Confused-Adaptation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$57

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.4%

Resolved

537

Trades

12,407

lifetime

Volume

$97.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 05-22 15:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 81% $-55

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-2

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 660 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 6pm et	13	$735	885	878	+7	open	—	03-26 22:13
Will the US strike Iran next?	35	$525	7,227	6,708	+519	open	—	03-01 21:05
bitcoin up or down on march 27 2026	9	$513	580	571	+9	open	—	03-26 20:37
bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 10pm et	14	$508	1,059	1,004	+55	open	—	04-03 02:35
bitcoin up or down april 3 9am et	15	$464	423	413	+10	open	—	04-03 13:28
btc updown 15m 1774166400	21	$424	358	358	+0	open	—	03-22 08:14
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 12am et	32	$362	822	818	+4	open	—	03-26 04:46
bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 7pm et	22	$345	922	870	+52	open	—	04-02 23:59
bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 6pm et	20	$331	516	491	+25	open	—	04-02 22:43
btc updown 5m 1774566900	11	$320	300	297	+3	open	—	03-26 23:18
bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 11pm et	14	$307	459	436	+23	open	—	04-03 03:45
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 11pm et	13	$298	438	434	+4	open	—	03-26 03:38
bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 9pm et	12	$297	371	357	+14	open	—	04-03 01:35
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 8pm et	12	$294	400	395	+5	open	—	03-27 00:22
bitcoin up or down april 3 8am et	19	$276	2,240	2,216	+24	open	—	04-03 12:58
btc updown 5m 1772840400	3	$265	250	148	+102	open	—	03-06 23:43
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 1am et	10	$262	400	397	+3	open	—	03-27 05:51
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 2pm et	16	$259	604	601	+3	open	—	03-26 18:40
bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 1pm et	14	$252	630	627	+3	open	—	03-26 17:49
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 9pm et	9	$252	290	286	+4	open	—	03-26 01:46
bitcoin up or down april 3 10am et	15	$238	613	233	+379	open	—	04-03 14:46
btc updown 5m 1774373100	5	$236	121	121	+0	open	—	03-24 17:30
btc updown 5m 1774161900	7	$234	195	195	+0	open	—	03-22 06:49
bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 6pm et	12	$229	250	244	+6	open	—	04-16 22:33
btc updown 5m 1774335900	4	$216	145	144	+1	open	—	03-24 07:07
bitcoin up or down april 3 2026 7pm et	8	$211	270	201	+69	open	—	04-03 23:50
btc updown 5m 1774374000	11	$207	114	114	+0	open	—	03-24 17:43
bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 5pm et	22	$206	942	163	+779	open	—	04-04 21:53
btc updown 5m 1774370100	15	$194	99	99	+0	open	—	03-24 16:39
btc updown 5m 1774330500	6	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	03-24 05:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 15:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xaf3547…
05-22 15:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x8363c5…
05-22 15:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xd09615…
05-22 14:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xc3f377…
05-22 14:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x05f05a…
05-22 14:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0x28a471…
05-22 14:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x708616…
05-22 14:13:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x04ad62…
05-22 14:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xdc5369…
05-22 14:09:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x8487ce…
05-22 14:06:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x91fcf6…
05-22 14:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x9abc70…
05-22 13:59:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x903295…
05-22 13:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x32c910…
05-21 21:58:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x9c568b…
05-21 21:58:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x927aec…
05-21 21:53:32	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xbc6c6b…
05-21 21:50:22	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xad045a…
05-21 21:49:13	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x4997ee…
05-21 21:48:56	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xc54901…
05-21 21:40:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x674dc8…
05-21 21:40:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x069dc1…
05-21 21:34:35	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x8a06e7…
05-21 20:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x04c499…
05-21 20:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x615f06…
05-21 20:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x2ba76e…
05-21 20:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3b0da1…
05-21 19:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x64e2ff…
05-21 19:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xec9321…
05-21 19:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xde6b05…
05-21 19:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xdd4fad…
05-21 19:15:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x8f5512…
05-21 19:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x5cb3d7…
05-21 19:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xc04764…
05-21 19:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xea183f…
05-21 19:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x602da3…
05-21 19:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x2ac3d2…
05-21 19:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x8b1bf3…
05-21 18:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x5633e1…
05-21 18:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd8a535…
05-21 18:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x656f83…
05-21 18:57:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf4f3db…
05-21 18:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xf3caf8…
05-21 18:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x516631…
05-21 18:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xe64878…
05-21 18:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xbb70ef…
05-21 18:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xd9663e…
05-21 18:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x08261b…
05-21 17:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8686b2…
05-21 17:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x3fd279…
05-21 17:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x324e92…
05-21 17:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x5262c6…
05-21 17:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0x426b11…
05-21 17:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x8b8e5e…
05-21 17:44:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x6e4af7…
05-21 17:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xe98efb…
05-21 17:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa74684…
05-21 17:42:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xd02401…
05-21 17:42:27	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xd2c635…
05-21 17:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x8fc9c5…
05-21 17:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x1957f9…
05-21 17:38:57	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x205bab…
05-21 17:38:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x004a53…
05-21 17:38:13	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9ea857…
05-21 17:33:05	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x6311c7…
05-21 17:32:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x4170c2…
05-21 17:32:02	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x79f22b…
05-21 17:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xb5a8bc…
05-21 17:28:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x475451…
05-21 17:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x65260e…
05-21 17:27:08	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x795942…
05-21 17:26:49	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x3e45a0…
05-21 17:23:38	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x3daf9a…
05-21 17:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xb6c1ff…
05-21 17:22:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xef293d…
05-21 17:22:38	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xaaa822…
05-21 17:18:47	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9ff51e…
05-21 17:18:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x24453b…
05-21 17:03:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x080dfd…
05-21 17:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x14b061…
05-21 17:03:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xf4df1f…
05-21 17:03:27	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x9051d3…
05-21 17:03:20	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x72d106…
05-21 16:47:58	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe184dc…
05-21 16:47:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x040859…
05-21 16:43:23	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x4b7509…
05-21 12:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xe31575…
05-21 12:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x8ed6b5…
05-18 23:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x7f5145…
05-18 23:12:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1b8d1e…
05-18 23:01:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xe8ef37…
05-18 22:58:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3e8528…
05-18 22:34:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x00f3d9…
05-18 22:33:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xdead46…
05-18 22:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xfb7913…
05-18 22:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xcf9013…
05-18 22:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xdb15f2…
05-18 22:11:38	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3ab411…
05-18 22:02:58	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x10071a…
05-18 21:54:32	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x81f4cd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	884	$484.7K	35,585	05-21 17:48
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	727	$261.8K	49,582	05-21 17:47
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	696	$14.0K	1,904	05-01 05:17
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	655	$219.6K	35,408	05-21 17:47
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	642	$36.9K	7,609	05-16 13:33
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	634	$241.5K	73,107	05-21 17:49
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	634	$111.1K	8,280	05-21 17:49
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	631	$20.5K	4,832	05-21 17:49