Giving-Ascend-Seabass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$551

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

2,989

Trades

6,495

lifetime

Volume

$23.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 10-23 16:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 77% -$510

Other

2% 0% -$41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 90 to 101 km/h in September?	14	$145	178	178	+0	Yes	-$21	09-17 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 10:00 UTC	11	$95	90	90	+0	Up	-$24	07-03 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 20:05 UTC	17	$91	132	0	+132	Up	-$4	07-02 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	16	$80	8,000	0	+8,000	Down	-$80	05-27 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	16	$74	80	0	+80	Down	+$6	06-02 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	18	$71	90	0	+90	Up	-$56	06-04 13:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 21:15 UTC	9	$70	64	64	+0	Up	+$19	07-01 21:17
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	19	$68	80	80	+0	open	—	10-19 03:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 11:55 UTC	10	$68	103	0	+103	Down	-$38	07-03 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	13	$61	65	0	+65	Up	+$4	06-02 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	13	$60	65	0	+65	Up	+$5	06-03 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 12:15 UTC	19	$60	65	65	+0	Up	-$3	06-05 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	13	$59	65	0	+65	Down	+$6	06-02 15:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 09:10 UTC	12	$57	64	64	+0	Up	$0	07-02 09:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	13	$55	65	0	+65	Down	+$10	06-03 16:49
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	4	$55	40	40	+0	open	—	09-16 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	11	$54	55	0	+55	Down	-$54	06-02 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	11	$54	55	0	+55	Down	+$1	06-02 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	11	$53	55	0	+55	Down	+$2	06-02 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	12	$52	60	0	+60	Up	+$8	06-03 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 08:20 UTC	14	$51	65	0	+65	Up	+$14	06-04 08:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 11:50 UTC	14	$51	63	43	+20	Down	-$9	06-05 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	10	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	06-02 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	10	$49	50	0	+50	Down	+$1	06-02 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	10	$49	50	0	+50	Up	+$1	06-02 16:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 21:00 UTC	24	$48	101	0	+101	Down	+$2	07-02 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	13	$47	52	0	+52	Up	-$47	06-03 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	12	$47	50	0	+50	Up	+$3	06-03 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	10	$47	50	0	+50	Up	+$3	06-02 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	11	$46	55	0	+55	Up	+$8	06-02 14:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 16:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x0d87db…
10-23 14:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf614fc…
10-23 14:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xe67304…
10-23 14:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa7a0b8…
10-23 13:31:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x3e8e1b…
10-23 13:30:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0xb1ad8b…
10-23 13:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8425c3…
10-23 13:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc67c56…
10-23 12:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x7fa06f…
10-23 12:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x78c429…
10-23 12:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x2aa919…
10-23 12:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x1afb1a…
10-23 12:25:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xfb2825…
10-23 12:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xfa3185…
10-23 11:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf8df75…
10-23 11:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x62a25a…
10-23 11:33:20	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x78c01b…
10-23 11:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xa7cce5…
10-23 09:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x81abb7…
10-23 09:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x65d21f…
10-23 09:00:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x4a9058…
10-23 08:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x818421…
10-23 04:59:41	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe8c5a7…
10-23 03:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x11d191…
10-23 02:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x622b66…
10-23 02:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xd4ff70…
10-23 01:45:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xfe1a43…
10-23 01:01:03	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x16d656…
10-23 00:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x347a9c…
10-22 22:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xf6d58c…
10-22 21:37:32	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x4d1016…
10-22 21:16:39	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0xc9c00a…
10-22 20:12:03	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x0688f5…
10-22 20:01:41	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x05e9e1…
10-22 18:28:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x632260…
10-22 18:05:59	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x1ed3bf…
10-22 17:25:18	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x3be681…
10-22 17:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x0d4441…
10-22 17:10:35	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xcff95e…
10-22 17:06:36	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x5908e0…
10-22 16:55:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x5ab727…
10-22 16:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x1efe6a…
10-22 16:50:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x69d465…
10-22 16:50:14	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x76b75e…
10-22 16:46:47	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0x9c9e3b…
10-22 16:46:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x766786…
10-22 13:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb053cd…
10-22 13:41:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xbf0835…
10-22 13:41:20	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x3449df…
10-22 13:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x400d3b…
10-22 13:36:29	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2db20f…
10-22 13:35:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1bf043…
10-22 13:31:57	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x30aff5…
10-22 13:30:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x268532…
10-22 13:17:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0x135822…
10-22 13:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0xc4b49c…
10-22 13:12:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xb2a371…
10-22 12:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x61be04…
10-22 10:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0f3b36…
10-22 10:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x058330…
10-22 09:12:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-22 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x3e3217…
10-22 09:12:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-22 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x4626d8…
10-22 08:36:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x4b836a…
10-22 08:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x226430…
10-22 08:07:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x57cfce…
10-22 07:15:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0xccd229…
10-22 03:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xad94d4…
10-22 01:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xad813c…
10-22 01:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x32af9a…
10-22 01:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x67b6cf…
10-22 01:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x19157f…
10-22 01:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x061c60…
10-22 01:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xf3c1bd…
10-22 00:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd94402…
10-21 23:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x257f81…
10-21 20:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x27b46c…
10-21 19:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x82b741…
10-21 19:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x331d55…
10-21 15:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xab48ff…
10-21 14:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x835f3c…
10-21 14:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2fa748…
10-21 14:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x57620d…
10-21 14:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0xe2c413…
10-21 14:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x13193e…
10-21 14:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x1efd4f…
10-21 13:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0xff2220…
10-21 13:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa675a0…
10-20 02:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2a7f72…
10-20 00:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x435c7b…
10-19 03:23:39	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x4d89d8…
09-28 16:05:39	Will Mobile Legends: Bang Bang Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?	No	SELL	40	37¢	$15	0x0c2476…
09-28 15:56:32	Will Mobile Legends: Bang Bang Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x47bd02…
09-28 14:57:00	Will it snow in Detroit, MI by November 30?	Yes	SELL	17	83¢	$14	0xf03e50…
09-28 14:56:57	Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 30?	Yes	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0x7adbcf…
09-19 00:05:30	Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x1659e9…
09-19 00:05:13	Will it snow in Detroit, MI by November 30?	Yes	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x75e6d6…
09-19 00:04:28	Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 30?	Yes	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xf3a49f…
09-18 18:32:24	Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xd244fe…
09-18 18:32:24	Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x04751c…
09-18 14:33:21	Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	43¢	$17	0x52f183…