Moral-Compress — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$174

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved

8,368

Trades

24,370

lifetime

Volume

$225.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 05-13 06:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 25% $-174

Other

13% — —

Sports

7% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 3374 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 78k on april 22	7	$1.2K	998	968	+30	open	—	04-22 15:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	1	$850	0	1,250	-1,250	open	—	05-04 10:19
nba mem uta 2026 04 10	2	$592	345	343	+2	open	—	04-11 02:23
wta muchova mertens 2026 04 16	5	$546	378	276	+102	open	—	04-16 12:24
atp fonseca zverev 2026 04 10	3	$539	344	341	+4	open	—	04-10 10:18
nba okc den 2026 04 10	2	$512	338	336	+2	open	—	04-11 02:14
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	2	$387	302	297	+5	open	—	04-22 13:06
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	2	$385	657	636	+21	open	—	04-10 02:20
nba lal gsw 2026 04 09	2	$374	231	229	+3	open	—	04-10 04:03
atp shapova marozsa 2026 04 16	3	$353	244	241	+4	open	—	04-16 15:33
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	2	$350	250	247	+3	open	—	04-23 00:35
wta yuan ribera 2026 04 08	2	$336	227	226	+1	open	—	04-09 10:36
nba min den 2026 04 20 spread home 6pt5	2	$320	210	207	+3	open	—	04-21 05:24
atp fomin bouzige 2026 04 15	6	$316	269	264	+4	open	—	04-16 06:19
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	3	$308	166	165	+1	open	—	04-21 15:01
btc updown 5m 1775622600	18	$279	221	159	+61	open	—	04-08 04:35
nba hou lal 2026 04 21 total 208pt5	5	$274	308	304	+3	open	—	04-22 05:15
btc updown 5m 1775724900	21	$265	252	279	-27	open	—	04-09 08:59
wta osuigwe kraus 2026 04 15	3	$265	166	164	+2	open	—	04-16 12:10
btc updown 5m 1776315000	2	$245	138	136	+2	open	—	04-16 04:53
atp holmgre broady 2026 04 17	5	$242	233	229	+3	open	—	04-18 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	3	$239	168	145	+23	open	—	04-28 06:46
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5	3	$237	168	149	+19	open	—	04-29 02:51
nba min den 2026 04 20 total 232pt5	4	$235	188	185	+3	open	—	04-21 05:24
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$228	189	189	+0	open	—	04-08 02:42
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	4	$226	130	129	+1	open	—	04-18 04:26
Rome: Nerman Fatic vs Chun-Hsin Tseng	3	$216	118	118	+1	open	—	04-21 13:44
wta osuigwe waltert 2026 04 06	2	$216	117	117	+0	open	—	04-07 14:53
atp cerundo machac 2026 04 07	2	$213	114	113	+0	open	—	04-08 14:39
atp royer schwaer 2026 04 17	3	$211	187	141	+46	open	—	04-17 15:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 06:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4d175b…
05-13 06:38:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x076f22…
05-13 06:38:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd4b9b0…
05-13 06:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xb26193…
05-13 06:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x0492ac…
05-13 06:34:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcde95f…
05-13 06:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xe78c8c…
05-13 06:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xed5a1e…
05-13 06:30:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	36¢	$7	0xe88be3…
05-13 06:30:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4335fc…
05-13 06:30:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x31ce80…
05-13 06:30:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0c6d91…
05-13 06:29:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x6c2381…
05-13 06:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x2dda20…
05-13 06:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xbf8a57…
05-13 06:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xa32b00…
05-13 06:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x982089…
05-13 06:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x722484…
05-13 06:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	75¢	$6	0x3c8903…
05-13 06:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x38535b…
05-13 06:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x1adec3…
05-13 06:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x8df39f…
05-13 06:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x2a5331…
05-13 06:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x20acab…
05-13 06:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x07b5ab…
05-13 06:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xb68907…
05-13 06:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xa557e5…
05-13 06:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x4cb8a9…
05-13 06:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x00affc…
05-13 06:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x65d419…
05-13 06:29:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xf42dbe…
05-13 06:29:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcc2c5e…
05-13 06:28:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe000a7…
05-13 06:28:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xde9064…
05-13 06:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x6d2724…
05-13 06:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4c3ecb…
05-13 06:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xdaa34c…
05-13 06:21:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x042f0b…
05-13 06:19:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xfcc56c…
05-13 06:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x97787e…
05-13 06:19:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x56665f…
05-13 06:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x0ebe92…
05-13 06:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd428bb…
05-13 06:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb8efe4…
05-13 06:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x3523a7…
05-13 06:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1c6513…
05-13 06:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x78500c…
05-13 06:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x3a8746…
05-13 06:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfd70d1…
05-13 06:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x73e85d…
05-13 06:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x72f275…
05-13 06:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x49bf74…
05-13 06:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x510f08…
05-13 06:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xc2db9a…
05-13 06:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x93a16d…
05-13 06:04:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc9567b…
05-13 06:04:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa26857…
05-13 06:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x46c326…
05-13 06:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x17c8b7…
05-13 05:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x6795cb…
05-13 05:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4c0ef9…
05-13 05:59:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9c7d19…
05-13 05:59:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x99a837…
05-13 05:59:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7dfbdc…
05-13 05:59:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa678ef…
05-13 05:54:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe0b771…
05-13 05:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x06bf2f…
05-13 05:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbf879c…
05-13 05:54:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x385955…
05-13 05:54:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x321fcc…
05-13 05:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1e201e…
05-13 05:49:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2c9250…
05-13 05:44:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb8dba2…
05-13 05:44:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x401e53…
05-13 05:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7db591…
05-13 05:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3fc4ce…
05-13 05:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe516b8…
05-13 05:39:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd7305f…
05-13 05:39:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x602fac…
05-13 05:39:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7101a9…
05-13 05:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x0d56bf…
05-13 05:34:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0xc62d45…
05-13 05:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x69d088…
05-13 05:34:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x572e9d…
05-13 05:34:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x44a635…
05-13 05:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x191447…
05-13 05:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x0b76ca…
05-13 05:29:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xfca0d6…
05-13 05:29:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4a5434…
05-13 05:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf03e66…
05-13 05:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5d68e0…
05-13 05:29:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x47b655…
05-13 05:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x33e5f3…
05-13 05:24:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x12322e…
05-13 05:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xee8b0c…
05-13 05:24:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x37ce95…
05-13 05:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4c501c…
05-13 05:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8bc692…
05-13 05:18:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbb648b…
05-13 05:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xef8651…