Outlandish-Quicksand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

227

Trades

1,040

lifetime

Volume

$1.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-12 13:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% $-37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 524 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	22	$67	57	57	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	18	$48	43	43	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	15	$43	36	36	+0	Down	$-0	05-10 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	11	$31	26	26	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	8	$29	22	22	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	8	$24	21	21	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	8	$24	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	9	$24	20	20	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	8	$22	21	21	+0	Down	$-2	05-09 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	6	$18	16	16	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	10	$17	15	15	+0	Down	$-2	05-12 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	14	$17	22	22	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	14	$16	14	14	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	14	$15	14	14	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	8	$15	17	17	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	5	$15	16	10	+6	Down	$-3	05-09 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	12	$14	13	12	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	9	$14	12	12	+0	Down	$-0	05-10 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	10	$14	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	4	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 15:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	10	$14	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	12	$13	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 09:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	10	$13	13	13	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$13	10	10	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	Down	$-1	05-09 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	10	$12	10	10	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	5	$12	10	10	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 14:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	10	$11	11	11	+0	Up	$-0	05-12 11:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 13:25:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xebcd98…
05-12 13:25:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x21f609…
05-12 13:13:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x9efaf3…
05-12 13:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xb3c805…
05-12 13:12:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xef7a57…
05-12 13:12:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0xcc9163…
05-12 13:12:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xfbf52f…
05-12 13:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcb4a63…
05-12 13:11:48	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xa712d3…
05-12 13:11:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x2a855d…
05-12 13:11:45	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x57a85c…
05-12 13:11:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x619cd1…
05-12 13:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xf5624c…
05-12 13:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0b2d68…
05-12 13:10:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xefa07d…
05-12 13:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x716f19…
05-12 13:10:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1fdab3…
05-12 13:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5d83e7…
05-12 13:07:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x6b1d3c…
05-12 13:07:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xc6890d…
05-12 13:07:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x012618…
05-12 13:06:52	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0xc9a053…
05-12 13:06:42	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x398c01…
05-12 13:06:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x0894c3…
05-12 13:06:17	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x0a795a…
05-12 13:06:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x27ba13…
05-12 13:06:09	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x3a4593…
05-12 13:05:58	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0xe54122…
05-12 13:05:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x797774…
05-12 13:05:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x6db266…
05-12 13:05:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xa47e4a…
05-12 13:05:34	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xaf9ca9…
05-12 13:05:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x04f64f…
05-12 13:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x67f72a…
05-12 13:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa4b4f0…
05-12 13:05:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xeff369…
05-12 13:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x9336ff…
05-12 13:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9a9fb4…
05-12 13:01:09	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x7a99af…
05-12 13:00:54	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9f2a6b…
05-12 13:00:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x9b1b2e…
05-12 13:00:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb93772…
05-12 13:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xc69919…
05-12 13:00:40	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xae6948…
05-12 13:00:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x30a6eb…
05-12 13:00:17	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbf92fb…
05-12 13:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xceb905…
05-12 13:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x4be22c…
05-12 12:57:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x522e22…
05-12 12:57:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x224fde…
05-12 12:57:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x254451…
05-12 12:57:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdfe2b6…
05-12 12:56:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xaea487…
05-12 12:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x8a7b70…
05-12 12:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x66ab16…
05-12 12:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xefc706…
05-12 12:55:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x98ce32…
05-12 12:55:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x8e7f36…
05-12 12:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x725e98…
05-12 12:55:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x1ab83e…
05-12 12:55:18	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x827ced…
05-12 12:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xe860a6…
05-12 12:55:11	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1a9a9e…
05-12 12:55:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5cc91b…
05-12 12:51:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xf3ebbd…
05-12 12:51:23	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xef6c9f…
05-12 12:51:11	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x26be83…
05-12 12:51:06	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xf2b50d…
05-12 12:50:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xa88142…
05-12 12:50:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x8bc920…
05-12 12:50:24	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x33c983…
05-12 12:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0xc6c88f…
05-12 12:48:09	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x7c30ae…
05-12 12:47:44	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x29a116…
05-12 12:47:37	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x18a68d…
05-12 12:47:29	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xc24318…
05-12 12:47:11	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x4462d2…
05-12 12:46:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xba8024…
05-12 12:45:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x945674…
05-12 12:45:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x61a880…
05-12 12:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x1a7739…
05-12 12:45:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe19ee4…
05-12 12:45:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x787610…
05-12 12:45:17	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x859059…
05-12 12:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2a77e9…
05-12 12:45:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5ea5b1…
05-12 12:37:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x0edad7…
05-12 12:36:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x7b7ae9…
05-12 12:36:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x7425cc…
05-12 12:35:45	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x1b77b5…
05-12 12:35:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x7c7338…
05-12 12:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x46167e…
05-12 12:35:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x112778…
05-12 12:35:19	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xe0f212…
05-12 12:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xeb007f…
05-12 12:35:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x87666c…
05-12 12:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xb54f5d…
05-12 12:30:28	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x274c9d…
05-12 12:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x5b7757…
05-12 12:30:20	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x7e4922…