Exalted-Project — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$28.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.05K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-04 11:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

98% 0% $-0

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$27.1K	13,600	13,600	+0	open	—	01-07 17:15
will the fed decide differently in the next three decisions decjanmar	2	$178	89	89	+0	open	—	03-12 06:23
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$177	89	89	+0	open	—	03-10 09:04
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$167	84	84	+0	No	$-0	03-12 09:08
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$116	58	58	+0	open	—	04-21 21:56
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	2	$103	62	62	+0	open	—	03-10 05:29
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	1	$98	98	0	+98	open	—	02-14 09:51
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$93	98	0	+98	open	—	01-11 10:28
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	3	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	03-13 05:53
cs2 mglz navi 2026 03 13	1	$51	117	0	+117	open	—	03-13 05:08
Will Solana reach $160 in May?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	05-18 22:00
sea cre fio 2026 03 16 fio	1	$25	49	0	+49	open	—	03-16 03:16
atp alcaraz medvede 2026 03 14	1	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	03-14 05:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	05-06 06:35
mlb sf atl 2026 06 18	2	$19	19	19	+0	open	—	07-04 11:42
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-27 01:49
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	1	$9	15	0	+15	Seattle Mariners	+$6	05-11 05:29
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-27 14:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 11:42:28	mlb sf atl 2026 06 18	Atlanta Braves	SELL	19	45¢	$9	0x6f7495…
06-18 06:24:22	mlb sf atl 2026 06 18	Atlanta Braves	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0xf4ed45…
05-27 01:49:29	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7eac67…
05-18 22:00:22	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x05f2c4…
05-11 05:29:16	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Seattle Mariners	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0xfc35ae…
05-06 06:35:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x843e1b…
04-21 21:56:34	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x7b948d…
04-21 20:56:44	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x6cdc45…
03-16 03:16:43	sea cre fio 2026 03 16 fio	No	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x0c62ed…
03-14 05:15:11	atp alcaraz medvede 2026 03 14	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x3411ec…
03-13 05:53:01	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xf71b8c…
03-13 05:39:21	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7e378a…
03-13 05:33:39	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd73ac7…
03-13 05:08:49	cs2 mglz navi 2026 03 13	TheMongolz	BUY	117	44¢	$51	0x14e96d…
03-12 09:08:29	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$83	0xc74a32…
03-12 07:15:49	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$83	0xc67a4c…
03-12 06:23:43	will the fed decide differently in the next three decisions decjanmar	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x717f58…
03-12 05:00:11	will the fed decide differently in the next three decisions decjanmar	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xc099d7…
03-10 09:04:37	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x94e423…
03-10 08:24:13	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xba05d0…
03-10 05:29:05	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	62	83¢	$52	0x5989a5…
03-07 07:47:15	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	62	83¢	$52	0xbbf898…
02-27 14:50:27	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9b679e…
02-14 09:51:05	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x615431…
01-11 10:28:44	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	98	95¢	$93	0x0fe1c6…
01-07 17:15:51	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	13,600	99¢	$13,518	0xde2078…
01-07 17:14:39	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	13,600	100¢	$13,532	0x0696ea…