Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

Trades

364

lifetime

Volume

$4.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-23

last 05-30 09:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

36% 100% +$0

Politics

30% 0% $-1

Crypto

23% 25% $-1

Sports

11% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No		-10	$-6	72¢	$-7	$-1	05-30 09:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	32	$403	999	999	+0	open	—	03-01 13:59
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	30	$358	1,183	1,183	+0	open	—	03-01 17:13
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	20	$288	1,450	1,436	+14	open	—	03-02 04:53
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	11	$172	66	113	-47	open	—	03-01 01:56
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	6	$162	85	85	+0	open	—	02-25 17:04
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	8	$141	72	72	+0	open	—	03-01 23:25
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	11	$129	69	69	+0	open	—	03-03 18:09
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	5	$105	56	56	+0	open	—	03-03 06:00
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	5	$93	98	98	+0	Yes	+$1	02-28 01:48
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$82	49	49	+0	open	—	03-03 10:12
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	9	$82	53	53	+0	open	—	03-01 15:31
Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	3	$77	9	72	-63	open	—	03-29 05:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$75	123	123	+0	open	—	03-04 03:49
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	4	$74	121	121	+0	open	—	02-24 11:16
will robert macintyre win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$71	31	42	-11	open	—	02-27 17:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$71	3,069	3,069	+0	open	—	02-25 17:23
will the us invade iran by march 31	4	$63	36	36	+0	open	—	03-03 04:56
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	28	$63	32	32	+0	open	—	04-22 09:30
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	8	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	03-31 09:17
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	8	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	03-31 05:19
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$58	31	31	+0	open	—	03-03 02:16
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	4	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	02-24 01:02
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	6	$57	34	34	+0	open	—	04-24 00:47
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	5	$57	34	23	+11	open	—	03-31 12:55
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	03-01 11:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$51	29	29	+0	open	—	03-02 15:10
will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$50	16	35	-19	open	—	02-27 15:59
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	6	$49	25	24	+1	open	—	03-31 10:00
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	03-01 12:14
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	02-25 02:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 09:31:51	Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x8d8ac2…
04-24 00:47:12	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0x0ef85d…
04-23 20:53:00	Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x87a905…
04-23 10:29:04	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x42390d…
04-22 09:30:02	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x6a4eed…
04-22 09:15:20	OpenGradient FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0xa21fbf…
04-21 16:12:24	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xeb7c42…
04-21 15:27:30	Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x2bed4f…
04-21 14:17:44	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x2fb628…
04-21 12:30:34	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf672d1…
04-21 11:46:16	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xed0f2d…
04-21 11:20:52	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x093d95…
04-21 06:32:20	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$12	0x45154c…
04-15 12:52:36	Sentio FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8a2a4e…
04-15 07:03:46	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xbc4262…
04-14 22:17:50	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xeeb129…
04-14 15:21:13	Sentio FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd45b1c…
04-14 13:43:49	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x81c821…
04-14 13:40:33	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x05d8b6…
04-14 10:13:07	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe97d25…
04-13 21:03:03	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x2a309b…
04-11 10:43:41	Sentio FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0648b2…
04-10 06:28:49	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xc63bb3…
04-10 05:31:43	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0xa483b2…
04-09 08:01:35	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$3	0x75b922…
04-07 05:48:29	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xed1723…
04-06 13:19:43	Space FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xe4ef37…
04-04 13:27:37	Space FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xf41617…
04-03 16:17:19	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xfe6141…
04-03 08:05:17	Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x11d3ea…
04-02 09:08:45	Space FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xa5208d…
04-02 08:48:01	Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x8a3cd0…
04-01 06:40:09	USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xa63c54…
04-01 06:35:23	USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x25d0da…
04-01 06:16:33	USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0x985b1d…
03-31 23:10:33	Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xcc796c…
03-31 14:36:09	Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x34f65a…
03-31 12:55:23	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x502ea1…
03-31 10:00:15	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa49a06…
03-31 09:22:15	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x558bec…
03-31 09:20:23	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4641a8…
03-31 09:17:41	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0xfa8364…
03-31 09:16:55	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x251f8f…
03-31 09:15:59	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0x0ad6a3…
03-31 09:15:31	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe4526d…
03-31 05:45:03	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5478fc…
03-31 05:39:31	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x2e6343…
03-31 05:38:21	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9c1fe7…
03-31 05:19:03	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x38de76…
03-31 05:02:07	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x177190…
03-31 05:01:35	Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x054542…
03-31 01:49:51	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xf2f1f4…
03-30 14:55:51	Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xf18597…
03-30 13:43:27	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x032984…
03-30 09:43:40	Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xfc9801…
03-30 09:12:30	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xabe8fd…
03-30 08:12:42	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xedfa38…
03-30 07:39:58	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x5df506…
03-30 07:27:06	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe65a61…
03-30 06:45:46	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x81121e…
03-30 06:44:24	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x7cf5b3…
03-30 06:42:38	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcbca80…
03-30 06:41:46	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6b601e…
03-30 06:40:32	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaa3513…
03-30 06:39:30	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf4972d…
03-30 06:38:24	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0a830e…
03-30 06:37:44	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0d82ce…
03-30 06:36:48	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x169c92…
03-30 06:36:02	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x60090a…
03-30 06:35:16	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbf37a3…
03-30 06:34:16	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x257527…
03-30 06:33:42	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x901b88…
03-30 06:33:00	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc0208f…
03-30 06:32:10	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9beeed…
03-30 06:31:06	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x297e03…
03-30 06:30:00	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x15348d…
03-30 06:29:30	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xebf3e1…
03-30 06:29:18	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc314fa…
03-30 06:28:38	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa4b043…
03-30 06:28:28	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x72ed98…
03-30 06:28:00	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x211770…
03-30 06:27:58	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa5e452…
03-30 06:27:20	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb1f5c9…
03-30 06:27:20	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6d3858…
03-30 06:26:46	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0303e6…
03-30 06:26:42	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7f756a…
03-30 06:26:04	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8c1536…
03-30 06:25:42	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbcae20…
03-30 06:25:08	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc51fcb…
03-30 06:24:44	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x125d67…
03-30 06:24:36	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x900e2b…
03-30 06:12:34	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe28253…
03-30 06:11:46	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcce212…
03-30 05:49:54	Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x174d45…
03-30 05:45:42	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x41cda1…
03-30 05:45:16	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x71060c…
03-30 05:07:32	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5bc18a…
03-30 05:07:26	USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x13b32e…
03-30 05:07:18	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x9c0b1e…
03-30 04:00:30	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x455fca…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	68	$631.5K	11,009	06-09 10:41
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	66	$17.0K	9,546	05-26 18:59
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	62	$59.3K	27,130	05-08 22:12
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	58	$132.7K	1,314	05-24 13:37
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	55	$86.1K	8,841	04-01 04:25
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	55	$9.82K	2,844	05-26 20:01
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	54	$451.8K	1,839	05-26 17:54
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	52	$146.1K	14,194	04-30 12:47