Accurate-Ambition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.92K

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

25,444

Trades

48,050

lifetime

Volume

$1.08M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$117

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 10-22 20:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 211 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 92% -$1,907

Other

43% 68% -$6,251

Sports

11% 51% +$238

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 985 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5	Over	+128	$59	34¢	$43	-$16	10-10 11:11
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	+128	$42	30¢	$38	-$3	10-10 11:31
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	No	+64	$40	56¢	$36	-$4	10-10 11:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Maldives win on 2026-09-24?	53	$3.0K	3,045	+3,045	No	+$43	09-24 10:07
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	2	$1.6K	3,100	+3,100	cancelled	-$60	04-29 11:53
Will China PR vs. Maldives end in a draw?	23	$1.0K	1,081	+1,081	No	+$36	09-24 09:50
Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-09-09?	30	$1.0K	1,088	+1,088	No	+$53	09-09 17:47
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-09-09?	20	$843	860	+860	No	+$16	09-09 18:35
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-09-18?	17	$753	768	+768	No	+$15	09-18 17:29
nba den phx 2026 03 24 spread away 5pt5	11	$634	1,280	+1,280	Suns	+$6	03-25 02:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 01:30 UTC	159	$596	790	+790	Down	+$139	01-22 01:44
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-09-23?	19	$587	736	+736	No	+$149	09-23 15:35
nba lac nop 2026 03 18	7	$547	1,120	+1,120	Pelicans	+$93	03-18 23:07
Juventus FC vs. NEC: O/U 0.5	9	$499	512	+512	Over	+$13	09-17 18:56
Exact Score: Al Hilal Saudi Club 3 - 2 Al Ahli Saudi Club?	13	$497	521	+521	No	+$24	09-01 17:56
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 0.5	8	$495	512	+512	Over	+$17	09-14 18:28
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-09-07?	8	$490	512	+512	Yes	-$490	09-07 17:55
Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF: O/U 5.5	9	$489	512	+512	Under	+$23	09-15 14:52
nhl mon ott 2026 03 11	11	$476	960	+960	Canadiens	+$4	03-11 21:58
lal osa gir 2026 03 21 total 2pt5	8	$475	960	+960	Under	+$5	03-21 17:02
nba bos cha 2026 03 29	15	$475	960	+960	Celtics	+$5	03-29 20:39
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 0 FK Bodø/Glimt?	11	$473	487	+487	No	+$14	09-10 18:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 21:15 UTC	272	$468	1,346	+1,346	Up	-$453	01-24 21:29
nba sac orl 2026 03 26	9	$461	800	+800	Magic	+$19	03-26 22:02
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 0 Ipswich Town FC?	8	$457	474	+474	No	+$17	08-30 15:17
nba gsw den 2026 03 29	5	$453	800	+800	Nuggets	+$27	03-30 00:12
nba lal ind 2026 03 25	5	$443	800	+800	Lakers	+$37	03-25 21:45
CA Osasuna vs. Getafe CF: O/U 5.5	7	$440	448	+448	Under	+$8	08-31 17:17
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 0.5	9	$439	576	+576	Over	+$9	09-12 07:29
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Feyenoord Rotterdam?	12	$435	452	+452	No	+$17	09-09 16:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 18:15 UTC	109	$425	545	+545	Up	+$120	01-22 18:26
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 21:00 UTC	112	$422	560	+560	Up	+$23	01-21 21:14
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Getafe CF?	10	$416	424	+424	No	+$8	10-10 15:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 20:33:41	CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: CR Flamengo O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x43ee7f…
10-22 19:42:17	CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xcb395c…
10-22 19:42:14	CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xcfb70e…
10-22 18:57:44	Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	29	37¢	$11	0xb182da…
10-22 18:56:38	Celtic FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x9f54e8…
10-22 18:56:21	Celtic FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x1cb64f…
10-22 18:55:39	Aarhus GF vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0x6200aa…
10-22 18:55:23	AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0x54364b…
10-22 18:55:09	Exact Score: AS Omónoia Leukosías 2 - 2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica?	No	BUY	64	96¢	$61	0xb81f88…
10-22 18:54:06	Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)	SC Braga	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0xe6ff63…
10-22 18:54:00	Celtic FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	49	42¢	$21	0x97d412…
10-22 18:53:56	Exact Score: SC Braga 2 - 2 KAA Gent?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xdb89d9…
10-22 18:53:51	Exact Score: AFC Ajax 3 - 4 Atalanta BC?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x9ad911…
10-22 18:53:48	Exact Score: AFC Ajax 4 - 3 Atalanta BC?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xf57bfb…
10-22 18:53:47	Exact Score: Aarhus GF 2 - 3 KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x056c20…
10-22 18:53:44	Exact Score: AFC Ajax 5 - 2 Atalanta BC?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xfa9b19…
10-22 18:53:35	Exact Score: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Olympique Lyonnais?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x194cfa…
10-22 18:53:32	Exact Score: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Olympique Lyonnais?	No	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0x7c2b6a…
10-22 18:52:57	Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	64	55¢	$35	0xab399e…
10-22 18:51:12	FC Thun vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9513b9…
10-22 18:51:11	FC Thun vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x963e0c…
10-22 18:51:11	Will FC Thun vs. HNK Hajduk Split end in a draw?	No	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x874330…
10-22 18:49:33	Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xe0dff0…
10-22 18:49:30	Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0xae1b4e…
10-22 18:49:30	Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. FC Twente: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	16	47¢	$8	0x5bb1b0…
10-22 18:48:32	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	64	23¢	$15	0x1c4b50…
10-22 18:46:59	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	64	28¢	$18	0x813599…
10-22 18:46:42	Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 2 - 3 AC Milan?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xc1fa77…
10-22 18:46:42	Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 2 - 3 AC Milan?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x6e45e6…
10-22 18:46:29	Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xca4530…
10-22 18:45:54	Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 3 - 2 AC Milan?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x59e049…
10-22 18:45:51	Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 3 - 2 AC Milan?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x61c6bc…
10-22 18:45:33	Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x83cd5c…
10-22 18:45:27	Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 3 - 2 AC Milan?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x967ae7…
10-22 18:45:26	Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x086668…
10-22 18:43:00	Exact Score: FC Thun 2 - 3 HNK Hajduk Split?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xe75156…
10-22 18:42:27	Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0xebfd1b…
10-22 18:42:24	Will SC Braga win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x45d596…
10-22 18:41:56	Exact Score: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 2 Olympique Lyonnais?	No	BUY	64	95¢	$61	0x3e9a6b…
10-22 18:41:48	AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	32	51¢	$16	0xa255f6…
10-22 18:40:15	CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Estudiantes de La Plata O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x99e1c3…
10-22 18:39:51	AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	64	57¢	$36	0x3be04f…
10-22 18:39:29	AFC Ajax vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x354bb5…
10-22 18:39:05	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	64	54¢	$35	0x9faa13…
10-22 18:34:51	AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	64	44¢	$28	0x812a20…
10-22 18:33:11	Exact Score: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Olympique Lyonnais?	No	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0x8c992b…
10-22 18:33:09	Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 1 - 3 AC Milan?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb97d41…
10-22 18:33:06	Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 1 - 3 AC Milan?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$56	0x34cd71…
10-22 18:31:14	Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)	AC Sparta Praha	BUY	64	59¢	$38	0x6716fa…
10-22 18:30:20	Exact Score: NK Celje 3 - 1 FC Red Bull Salzburg?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xc45ddf…
10-22 18:30:18	AFC Ajax vs. Atalanta BC: 1st Half O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x2378d2…
10-22 18:30:17	Exact Score: NK Celje 3 - 1 FC Red Bull Salzburg?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x46ee60…
10-22 18:30:15	Exact Score: SC Braga 3 - 1 KAA Gent?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x0ecf46…
10-22 18:28:44	Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)	AS Omónoia Leukosías	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x906e0f…
10-22 18:28:29	Celtic FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	64	36¢	$23	0xca1f59…
10-22 18:28:18	Lillestrøm SK vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	64	2¢	$2	0xf8ab49…
10-22 18:26:45	Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x0301e4…
10-22 18:22:05	Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5)	FC Red Bull Salzburg	BUY	64	38¢	$24	0x85c287…
10-22 18:19:03	AS Monaco FC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x325bd6…
10-22 18:19:02	AS Monaco FC vs. SC Freiburg: AS Monaco FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x250079…
10-22 18:19:00	AS Monaco FC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xe1b12e…
10-22 18:18:03	AS Monaco FC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x93ca0e…
10-22 18:18:02	AS Monaco FC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0xa3f9ad…
10-22 18:16:56	HNK Hajduk Split leading at halftime?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb1ab6b…
10-22 18:16:33	Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 3 - 2 AC Milan?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$13	0x98e131…
10-22 18:15:06	Spread: FK Borac Banja Luka (-1.5)	FK Borac Banja Luka	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xe9738c…
10-22 18:14:45	Exact Score: SC Braga 3 - 0 KAA Gent?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0xf079d4…
10-22 18:14:45	Exact Score: SC Braga 3 - 0 KAA Gent?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xcb01d8…
10-22 18:12:06	Will SC Braga win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	16	47¢	$8	0xbd98fb…
10-22 18:09:15	Will FC Thun win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4b996a…
10-22 18:08:21	Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 3 - 2 Crystal Palace FC?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x033b4b…
10-22 18:07:51	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xb3decc…
10-22 18:05:51	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0xbeb76f…
10-22 18:05:30	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x217df7…
10-22 18:05:29	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0xaa952f…
10-22 18:01:50	Exact Score: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 - 4 Olympique Lyonnais?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x7abfaa…
10-22 17:59:39	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)	AC Milan	BUY	64	69¢	$44	0x5088f0…
10-22 17:59:06	Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	64	61¢	$39	0xbf88e4…
10-22 17:57:59	Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. FC Twente: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x6f65f5…
10-22 17:57:47	Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. FC Twente: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	16	84¢	$13	0x74c118…
10-22 17:57:35	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x42e2c9…
10-22 17:57:35	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x2049ce…
10-22 17:57:24	Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. FC Twente: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0x2b9f4d…
10-22 17:56:57	Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. FC Twente: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x8d6e27…
10-22 17:56:44	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Olympique Lyonnais: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0x0171fb…
10-22 17:56:42	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Olympique Lyonnais: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x6da699…
10-22 17:56:35	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	64	29¢	$19	0x5ea073…
10-22 17:56:29	Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)	Olympique Lyonnais	BUY	64	68¢	$44	0x724183…
10-22 17:56:00	Will KAA Gent win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0x74b0b3…
10-22 17:55:29	Exact Score: FC Midtjylland 2 - 2 K. Sint-Truidense VV?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x8d85b5…
10-22 17:55:26	Exact Score: FC Midtjylland 2 - 2 K. Sint-Truidense VV?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xfb28d6…
10-22 17:55:17	Exact Score: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Olympique Lyonnais?	No	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0x07a51c…
10-22 17:55:15	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Olympique Lyonnais: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	32	39¢	$12	0xdc8780…
10-22 17:55:09	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xa3dbb1…
10-22 17:55:08	Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0x378146…
10-22 17:54:08	Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 1 - 2 Crystal Palace FC?	No	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x858771…
10-22 17:53:14	Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 1 - 2 Crystal Palace FC?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x96fddc…
10-22 17:52:00	Exact Score: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Olympique Lyonnais?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x02acc9…
10-22 17:51:57	Exact Score: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Olympique Lyonnais?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x2f5af2…
10-22 17:50:36	Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0x31c2c4…