Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$47

Unrealized P&L

+$59

Hit rate

90.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$293

1 position

First seen

2026-04-06

last 06-18 00:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

81% 75% +$24

Other

14% 100% +$22

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+293	$234	100¢	$293	+$59	06-03 14:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	8	$1.1K	1,253	0	+1,253	open	—	06-03 15:56
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	2	$475	276	276	+0	open	—	05-29 04:25
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	8	$425	439	56	+383	open	—	06-02 20:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$234	293	0	+293	open	—	06-03 14:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	2	$96	385	385	+0	open	—	05-28 19:10
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$45	71	0	+71	open	—	06-18 00:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	06-03 06:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$40	75	0	+75	open	—	06-17 02:57
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	3	$26	19	15	+4	open	—	05-24 15:40
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	6	$25	50	0	+50	Yes	+$25	04-24 04:38
will arvell reese be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	4	$15	24	0	+24	open	—	04-21 18:30
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	2	$10	235	0	+235	open	—	04-25 17:39
will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	8	$9	130	0	+130	open	—	04-22 09:36
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	3	$7	122	0	+122	open	—	04-25 14:00
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	4	$7	176	0	+176	open	—	04-26 02:49
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	5	$7	1,342	692	+650	open	—	04-28 09:54
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	3	$6	29	0	+29	Yes	+$22	04-25 16:08
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 10:53
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 18:00
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-16 06:45
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 06:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-21 13:28
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-22 09:41
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-21 16:33
will jeremiyah love go top 10 in the 2026 pro football draft	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-21 21:42
Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-21 13:57
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	3	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	04-23 09:47
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	2	$4	7	7	+0	No	$-1	04-28 10:17
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	2	$2	30	0	+30	open	—	04-26 09:49
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$2	19	0	+19	open	—	04-07 15:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 00:38:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	71	63¢	$45	0x2ed57d…
06-17 02:57:57	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x29b7dc…
06-03 15:56:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x718a08…
06-03 14:36:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0xd45752…
06-03 10:33:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	86	81¢	$70	0x773ea9…
06-03 06:57:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x6683c6…
06-03 05:33:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	297	86¢	$255	0xf4bbf4…
06-03 04:43:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	296	86¢	$255	0xed11af…
06-03 01:58:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	139	86¢	$119	0x2dcc0e…
06-03 00:17:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	139	86¢	$119	0xf6bfa0…
06-02 21:43:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	220	86¢	$189	0x934dc9…
06-02 20:42:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	101	87¢	$88	0x534646…
06-02 20:42:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	48	87¢	$42	0x1975a4…
06-02 20:34:44	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x1c2149…
06-02 18:55:54	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	68	93¢	$63	0x316a8b…
06-02 18:41:57	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0x01481d…
06-02 16:09:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	189	79¢	$149	0x768723…
05-29 04:25:59	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	276	85¢	$235	0xa4e441…
05-29 03:18:44	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	276	87¢	$240	0x2b3e61…
05-28 19:10:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	385	12¢	$47	0xaf55a1…
05-28 18:34:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	385	13¢	$48	0x65364b…
05-28 00:54:15	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	39	81¢	$31	0x670dd7…
05-27 23:02:41	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x1350b9…
05-27 22:42:13	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xb34fa0…
05-27 22:08:02	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x3fcb97…
05-27 20:30:19	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	246	81¢	$200	0x426b31…
05-24 15:40:33	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	7	89¢	$7	0x3f959f…
05-20 03:40:04	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x614e86…
05-17 16:36:33	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x083824…
04-28 10:17:34	Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x86085c…
04-28 09:54:08	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	231	0¢	$0	0xcdd799…
04-28 01:44:22	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	231	0¢	$0	0xddd836…
04-28 01:44:22	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	231	0¢	$0	0x08be6c…
04-27 00:06:30	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0.5%?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x9831cc…
04-26 18:06:22	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0.5%?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x80475d…
04-26 09:49:26	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xb148bf…
04-26 02:49:38	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	Yes	BUY	144	4¢	$6	0x3bc408…
04-26 02:00:50	Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x38e1ae…
04-25 17:40:40	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x455a53…
04-25 17:39:20	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0x5bb90f…
04-25 16:43:18	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x01d249…
04-25 16:08:24	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x5fc048…
04-25 16:08:24	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x163ed6…
04-25 14:00:40	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0x669a6c…
04-25 01:58:36	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,111	0¢	$4	0x3a7620…
04-24 20:59:00	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x6128da…
04-24 09:45:30	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xec1a54…
04-24 09:38:00	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	Yes	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0x1a81f6…
04-24 04:38:28	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2be94d…
04-23 12:00:56	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x40a7e0…
04-23 09:47:52	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xca29ab…
04-23 09:15:00	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xdb9acc…
04-23 09:14:34	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xb33773…
04-23 01:08:58	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	231	1¢	$1	0xf8526c…
04-22 18:00:48	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5af02e…
04-22 11:25:38	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xae52f4…
04-22 10:53:36	Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x686982…
04-22 09:41:06	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x10d0a3…
04-22 09:36:40	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0e5103…
04-22 09:35:00	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x3625ab…
04-22 09:33:54	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xc177fe…
04-22 09:31:44	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x5705bf…
04-22 09:30:38	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xdaa640…
04-22 06:27:10	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbe6b52…
04-21 21:42:58	will jeremiyah love go top 10 in the 2026 pro football draft	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb9b66d…
04-21 18:30:32	will arvell reese be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0xb28f01…
04-21 18:30:12	will arvell reese be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x399db8…
04-21 16:33:12	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x02d507…
04-21 15:32:12	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x61bdb2…
04-21 15:19:34	will arvell reese be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x07d431…
04-21 14:22:18	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0xfedc93…
04-21 13:57:50	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1e7fbf…
04-21 13:28:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x932e81…
04-21 12:27:50	will arvell reese be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xae702a…
04-21 10:59:10	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7ddce4…
04-21 02:34:40	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x291da2…
04-21 00:05:48	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x213f88…
04-20 23:46:26	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x111ab3…
04-20 23:04:12	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	74	6¢	$5	0xd74830…
04-20 23:02:28	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xe0a20c…
04-20 21:15:12	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa8ac6c…
04-16 06:45:18	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3cc360…
04-09 10:58:53	will bryson dechambeau win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x8183f0…
04-09 05:08:53	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x431123…
04-07 15:13:15	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xd16236…
04-07 15:13:11	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x084b6d…
04-06 12:24:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x234d51…