Gentle-Pavilion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

46.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$43

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-01

last 07-06 20:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 50% +$2

Sports

2% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-10	$-0	4¢	$-0	$-0	07-06 20:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	5	$8	109	9	+100	open	—	05-01 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$5	205	0	+205	open	—	05-01 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	6	$5	19	5	+14	open	—	05-01 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$3	104	3	+102	open	—	05-01 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-01 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 04:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-10 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-0	05-08 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$2	8	8	+0	Down	$-0	05-10 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-10 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-01 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 21:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	1	$1	55	0	+55	No	$-1	05-08 05:44
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-08 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-08 21:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-13 04:38
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-08 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-08 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$0	28	0	+28	open	—	05-01 21:34
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$0	0	10	-10	open	—	07-06 20:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 20:09:40	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x766b25…
05-16 04:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xaeb135…
05-13 04:38:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xafba7c…
05-10 05:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x7388e7…
05-10 04:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1ba198…
05-10 04:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x730775…
05-10 04:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6eeee6…
05-08 22:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb687bd…
05-08 21:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x266f4c…
05-08 21:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x61451f…
05-08 21:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd4ae55…
05-08 05:52:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xadacdd…
05-08 05:44:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x9526d5…
05-08 05:39:26	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x79184c…
05-08 05:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xabd3cd…
05-01 22:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd9c8b0…
05-01 22:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3f28d1…
05-01 22:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xf18f20…
05-01 22:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x1a6cac…
05-01 22:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xad2760…
05-01 22:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7ad018…
05-01 22:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3e8111…
05-01 22:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x49e6b3…
05-01 22:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	19¢	$0	0x582656…
05-01 22:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb8a987…
05-01 21:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb82989…
05-01 21:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x3b2492…
05-01 21:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7e9c6a…
05-01 21:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x0867b6…
05-01 21:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x3363bd…
05-01 21:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x5e1fa2…
05-01 21:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x3927ba…
05-01 21:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdcda03…
05-01 21:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc56fab…
05-01 21:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa34011…
05-01 21:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4d11f7…
05-01 21:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x18c6f7…