Novel-Plow-Toot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$175

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

34,614

Trades

344,913

lifetime

Volume

$9.67M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$21

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-26

last 10-30 07:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 138 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 69% -$55,618

Other

1% 71% -$13,030

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 4122 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	—	+12	$8	98¢	$12	+$4	10-30 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	—	+596	$188	2¢	$9	-$179	10-30 08:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:35 UTC	26	$4.5K	5,994	+5,994	Down	-$2,497	06-30 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 18:40 UTC	18	$3.9K	5,873	+5,873	Up	+$239	06-29 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 00:00 UTC	17	$3.7K	4,428	+4,428	Up	-$840	06-30 00:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:45 UTC	20	$3.6K	4,407	+4,407	Down	-$1,488	06-30 08:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 06:15 UTC	11	$3.2K	4,501	+4,501	Up	-$926	06-30 06:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 05:50 UTC	10	$3.0K	3,512	+3,512	Down	-$1,877	06-30 05:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 19:45 UTC	76	$2.9K	4,103	+4,103	Up	-$2,859	06-25 19:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 07:45 UTC	9	$2.7K	3,080	+3,080	Down	-$610	06-30 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 13:30 UTC	19	$2.3K	2,866	+2,866	Down	+$523	07-03 13:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 13:50 UTC	4	$2.3K	3,091	+3,091	Down	+$780	07-07 13:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 13:00 UTC	3	$2.3K	2,709	+2,709	Down	+$417	07-07 13:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 13:10 UTC	3	$2.3K	2,587	+2,587	Down	+$318	07-07 13:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:35 UTC	4	$2.3K	3,155	+3,155	Up	+$892	07-10 09:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 09:25 UTC	4	$2.2K	2,571	+2,571	Up	+$341	07-08 09:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 13:00 UTC	16	$2.2K	2,572	+2,572	Up	+$356	07-03 13:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 13:05 UTC	14	$2.2K	2,618	+2,618	Down	+$438	07-03 13:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 13:30 UTC	4	$2.2K	2,585	+2,585	Up	+$412	07-07 13:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 03:40 UTC	60	$2.2K	3,765	+3,765	Up	+$113	06-19 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 09:05 UTC	21	$2.2K	2,856	+2,856	Up	+$693	07-03 09:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 22:40 UTC	43	$2.1K	4,042	+4,042	Up	-$367	06-19 22:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 09:20 UTC	3	$2.1K	2,657	+2,657	Up	+$567	07-08 09:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 02:30 UTC	21	$2.0K	2,342	+2,342	Up	-$2,047	07-03 02:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 20:15 UTC	19	$2.0K	2,355	+2,355	Up	+$334	07-02 20:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 09:35 UTC	3	$2.0K	2,814	+2,814	Down	+$797	07-08 09:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:35 UTC	4	$2.0K	3,250	+3,250	Up	-$2,002	07-09 13:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 18:15 UTC	18	$2.0K	2,256	+2,256	Down	+$259	07-02 18:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 22:00 UTC	19	$2.0K	2,389	+2,389	Down	+$413	07-02 22:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 01:45 UTC	24	$2.0K	2,445	+2,445	Down	+$474	07-03 01:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 03:00 UTC	20	$2.0K	2,351	+2,351	Up	-$1,970	07-03 03:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 18:05 UTC	20	$2.0K	2,317	+2,317	Up	+$348	07-02 18:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 08:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	117	36¢	$42	0xe252c4…
10-30 08:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	124	32¢	$40	0x4c4e21…
10-30 08:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x30dd67…
10-30 08:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	116	30¢	$35	0x85cfad…
10-30 08:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	120	29¢	$35	0x5287b6…
10-30 08:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	120	31¢	$37	0xcc5b61…
10-30 08:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0x8651ab…
10-30 08:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	39	20¢	$8	0x49e423…
10-30 08:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x79ed4b…
10-30 08:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	17¢	$4	0x9c91f7…
10-30 08:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x352db6…
10-30 08:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x98a5e9…
10-30 07:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x3abbda…
10-30 07:55:09	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xcab02c…
10-30 07:55:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xe4793f…
10-30 07:55:06	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xcdb460…
10-30 07:55:06	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xbe0b00…
10-30 07:55:04	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	39¢	$8	0xc57158…
10-30 07:55:03	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x8a0c1e…
10-30 07:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x2bcb82…
10-30 07:50:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xfb48e2…
10-30 07:50:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x741b10…
10-30 07:50:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xc76d6d…
10-30 07:50:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0x9f098e…
10-30 07:50:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	33¢	$6	0x5cf9e4…
10-30 07:50:09	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0xd99b43…
10-30 07:50:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x44a1f3…
10-30 07:50:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x962d64…
10-30 07:50:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2496a2…
10-30 07:50:06	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x84d738…
10-30 07:50:04	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xba05f3…
10-30 07:50:04	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x51ca32…
10-30 07:50:03	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x5ce4b0…
10-30 07:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	31¢	$6	0x41decc…
10-30 07:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0x3a25b1…
10-30 07:49:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xf76521…
10-30 07:49:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xf4a739…
10-30 07:49:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x6f6ed0…
10-30 07:49:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x27937d…
10-30 07:45:13	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x6f0818…
10-30 07:45:12	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x96be31…
10-30 07:45:10	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xbaf94d…
10-30 07:45:10	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0x21262a…
10-30 07:45:09	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x747c65…
10-30 07:45:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x689fb0…
10-30 07:45:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0xc6527a…
10-30 07:45:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x92b876…
10-30 07:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xe99bd5…
10-30 07:45:06	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0x787bf7…
10-30 07:45:06	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x5f6122…
10-30 07:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0xcacb49…
10-30 07:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x9e1e19…
10-30 07:45:04	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x867885…
10-30 07:45:03	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xf60735…
10-30 07:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0xca8fe9…
10-30 07:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	74	50¢	$37	0x2a5c97…
10-30 07:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x893a72…
10-30 07:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x168fa3…
10-30 07:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	74	56¢	$41	0x1eefea…
10-30 06:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x2aab95…
10-30 06:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x5518eb…
10-30 06:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	119	38¢	$46	0x63ff6f…
10-30 06:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	116	40¢	$47	0x28cb7a…
10-30 06:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	123	39¢	$48	0xad1c61…
10-30 06:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	110	40¢	$44	0x0afbc8…
10-30 06:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	124	42¢	$52	0xc27562…
10-30 06:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	109	49¢	$53	0xfaa0c7…
10-30 06:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	117	36¢	$42	0x9126cc…
10-30 06:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	153	24¢	$37	0x073b82…
10-30 06:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x06fc4f…
10-30 05:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	74	55¢	$40	0x8f8d22…
10-30 05:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	74	49¢	$36	0x1c3f59…
10-30 05:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	52	15¢	$8	0x61648b…
10-30 05:40:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0xb310c9…
10-30 05:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xa01843…
10-30 05:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	73	61¢	$44	0x7c002f…
10-30 05:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x0342c2…
10-30 04:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x88aa43…
10-30 04:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x7941b2…
10-30 04:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0xda6a1d…
10-30 04:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0xd162c8…
10-30 04:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x3a0ef7…
10-30 04:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0xbc0dcc…
10-30 04:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0xa7436d…
10-30 04:15:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xc99211…
10-30 04:15:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x866882…
10-30 04:15:12	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xb07c98…
10-30 04:15:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x1c1f52…
10-30 04:15:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x0e6899…
10-30 04:15:12	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x021e7d…
10-30 04:15:10	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x93bafd…
10-30 04:15:09	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xb2c4f7…
10-30 04:15:09	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x011a46…
10-30 04:15:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xe26736…
10-30 04:15:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6cf672…
10-30 04:15:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x02fc30…
10-30 04:15:04	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	25¢	$6	0x8d8492…
10-30 04:15:03	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x8500b6…
10-30 04:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	72	57¢	$41	0xd34d95…
10-30 04:11:36	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x86adf9…