Belated-Choker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.2%

Resolved

Trades

522

lifetime

Volume

$1.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 05-10 00:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 35% $-10

Other

22% — —

Politics

8% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$57	71	71	+0	open	—	02-15 00:01
bitcoin up or down march 9 9pm et	5	$46	43	43	+0	open	—	03-10 01:57
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	3	$30	131	31	+101	open	—	04-15 20:55
lal rea mad 2026 03 22 rea	5	$27	22	22	+0	open	—	03-22 21:54
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 7pm et	7	$26	28	28	+0	open	—	04-01 23:34
btc updown 15m 1771459200	7	$25	27	27	+0	open	—	02-19 00:15
lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	4	$23	18	18	+0	open	—	03-06 21:56
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 6pm et	6	$21	62	50	+12	open	—	04-09 22:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$20	18	18	+0	open	—	04-30 22:50
btc updown 15m 1774882800	5	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	03-30 15:08
sea pis mil 2026 02 13 mil	3	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	02-13 21:32
btc updown 15m 1774837800	3	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	03-30 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6PM ET	2	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	05-02 23:28
btc updown 15m 1775442600	2	$13	11	11	+1	open	—	04-06 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7PM ET	5	$13	11	11	+0	Up	+$7	05-07 00:13
btc updown 15m 1774795500	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	03-29 14:59
btc updown 15m 1775779200	3	$12	10	10	+1	open	—	04-10 00:14
btc updown 15m 1774566000	4	$12	13	8	+5	open	—	03-26 23:15
btc updown 15m 1774826100	2	$12	11	10	+0	open	—	03-29 23:27
ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 rma1	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	02-25 22:01
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	02-28 08:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	04-22 12:29
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 halftime result away	3	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	03-17 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	3	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 20:07
btc updown 15m 1770585300	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	02-08 21:28
lal rea rso 2026 02 14 rea	3	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	02-14 20:34
btc updown 15m 1775268000	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	04-04 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10PM ET	4	$10	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 03:00
bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 10pm et	5	$9	31	5	+26	open	—	04-07 02:36
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 rma1	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	03-11 22:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 00:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x4ae3af…
05-09 23:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x78eef0…
05-09 23:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xcf6cb6…
05-09 23:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x447d36…
05-08 12:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xbfd33f…
05-08 11:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfc286d…
05-08 11:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x27d973…
05-08 11:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb163e8…
05-07 20:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xd446c9…
05-07 20:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4bdf4c…
05-07 20:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9984f6…
05-07 20:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd38729…
05-07 20:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x942110…
05-07 20:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xdb7626…
05-07 19:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x665155…
05-07 19:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x59c911…
05-07 19:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xebc8e0…
05-07 12:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x011b0a…
05-07 03:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2bad26…
05-07 02:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc1b4cb…
05-07 02:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x0249cd…
05-07 02:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x8dc545…
05-07 00:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x275e44…
05-06 23:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x60f83b…
05-06 23:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x4bf025…
05-06 23:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x35106c…
05-06 23:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xca8136…
05-06 22:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe1a788…
05-06 13:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2cf3a2…
05-06 13:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xbccc1e…
05-06 00:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7f178a…
05-05 20:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xb1245d…
05-05 20:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7cecd1…
05-05 20:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb1c43e…
05-05 01:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xca0f6e…
05-05 01:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xafa0af…
05-04 21:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7fa7fd…
05-04 20:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x376c8f…
05-04 12:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0742e9…
05-04 12:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x5b297f…
05-02 23:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb975d9…
05-02 22:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x5a6b85…
05-02 12:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdf7d5e…
05-02 12:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x02c842…
05-02 12:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xae9ba0…
05-02 12:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xab9c35…
05-01 21:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x091cff…
05-01 21:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb3370f…
05-01 21:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x297961…
05-01 01:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6156c6…
05-01 01:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5486ed…
04-30 22:50:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3e45f2…
04-28 23:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0fab6b…
04-27 11:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x9e2cf3…
04-24 23:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xeeb5f3…
04-24 23:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x82cd05…
04-24 23:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x9cc01f…
04-22 12:29:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0xcd57a4…
04-20 23:33:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x33545b…
04-20 23:33:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xdc61c0…
04-20 22:17:56	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x05e3be…
04-20 22:05:24	btc updown 15m 1776722400	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x53e33c…
04-20 22:05:18	btc updown 15m 1776722400	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xf7178d…
04-18 12:46:50	bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2c737f…
04-18 01:44:22	bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xe23668…
04-15 23:24:22	bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x2a2ecd…
04-15 22:20:58	bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xb49e37…
04-15 20:55:14	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe9f70f…
04-15 20:49:26	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	SELL	31	72¢	$22	0x12147b…
04-15 18:29:06	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0x997bfd…
04-13 22:25:07	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x44d268…
04-13 00:34:27	bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x8f83ae…
04-13 00:34:21	btc updown 15m 1776040200	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xc99eb9…
04-12 21:27:53	btc updown 15m 1776028500	Down	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0x3810eb…
04-12 21:23:07	btc updown 15m 1776028500	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2bc73d…
04-12 21:17:01	btc updown 15m 1776028500	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xb39140…
04-12 12:07:09	btc updown 15m 1775995200	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xcdb4de…
04-12 12:06:27	btc updown 15m 1775995200	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0b10ab…
04-12 12:06:13	btc updown 15m 1775995200	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x93be4a…
04-12 11:53:23	bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xbf6389…
04-12 00:13:33	btc updown 15m 1775952000	Up	SELL	21	16¢	$3	0x902593…
04-12 00:03:43	btc updown 15m 1775952000	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x9cebaf…
04-11 22:38:51	bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2f1bcb…
04-11 22:38:33	bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x926c7e…
04-11 21:45:07	bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa79bf7…
04-11 21:42:55	bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x31ff64…
04-11 21:38:49	btc updown 15m 1775943000	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x596bca…
04-11 21:35:51	btc updown 15m 1775943000	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xc4c0fc…
04-11 14:24:13	btc updown 15m 1775916900	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x378c2a…
04-11 14:24:07	btc updown 15m 1775916900	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x52d8c7…
04-11 02:19:53	btc updown 15m 1775873700	Down	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x848692…
04-11 01:55:49	btc updown 15m 1775871900	Down	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0xd863bc…
04-11 01:55:41	btc updown 15m 1775871900	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7a5047…
04-10 00:14:25	btc updown 15m 1775779200	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x0f93d8…
04-10 00:13:01	btc updown 15m 1775779200	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbba832…
04-10 00:12:47	btc updown 15m 1775779200	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x337382…
04-09 23:32:05	bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xe5aad2…
04-09 23:31:55	bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xbeabe6…
04-09 23:04:13	btc updown 15m 1775775600	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xb3abb2…
04-09 22:53:45	bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbb0c5f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	132	$17.4K	2,819	05-07 20:25
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	122	$131.2K	13,575	04-13 00:25
Unacceptable-Art 0x2bac…f238	119	$4.11K	222	04-27 11:15
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	111	$75.9K	5,324	05-10 00:56
(anonymous) 0x9cc5…c565	108	$2.19K	701	04-13 00:42
(anonymous) 0x8c90…6e09	107	$12.7K	668	04-13 21:59
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	106	$3.49K	353	04-20 22:09
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	104	$13.9K	3,088	05-10 00:09