Novel-Plow-Toot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$67.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$32

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

34,825

Trades

345,703

lifetime

Volume

$9.69M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$73

1 position

First seen

2026-05-26

last 10-31 23:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 68% -$54,207

Other

1% 71% -$13,030

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 4122 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	—	+74	$41	98¢	$73	+$32	11-01 00:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:35 UTC	26	$4.5K	5,994	+5,994	Down	-$2,497	06-30 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 18:40 UTC	18	$3.9K	5,873	+5,873	Up	+$239	06-29 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 00:00 UTC	17	$3.7K	4,428	+4,428	Up	-$840	06-30 00:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:45 UTC	20	$3.6K	4,407	+4,407	Down	-$1,488	06-30 08:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 06:15 UTC	11	$3.2K	4,501	+4,501	Up	-$926	06-30 06:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 05:50 UTC	10	$3.0K	3,512	+3,512	Down	-$1,877	06-30 05:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 19:45 UTC	76	$2.9K	4,103	+4,103	Up	-$2,859	06-25 19:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 07:45 UTC	9	$2.7K	3,080	+3,080	Down	-$610	06-30 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 13:30 UTC	19	$2.3K	2,866	+2,866	Down	+$523	07-03 13:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 13:50 UTC	4	$2.3K	3,091	+3,091	Down	+$780	07-07 13:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 13:00 UTC	3	$2.3K	2,709	+2,709	Down	+$417	07-07 13:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 13:10 UTC	3	$2.3K	2,587	+2,587	Down	+$318	07-07 13:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:35 UTC	4	$2.3K	3,155	+3,155	Up	+$892	07-10 09:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 09:25 UTC	4	$2.2K	2,571	+2,571	Up	+$341	07-08 09:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 13:00 UTC	16	$2.2K	2,572	+2,572	Up	+$356	07-03 13:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 13:05 UTC	14	$2.2K	2,618	+2,618	Down	+$438	07-03 13:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 13:30 UTC	4	$2.2K	2,585	+2,585	Up	+$412	07-07 13:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 03:40 UTC	60	$2.2K	3,765	+3,765	Up	+$113	06-19 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 09:05 UTC	21	$2.2K	2,856	+2,856	Up	+$693	07-03 09:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 22:40 UTC	43	$2.1K	4,042	+4,042	Up	-$367	06-19 22:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 09:20 UTC	3	$2.1K	2,657	+2,657	Up	+$567	07-08 09:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 02:30 UTC	21	$2.0K	2,342	+2,342	Up	-$2,047	07-03 02:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 20:15 UTC	19	$2.0K	2,355	+2,355	Up	+$334	07-02 20:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 09:35 UTC	3	$2.0K	2,814	+2,814	Down	+$797	07-08 09:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:35 UTC	4	$2.0K	3,250	+3,250	Up	-$2,002	07-09 13:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 18:15 UTC	18	$2.0K	2,256	+2,256	Down	+$259	07-02 18:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:00 UTC	19	$2.0K	2,389	+2,389	Down	+$413	07-02 22:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 01:45 UTC	24	$2.0K	2,445	+2,445	Down	+$474	07-03 01:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 03:00 UTC	20	$2.0K	2,351	+2,351	Up	-$1,970	07-03 03:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 18:05 UTC	20	$2.0K	2,317	+2,317	Up	+$348	07-02 18:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 00:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	74	56¢	$41	0xeb1db4…
10-31 23:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	60	23¢	$14	0x2211da…
10-31 23:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	75	52¢	$39	0xebe286…
10-31 23:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	44	62¢	$27	0x6a2851…
10-31 23:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	61¢	$27	0xaa453e…
10-31 23:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	61¢	$27	0xa87c6a…
10-31 23:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	61¢	$27	0x2835da…
10-31 23:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	43¢	$19	0x962a7b…
10-31 23:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	58	42¢	$24	0x812c8f…
10-31 23:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0x3eb894…
10-31 23:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	119	30¢	$36	0x3531a1…
10-31 23:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	113	39¢	$44	0xd21667…
10-31 23:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	125	33¢	$41	0x9558bf…
10-31 23:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	131	34¢	$44	0x8d76e3…
10-31 23:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	111	33¢	$37	0xff530f…
10-31 23:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	108	48¢	$52	0x54a07a…
10-31 23:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	119	44¢	$53	0x0accaf…
10-31 23:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	114	45¢	$52	0xa713cf…
10-31 23:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	128	31¢	$40	0x592e96…
10-31 22:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	75	44¢	$33	0x7c49a5…
10-31 22:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	74	49¢	$36	0x8b4cdd…
10-31 22:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	122	21¢	$25	0x80efe4…
10-31 22:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	126	21¢	$26	0x6e85e2…
10-31 22:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	133	33¢	$44	0x0c8f4d…
10-31 22:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	118	41¢	$48	0xe14bbd…
10-31 22:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	112	47¢	$53	0xac1808…
10-31 22:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	113	35¢	$40	0x6a454b…
10-31 22:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	120	33¢	$40	0x6418e2…
10-31 22:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	120	29¢	$35	0x957e88…
10-31 22:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	120	29¢	$35	0x2c5fec…
10-31 22:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	120	29¢	$35	0xc34521…
10-31 22:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	75	50¢	$38	0xe4d272…
10-31 22:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	89	31¢	$27	0xa0d47a…
10-31 22:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	29¢	$13	0x80dceb…
10-31 22:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	30¢	$13	0x1d4387…
10-31 22:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	44	29¢	$13	0xb7c001…
10-31 22:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	26¢	$12	0x947c77…
10-31 22:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	26¢	$12	0x18c66a…
10-31 22:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	26¢	$12	0x0005b9…
10-31 22:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	46	26¢	$12	0xeeb91f…
10-31 22:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	46	26¢	$12	0xca4916…
10-31 22:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	26¢	$12	0xb92bec…
10-31 22:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	26¢	$12	0xaf6e1a…
10-31 22:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	26¢	$12	0x92cb73…
10-31 22:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	26¢	$12	0x141cc3…
10-31 22:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	26¢	$12	0xe49cd9…
10-31 22:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	46	25¢	$12	0xc1905a…
10-31 22:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	26¢	$12	0x8605d3…
10-31 22:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	46	25¢	$12	0x3c3dde…
10-31 22:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	44	26¢	$11	0xe730e0…
10-31 22:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	26¢	$12	0xc84c75…
10-31 22:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	26¢	$12	0xac249e…
10-31 22:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	26¢	$12	0x5f2f1a…
10-31 22:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x87cb15…
10-31 22:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	114	26¢	$30	0xf8e34b…
10-31 22:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	113	27¢	$30	0x07c587…
10-31 22:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	116	27¢	$31	0xc9d532…
10-31 22:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	117	25¢	$29	0x5b8ef3…
10-31 22:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	60	48¢	$29	0x4f8d40…
10-31 22:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	117	23¢	$26	0x2d98c6…
10-31 22:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	121	25¢	$30	0x1c90f8…
10-31 22:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	117	24¢	$28	0x8e563f…
10-31 22:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x629e3e…
10-31 22:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	115	23¢	$26	0xe025ba…
10-31 22:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	117	24¢	$28	0xd448ac…
10-31 22:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x931817…
10-31 22:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf9107a…
10-31 22:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe32d45…
10-31 22:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0233c5…
10-31 22:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe62a06…
10-31 22:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xcb25cb…
10-31 22:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x343cfc…
10-31 22:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3f4b3d…
10-31 22:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x88a6d9…
10-31 22:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf2f1e2…
10-31 22:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc0537b…
10-31 22:05:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xd42103…
10-31 22:05:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x780ee4…
10-31 22:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x57329d…
10-31 22:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x3e5f9f…
10-31 22:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x0639b4…
10-31 22:05:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x720d46…
10-31 22:05:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x71a9fd…
10-31 22:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	53	15¢	$8	0x174b60…
10-31 21:42:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0xb649cc…
10-31 21:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	75	45¢	$34	0x06488c…
10-31 21:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x556156…
10-31 21:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xfc7c59…
10-31 21:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x341e2c…
10-31 21:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x0c09f4…
10-31 21:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0b61e4…
10-31 21:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb0f564…
10-31 21:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x963fcd…
10-31 21:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x421a51…
10-31 21:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1aa050…
10-31 21:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x29c689…
10-31 21:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0d0068…
10-31 21:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3caac0…
10-31 21:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x169a89…
10-31 21:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0d27f9…