Plush-Observation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 06-07 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 0% $-10

Other

10% 33% $-10

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$546	1,172	0	+1,172	open	—	04-25 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$335	465	0	+465	open	—	04-25 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$202	345	0	+345	open	—	04-25 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$180	375	0	+375	open	—	04-25 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	4	$140	163	156	+7	open	—	04-25 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$54	105	0	+105	open	—	04-25 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$50	106	0	+106	open	—	04-25 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$49	43	41	+2	open	—	04-25 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$43	73	71	+3	open	—	04-25 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$40	80	0	+80	open	—	04-25 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$40	89	0	+89	open	—	04-25 05:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$40	83	79	+4	open	—	04-25 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	3	$40	41	36	+5	open	—	04-25 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	04-25 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$30	61	0	+61	open	—	04-25 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$28	40	0	+40	open	—	04-25 09:01
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$24	32	0	+32	open	—	04-26 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$20	18	17	+1	open	—	04-25 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-25 10:10
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	05-03 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$20	53	0	+53	open	—	04-25 05:40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	04-25 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	04-25 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	04-25 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	04-25 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$20	37	0	+37	open	—	04-25 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	04-25 08:45
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	1	$20	37	0	+37	open	—	04-26 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	04-25 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$16	29	0	+29	open	—	04-25 05:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 17:44:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0xec94dc…
06-06 09:27:31	cs2 pain tyloo 2026 06 06	paiN	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x16e481…
06-06 09:27:13	cs2 9z fly 2026 06 06	9z	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x2171de…
05-06 15:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x247620…
05-05 06:21:56	Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	TYLOO	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5e6b6e…
05-04 11:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xbc6020…
05-04 11:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xdfc4b7…
05-04 01:29:00	Valorant: All Gamers vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	EDward Gaming	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xc0e0a3…
05-03 17:35:04	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xee336d…
05-03 17:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xde5023…
05-03 17:25:50	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Legacy	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd0b58e…
05-03 15:42:10	Counter-Strike: Sharks vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x06bc6a…
05-03 05:51:36	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	FaZe	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x0c28cd…
05-03 05:50:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa60eca…
05-02 06:19:38	Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega	Rex Regum Qeon	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x88dc70…
05-02 06:19:22	Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega	T1	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xf35290…
05-02 06:17:30	Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Gentle Mates	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x0e00c7…
05-02 06:16:58	Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	Nongshim RedForce	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe06a17…
05-02 06:16:50	Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	EDward Gaming	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xaca513…
05-02 06:16:30	Shymkent 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Manoj Dhamne Manas	Antoine Ghibaudo	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x692fcc…
05-01 14:15:06	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects (BO5) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xec8f0b…
05-01 13:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc9c591…
05-01 13:51:52	Valorant: GIANTX vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega	Eternal Fire	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3e83c7…
05-01 13:51:36	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lavked (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs	fnatic	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xe21665…
05-01 13:51:22	Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs	Vici Gaming	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x8cd0ea…
05-01 13:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xea3353…
05-01 13:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x176a40…
04-30 17:41:56	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	FURIA	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x3a7c23…
04-29 03:42:40	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x7f02c5…
04-28 13:39:40	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x54acfd…
04-28 13:39:32	Hawks vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xe6dc54…
04-28 13:37:32	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs TDK (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc4a607…
04-28 13:34:38	Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs	Team Lynx	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa8a9fa…
04-26 02:04:34	LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	32	75¢	$24	0xcab86b…
04-26 02:04:24	LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x618009…
04-26 02:02:14	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	G2	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x39b895…
04-25 10:36:28	Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	SPARTA	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x33d244…
04-25 10:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x217637…
04-25 10:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x8048aa…
04-25 10:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x0bd79d…
04-25 10:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb2835c…
04-25 10:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x5077a9…
04-25 10:09:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xa6fc22…
04-25 10:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x3dd83b…
04-25 09:59:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x555802…
04-25 09:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb19d2f…
04-25 09:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0x8ed4e3…
04-25 09:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x4f3077…
04-25 09:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x2e35c8…
04-25 09:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	70¢	$12	0x469103…
04-25 09:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x3ac0aa…
04-25 09:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	41	71¢	$29	0x979fa7…
04-25 09:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xf68f86…
04-25 09:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x024db5…
04-25 08:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x52ce80…
04-25 08:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	36	66¢	$24	0xadcd6c…
04-25 08:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xb30190…
04-25 08:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xfe1eb4…
04-25 08:46:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x2544f4…
04-25 08:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x39694e…
04-25 07:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	79	12¢	$10	0x7a02cb…
04-25 07:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x100dfb…
04-25 07:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	71	10¢	$7	0x7994aa…
04-25 07:44:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x23ab7e…
04-25 07:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	73	49¢	$36	0xcf41c4…
04-25 07:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1,172	47¢	$546	0x13758e…
04-25 07:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	465	72¢	$335	0x76c734…
04-25 06:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	345	59¢	$202	0x44499c…
04-25 06:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	375	48¢	$180	0x321bb9…
04-25 06:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	105	51¢	$54	0x892139…
04-25 06:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	70	41¢	$29	0xd1313c…
04-25 06:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0xcb096c…
04-25 06:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x1ee2e5…
04-25 06:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	86	48¢	$41	0xb93bd1…
04-25 06:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	90	44¢	$40	0xc8f5c4…
04-25 06:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x159d0a…
04-25 06:05:00	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x05e62f…
04-25 06:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x0f376f…
04-25 05:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0x5e7990…
04-25 05:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0x35e395…
04-25 05:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x5bbc05…
04-25 05:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x5badd8…
04-25 05:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x658b8c…