Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Up won
Total volume
$136
$7,417 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
58¢
Latest NO mid
42¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-12 12:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-16.5¢
(top1%: 73% YES on $23
vs crowd: 89% YES on $118)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $22 | $4 | +$18 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $83 | $4 | +$79 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $17 | $6 | +$10 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $27 | — | +$27 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $2 | $3 | $2 |
| Median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 8 | $41 | $1 | +$40 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damaged-Bottle 0x294f…4ca9 | Up | +27 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 05-12 12:37 |
| Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55 | Up | +19 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-12 12:37 |
| Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55 | Down | +19 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 12:37 |
| Homely-Bed 0x410f…57fe | Up | +19 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-12 12:37 |
| Sick-Dusk 0x2a52…5e73 | Up | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 12:37 |
| Superficial-Civilization 0x1c7b…89ea | Up | +12 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-12 12:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Down | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 12:37 |
| Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 12:37 |
| Flamboyant-Plantation 0x1884…8f62 | Up | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 12:37 |
| Realistic-Otter-Evaluator 0xd9ee…dd10 | Up | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 12:32 |
| Elastic-Enemy 0x2a33…3eb3 | Down | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 12:37 |
| Wooden-Elixir 0xa9d4…8f3e | Down | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 12:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5be…fb4a | Up | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 12:37 |
| Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 12:37 |
| Grubby-Savage 0x4e96…f2de | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 13:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xe12f…01b3 | Up | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 12:37 |
| Jealous-Freedom 0x999e…f2f7 | Up | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 12:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x91e0…bb31 | Up | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 12:37 |
| Soulful-Future 0xe18e…5752 | Up | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 12:37 |
| Petty-Skeleton 0x9f4f…2d1c | Up | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 12:37 |
| Sick-Keeper-Spreadsheet 0x30c0…29f1 | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 12:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 12:37:56 | Damaged-Bottle 0x294f…4ca9 | Up | BUY | 12 | 81¢ | $10 | 0xe19ab6… |
| 05-12 12:37:56 | (anonymous) 0xe12f…01b3 | Up | BUY | 4 | 84¢ | $3 | 0xefd889… |
| 05-12 12:37:55 | (anonymous) 0x91e0…bb31 | Up | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x8b2453… |
| 05-12 12:37:53 | Superficial-Civilization 0x1c7b…89ea | Up | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x2f9e30… |
| 05-12 12:37:53 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xf1912e… |
| 05-12 12:37:53 | Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55 | Down | BUY | 19 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x8d29f4… |
| 05-12 12:37:53 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x340751… |
| 05-12 12:37:51 | Sick-Dusk 0x2a52…5e73 | Up | BUY | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0x880839… |
| 05-12 12:37:51 | Wooden-Elixir 0xa9d4…8f3e | Down | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xaafd9d… |
| 05-12 12:37:49 | Damaged-Bottle 0x294f…4ca9 | Up | BUY | 15 | 83¢ | $12 | 0x13f61a… |
| 05-12 12:37:48 | Noisy-Steak 0xf2b2…6921 | Up | SELL | 21 | 82¢ | $17 | 0x8c44bf… |
| 05-12 12:37:46 | Soulful-Future 0xe18e…5752 | Up | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x03c5ed… |
| 05-12 12:37:46 | Petty-Skeleton 0x9f4f…2d1c | Up | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0xbc736e… |
| 05-12 12:37:46 | Superficial-Civilization 0x1c7b…89ea | Up | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xe60b45… |
| 05-12 12:37:46 | Elastic-Enemy 0x2a33…3eb3 | Down | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x9a04e2… |
| 05-12 12:37:46 | Homely-Bed 0x410f…57fe | Up | BUY | 19 | 85¢ | $16 | 0x12b210… |
| 05-12 12:37:46 | Sick-Keeper-Spreadsheet 0x30c0…29f1 | Up | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x72fbaa… |
| 05-12 12:37:44 | (anonymous) 0xe5be…fb4a | Up | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xe0a7cd… |
| 05-12 12:37:44 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Down | BUY | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x132bea… |
| 05-12 12:37:44 | Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55 | Up | BUY | 19 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x644385… |
| 05-12 12:37:42 | Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08 | Down | SELL | 4 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xbeaf56… |
| 05-12 12:37:42 | Flamboyant-Plantation 0x1884…8f62 | Up | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x2389b6… |
| 05-12 12:37:41 | Self-Assured-Bacterium 0xc618…6e8f | Up | SELL | 0 | 77¢ | $0 | 0xc19cfd… |
| 05-12 12:37:41 | Jealous-Freedom 0x999e…f2f7 | Up | BUY | 4 | 80¢ | $3 | 0x044faf… |
| 05-12 12:32:55 | Realistic-Otter-Evaluator 0xd9ee…dd10 | Up | BUY | 8 | 49¢ | $4 | 0x50fd70… |
| 05-11 13:31:56 | Grubby-Savage 0x4e96…f2de | Down | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xe9f0cf… |