Moral-Optimisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$426

Unrealized P&L

+$86

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$153

Open exposure

$217

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-12 01:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

74% 60% +$411

Politics

16% — —

Other

9% 50% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No		-1,316	$-303	16¢	$-217	+$86	06-12 01:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	7	$1.6K	1,093	1,093	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	+$607	05-13 02:32
Sabres vs. Canadiens	2	$354	661	0	+661	Sabres	$-354	05-12 23:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$303	0	1,316	-1,316	open	—	06-12 01:19
Ruud vs. Khachanov: Match O/U 23.5	2	$265	165	165	+0	Under	+$65	05-13 17:23
Avalanche vs. Wild	1	$250	439	0	+439	Avalanche	+$189	05-12 01:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$242	154	154	+0	open	—	05-17 16:44
Knicks vs. 76ers	4	$226	344	344	+0	Knicks	$-74	05-09 01:11
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	1	$50	94	0	+94	Thunder	+$44	05-09 22:58
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$50	106	0	+106	open	—	06-08 17:00
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5	1	$50	106	0	+106	Over	$-50	05-09 11:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 01:19:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,316	23¢	$303	0xe4f208…
06-08 17:00:34	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xb15b38…
05-17 16:44:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	154	92¢	$142	0xfba07b…
05-13 17:23:58	Ruud vs. Khachanov: Match O/U 23.5	Under	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0x70ec7c…
05-13 12:35:43	Ruud vs. Khachanov: Match O/U 23.5	Under	BUY	165	61¢	$100	0xc40e6a…
05-13 02:32:31	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	1,093	100¢	$1,092	0x05a1b4…
05-13 02:07:56	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	84	42¢	$35	0x3bcf1f…
05-13 02:07:29	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x6a3cfe…
05-13 02:07:22	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	224	45¢	$100	0xad3df6…
05-13 02:07:19	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	224	45¢	$100	0xcfe555…
05-13 02:07:14	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	224	45¢	$100	0xd6ba9b…
05-13 02:07:10	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	224	45¢	$100	0xd41b0e…
05-12 23:24:29	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	226	43¢	$97	0xe35ef6…
05-12 22:23:29	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	436	59¢	$257	0x67c6a5…
05-12 01:53:37	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	439	57¢	$250	0x7f2a5c…
05-09 22:58:25	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Thunder	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xb15351…
05-09 11:59:22	VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x4116d3…
05-09 01:11:38	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	344	22¢	$76	0x062e12…
05-09 00:07:10	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x2f40c6…
05-09 00:00:54	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xa8445c…
05-08 23:52:23	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x899db8…
05-08 21:51:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x5e8363…