Vague-Log — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$1.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-31 13:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

68% — —

Politics

18% — —

Other

8% 100% +$0

Sports

5% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	05-28 03:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$156	600	600	+0	open	—	02-25 12:47
btc updown 15m 1772090100	6	$124	141	42	+99	open	—	02-26 07:28
btc updown 15m 1768828500	1	$99	112	0	+112	open	—	01-19 13:22
btc updown 15m 1772082900	2	$86	95	0	+95	open	—	02-26 05:28
eth updown 5m 1772360100	1	$70	81	0	+81	open	—	03-01 10:18
btc updown 15m 1773993600	2	$69	90	0	+90	open	—	03-20 08:07
eth updown 15m 1772358300	1	$63	71	0	+71	open	—	03-01 09:59
eth updown 15m 1776348900	1	$54	94	0	+94	open	—	04-16 14:14
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	2	$40	50	50	+0	open	—	02-14 11:23
eth updown 15m 1776348000	3	$40	61	0	+61	open	—	04-16 14:12
btc updown 15m 1775985300	2	$30	50	0	+50	open	—	04-12 09:22
btc updown 15m 1772359200	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	03-01 09:57
btc updown 15m 1772089200	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	02-26 07:12
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	02-18 14:22
eth updown 15m 1772628300	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-04 12:57
btc updown 15m 1772358300	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	03-01 09:45
btc updown 15m 1775984400	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-12 08:54
eth updown 15m 1773303300	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-12 08:24
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$9	20	60	-40	open	—	02-18 14:22
btc updown 15m 1774609200	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	03-27 11:11
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 500 519	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-09 01:03
will mrbeasts next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1 387	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-11 09:21
Clavicular sentenced to prison?	1	$3	20	0	+20	open	—	02-09 03:46
cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-05 14:04
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-30 01:14
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	02-14 08:56
will jd vance clap between 3039 times during the state of the union	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	02-25 02:54
tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 2pt92	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-11 09:22
aapl above 210 on march 31 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-15 08:16
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	03-01 09:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 13:18:19	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6d0455…
05-30 01:14:19	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x6ad4db…
05-28 03:54:58	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xeb1a83…
05-17 03:16:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xee5050…
04-21 02:59:52	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2cbd83…
04-16 14:14:52	eth updown 15m 1776348900	Up	BUY	94	58¢	$54	0x7a5a92…
04-16 14:12:20	eth updown 15m 1776348000	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2eebd1…
04-16 14:12:04	eth updown 15m 1776348000	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x67e061…
04-16 14:10:38	eth updown 15m 1776348000	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x4f4255…
04-12 09:22:55	btc updown 15m 1775985300	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x7b9945…
04-12 09:06:01	btc updown 15m 1775985300	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x536dc7…
04-12 08:54:35	btc updown 15m 1775984400	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x92da55…
04-12 07:28:39	Will A-Train die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x54043a…
04-08 12:28:29	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfd41e7…
04-08 12:28:13	GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x04d7c4…
04-07 09:10:31	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x8c6e1b…
04-01 02:32:51	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x60b801…
04-01 02:32:35	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfac80c…
03-27 11:11:53	btc updown 15m 1774609200	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xeb3a2c…
03-23 00:57:13	will nobody 2 be the top us netflix movie this week 574	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x432bdb…
03-23 00:56:53	will silver si settle at 80 85 in march	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc1522f…
03-20 08:07:41	btc updown 15m 1773993600	Up	BUY	76	84¢	$64	0xf5622b…
03-20 08:06:57	btc updown 15m 1773993600	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x57a8ff…
03-19 07:35:11	will the maximum arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14m 14pt2m square kilometers	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe8c000…
03-19 07:34:27	will artemis ii launch by march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x51da5d…
03-19 07:34:09	will pltr close between 162 and 164 week march 20 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x73496f…
03-15 08:17:23	will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x1ce2b8…
03-15 08:17:05	Claude 4.7 released by March 31?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xbeea91…
03-15 08:16:43	aapl above 210 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xdb1a73…
03-12 08:24:27	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x605b1b…
03-12 08:24:01	eth updown 15m 1773303300	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa19750…
03-12 08:23:37	crude oil all time high by march 31	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd41ea1…
03-09 08:59:21	open up or down on march 9 2026	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5c1366…
03-09 08:58:37	will google have the best ai model for math on march 31	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x93eece…
03-09 08:58:29	will anthropic have the best ai model for math on march 31	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xfeecdb…
03-06 13:18:37	will nvda close between 160 and 165 week march 6 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x27a78d…
03-06 13:18:15	cs2 vpp ntr 2026 03 06 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4baed9…
03-06 13:17:59	cs2 1win wb1 2026 03 06 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc9ac3a…
03-04 13:00:03	will jacob elordi win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2cf80a…
03-04 12:58:17	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa92ae5…
03-04 12:57:47	eth updown 15m 1772628300	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xcf0467…
03-01 10:18:25	eth updown 5m 1772360100	Down	BUY	81	87¢	$70	0x83fe1f…
03-01 09:59:53	eth updown 15m 1772358300	Up	BUY	71	90¢	$63	0xe667ba…
03-01 09:57:49	btc updown 15m 1772359200	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x7a6926…
03-01 09:45:47	btc updown 15m 1772358300	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x0e6fc7…
03-01 09:43:01	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2cd6ef…
03-01 09:42:39	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x06e753…
02-26 07:28:30	btc updown 15m 1772090100	Down	BUY	83	86¢	$71	0xb58209…
02-26 07:25:30	btc updown 15m 1772090100	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x93e8a8…
02-26 07:22:48	btc updown 15m 1772090100	Down	SELL	24	44¢	$11	0x8d482f…
02-26 07:20:52	btc updown 15m 1772090100	Up	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0x5a5b15…
02-26 07:20:02	btc updown 15m 1772090100	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xe365ae…
02-26 07:15:22	btc updown 15m 1772090100	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x324a1f…
02-26 07:12:16	btc updown 15m 1772089200	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x98ca35…
02-26 05:28:38	btc updown 15m 1772082900	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x64dec5…
02-26 05:14:14	btc updown 15m 1772082900	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x78bf75…
02-25 12:47:32	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	600	11¢	$66	0xaab090…
02-25 03:52:24	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x9fa3c2…
02-25 03:33:00	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x80c590…
02-25 03:22:48	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0xaaf3a8…
02-25 02:57:46	will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x06079c…
02-25 02:55:10	crm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 3pt05	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x8cb13b…
02-25 02:54:46	will jd vance clap between 3039 times during the state of the union	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd8512f…
02-25 02:54:18	trump announces military action against iran durring sotu	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf82edf…
02-18 14:22:42	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x2f6e12…
02-18 14:22:34	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	SELL	60	13¢	$8	0xbc6512…
02-18 13:36:50	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xcf94b1…
02-18 13:06:16	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x4d4d9e…
02-18 13:02:46	Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x836c06…
02-18 13:02:38	Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x78b013…
02-18 13:02:30	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc22a93…
02-14 11:23:23	will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	Yes	SELL	50	39¢	$19	0x60c7dc…
02-14 11:10:57	will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x4c4499…
02-14 08:56:11	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x72ae8a…
02-09 03:46:25	Clavicular sentenced to prison?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x58187b…
02-09 03:44:07	will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x7c0f8c…
02-09 03:42:41	will tainy perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb309a2…
02-07 14:25:31	will claude 5 be released by february 14 2026 449	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xeae99f…
02-07 14:25:13	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe9c455…
02-04 01:56:04	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc6f023…
02-04 01:55:32	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to charlotte hornets	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x09c00f…
01-28 12:06:47	ilhan omar town hall attack staged	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x41d682…
01-19 13:23:40	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x547745…
01-19 13:22:56	btc updown 15m 1768828500	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$99	0xd9afc2…
01-15 12:16:48	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9c162b…
01-15 12:16:20	will the chicago bears win super bowl 2026	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x17c024…
01-11 09:23:18	will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 18	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe31d00…
01-11 09:23:10	will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 18	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa270ef…
01-11 09:22:52	tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 2pt92	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x71cacc…
01-11 09:21:52	will mrbeasts next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1 387	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x104561…
01-11 09:21:38	will the total number of tsa passengers for january 11 be less than 1900000	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x02edf2…
01-11 09:21:22	will the total number of tsa passengers for january 9 be less than 1800000	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5edb25…
01-11 09:21:10	will the total number of tsa passengers for january 10 be less than 1800000	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x937888…
01-09 01:05:04	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0xdaee9c…
01-09 01:04:02	us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x292c97…
01-09 01:03:38	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 500 519	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x22fc68…
01-05 14:04:57	cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x77c3ff…
01-05 14:04:25	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 9 994	No	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x945d90…
01-05 14:04:11	another us strike on venezuela by january 10	No	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xc3678a…
01-05 14:03:57	will mike tomlin be fired by february 28	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xecdf60…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	52	$7.32K	1,948	06-07 10:38
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	47	$112.2K	8,813	06-01 01:35
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	46	$3.95K	3,141	06-04 06:38
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	44	$20.5K	11,455	04-21 20:32
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	42	$283.2K	4,904	06-09 23:45
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	40	$29.5K	3,005	03-29 05:27
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	39	$3.57M	7,372	06-07 10:38
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	39	$54.2K	456	06-04 19:31