92dfdb…
06-28 20:36:10	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x8407a5…
06-28 20:36:10	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	26	58¢	$15	0x8407a5…
06-28 17:37:40	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x325f62…
06-28 17:34:16	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xab9be2…
06-28 17:12:26	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	SELL	53	35¢	$19	0xe3e514…
06-28 17:09:16	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0x24db07…
06-28 17:09:16	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x24db07…
06-28 17:03:31	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x717eba…
06-28 15:15:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0xabe9a6…
06-28 14:57:29	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	167	10¢	$17	0xe8cf84…