Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.49K

Unrealized P&L

+$47

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$57.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$672

Open exposure

$4.84K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-28 09:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Politics

47% 94% +$409

Other

45% 94% +$925

Crypto

6% 70% -$17

Tech

2% 100% +$134

Sports

0% 100% +$36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+2,021	$2,000	100¢	$2.0K	+$10	10-28 09:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	+1,600	$1,587	100¢	$1.6K	+$8	10-18 10:57
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	+800	$744	96¢	$769	+$25	10-17 13:40
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	+506	$465	93¢	$469	+$4	10-26 02:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	2	$6.2K	3,222	3,222	+0	Yes	-$93	09-25 02:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	3	$5.7K	2,930	2,930	+0	No	+$141	05-23 01:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	2	$4.7K	2,400	2,400	+0	Yes	+$79	10-24 23:55
Trump out as President by September 30?	3	$4.0K	4,018	0	+4,018	No	+$9	09-25 02:09
netanyahu out by march 31 854	5	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$64	04-05 05:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	1	$3.9K	4,600	0	+4,600	No	+$690	10-07 21:27
will iran strike israel on march 10	1	$3.5K	3,496	0	+3,496	Yes	+$7	03-15 08:39
us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	1	$3.2K	3,161	0	+3,161	No	+$6	06-25 08:35
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	1	$2.9K	2,936	0	+2,936	No	+$54	04-10 05:31
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$2.0K	2,021	0	+2,021	open	—	10-28 09:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	2	$1.6K	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	10-18 10:57
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1.4K	1,406	0	+1,406	Yes	+$6	03-18 06:10
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$1.4K	747	747	+0	No	+$96	07-21 02:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	No	+$10	03-19 23:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$945	500	500	+0	No	+$45	05-26 21:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$895	932	0	+932	No	+$37	09-03 08:31
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	3	$884	661	268	+393	No	+$44	02-28 04:44
bitcoin up or down on february 27	4	$852	600	600	+0	Down	-$66	02-27 12:00
will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	1	$750	882	0	+882	No	+$132	07-21 18:20
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	1	$744	800	0	+800	open	—	10-17 13:40
bitcoin above 72k on february 26	1	$685	0	685	-685	No	-$1	02-26 14:08
bitcoin above 64k on february 23	2	$627	330	330	+0	Yes	+$33	02-23 16:43
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$567	574	0	+574	No	+$7	03-19 23:46
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-27 09:00 UTC	2	$503	255	255	+0	Down	-$3	02-27 11:53
bitcoin up or down february 27 6am et	2	$500	250	250	+0	Down	+$0	02-27 12:02
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	1	$465	506	0	+506	open	—	10-26 02:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	2	$360	364	0	+364	Yes	+$4	10-16 19:20
bitcoin up or down on february 24	1	$330	341	0	+341	Down	+$11	02-24 10:48
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	4	$267	300	0	+300	Yes	+$33	05-25 12:58
will mrbeasts next video get less than 40 million views on day 2	1	$249	254	0	+254	Yes	+$5	02-09 08:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 09:32:22	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2,021	99¢	$2,000	0x5bd693…
10-26 02:38:29	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	506	92¢	$465	0x07b1eb…
10-24 23:55:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	2,400	100¢	$2,390	0x4a76f5…
10-21 10:01:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	2,400	96¢	$2,311	0x51f9d9…
10-18 10:57:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	600	99¢	$593	0xba1675…
10-17 13:40:57	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	800	93¢	$744	0x197790…
10-16 19:20:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	Yes	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0xc74573…
10-16 19:17:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	Yes	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x8c13bd…
10-16 16:12:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$994	0xff7ea4…
10-10 10:53:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	128	95¢	$122	0xb170f0…
10-07 21:27:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4,600	85¢	$3,910	0x59b8a8…
10-06 23:43:08	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xab61d9…
09-25 02:09:35	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	3,088	100¢	$3,085	0x085e47…
09-25 02:07:27	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	3,222	95¢	$3,077	0x378b0b…
09-20 19:41:08	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	869	99¢	$864	0xe9e3ac…
09-20 19:33:31	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$61	0x3ef61c…
09-03 08:31:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	932	96¢	$895	0x6a5da6…
09-02 08:00:48	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xe5f315…
07-21 18:20:09	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	882	85¢	$750	0x2acf19…
07-21 02:17:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	747	100¢	$746	0x409646…
07-02 04:10:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	747	87¢	$650	0x8548ec…
07-02 03:32:47	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	3,222	98¢	$3,170	0x7c4ef3…
06-27 01:30:26	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	1,292	1¢	$12	0xc5791d…
06-25 08:35:44	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	3,161	100¢	$3,155	0x7eb5d1…
05-26 21:47:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$495	0xcaf3c8…
05-25 12:58:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	272	89¢	$242	0xe2be11…
05-25 12:53:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xe6efdc…
05-25 12:53:23	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xdda9b8…
05-25 12:40:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x06e3b8…
05-25 12:28:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x7a4729…
05-23 01:15:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	2,930	100¢	$2,924	0x6684dc…
05-21 09:00:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2,300	95¢	$2,185	0x5c6960…
05-21 08:59:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	630	95¢	$598	0x8720af…
04-10 05:31:35	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	2,936	98¢	$2,883	0x6431cd…
04-10 05:29:53	lol hle1 fox1 2026 04 10	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x2c374a…
04-05 05:09:55	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x0c27cd…
03-19 23:46:55	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	574	99¢	$567	0x64594c…
03-19 23:45:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x773c89…
03-18 07:11:21	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	282	97¢	$272	0x370574…
03-18 07:10:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	878	97¢	$849	0xd25817…
03-18 07:10:09	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x0b6c6a…
03-18 07:06:21	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	810	97¢	$783	0x1b3a28…
03-18 06:10:29	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,406	100¢	$1,400	0x0edf16…
03-15 08:39:31	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	3,496	100¢	$3,489	0x547198…
02-28 04:44:49	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	SELL	268	100¢	$268	0x1a3fe7…
02-27 12:04:33	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	268	93¢	$250	0x6779c4…
02-27 12:02:35	bitcoin up or down february 27 6am et	Down	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0xb29576…
02-27 12:01:05	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	393	93¢	$367	0xacdf27…
02-27 12:00:25	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Down	SELL	500	73¢	$366	0x48b23a…
02-27 11:55:03	bitcoin up or down february 27 6am et	Down	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x622200…
02-27 11:53:29	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-27 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	255	98¢	$250	0xa57f0a…
02-27 11:52:29	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-27 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	255	99¢	$253	0xefa899…
02-27 11:49:59	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Down	BUY	500	76¢	$380	0x765205…
02-27 11:39:39	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Up	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0xb2dbbc…
02-27 07:10:51	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Up	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x646518…
02-26 14:08:22	bitcoin above 72k on february 26	No	SELL	685	100¢	$685	0x320d21…
02-24 10:48:48	bitcoin up or down on february 24	Down	BUY	341	97¢	$330	0x71a27b…
02-23 16:43:04	bitcoin above 64k on february 23	Yes	SELL	330	100¢	$330	0xbbc0be…
02-23 08:10:56	bitcoin above 64k on february 23	Yes	BUY	330	90¢	$297	0x1c68e2…
02-22 02:18:10	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	196	98¢	$191	0x2faf53…
02-20 08:41:20	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	191	99¢	$189	0x8688ff…
02-19 06:51:46	bitcoin up or down february 19 1am et	Up	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xf376bf…
02-19 06:49:12	bitcoin up or down february 19 1am et	Up	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x9267d0…
02-18 09:13:36	bitcoin above 66k on february 18	Yes	BUY	61	96¢	$59	0x9ab453…
02-17 09:48:17	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	No	BUY	127	97¢	$123	0x14c518…
02-17 09:45:27	mwoh swi ita 2026 02 17	Switzerland	BUY	59	94¢	$55	0xc32daa…
02-17 09:42:03	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x60b8af…
02-15 05:02:29	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xd6066a…
02-14 00:11:33	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0xfb953b…
02-14 00:07:29	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 1pt4m 416	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x686588…
02-14 00:03:09	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xeb26b1…
02-13 23:58:23	bitcoin up or down february 13 6pm et	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x466406…
02-13 23:56:23	bitcoin up or down february 13 6pm et	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2e8b80…
02-09 08:48:51	will mrbeasts next video get less than 40 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	254	98¢	$249	0x75ba65…
02-09 08:39:59	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x8db58a…
02-08 04:21:45	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xfad9b5…
02-08 03:33:11	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0xc08bd3…
02-08 03:24:19	will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x450ec4…
02-08 03:00:05	bitcoin up or down february 7 9pm et	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe96682…
02-08 02:58:33	bitcoin up or down february 7 9pm et	Down	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xea7fae…
02-08 02:52:25	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Seahawks	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x934454…
02-06 11:40:09	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	Yes	BUY	241	99¢	$239	0xaff8a9…
02-02 07:31:00	will melania opening weekend box office be greater than 5m	Yes	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0x223b0a…
01-25 22:23:30	israel strikes iran by january 26 2026	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x1f33c6…
01-25 22:22:32	israel strikes iran by january 26 2026	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xfb7650…
01-23 23:52:24	will trumps approval rating be between 41pt5 and 41pt9 on january 23 2026	No	BUY	237	100¢	$236	0xab9197…