Discrete-Runner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

98.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$281

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$52

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 08-20 19:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Sports

33% 100% +$10

Other

31% 92% +$8

Politics

25% 100% +$4

Crypto

7% 75% -$3

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+41	$36	94¢	$38	+$2	08-20 19:25
kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No		+13	$4	100¢	$13	+$9	08-20 19:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$38	40	0	+40	No	+$2	06-05 09:01
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$36	41	0	+41	open	—	08-20 19:25
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$26	27	0	+27	Yes	+$1	05-23 11:06
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$22	26	0	+26	Yes	+$4	05-17 08:03
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	05-02 12:06
nba 2025 26 spg leader kawhi leonard	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	03-30 19:16
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	1	$18	20	0	+20	Yes	+$2	03-05 22:17
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$17	20	0	+20	Yes	+$3	04-16 21:34
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	04-16 19:51
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	2	$9	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	04-05 13:51
bitcoin above 70k on march 1	1	$7	8	0	+8	No	+$0	02-28 12:16
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	02-15 09:33
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	01-16 16:56
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-03 22:28
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	04-05 14:01
kanye west performs in russia by october 31	1	$4	13	0	+13	open	—	08-20 19:09
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	01-26 12:17
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	01-16 17:08
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	-$3	01-18 16:40
cs2 3dmax ast10 2026 02 15	1	$3	3	0	+3	Astralis	+$0	02-15 09:31
will bitcoin reach 90k february 2 8	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	02-03 22:37
will the us next strike iran on january 17 2026 et 219	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	01-16 16:54
fl1 psg lil 2026 01 16 psg	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	01-16 16:58
por spo cas 2026 01 16 spo	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	01-16 17:07
nba sas uta 2026 01 22	1	$3	4	0	+4	Spurs	+$1	01-22 23:08
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	01-16 17:02
mwoh can fra 2026 02 15	1	$2	2	0	+2	Canada	+$0	02-15 09:39
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	1	$1	1	0	+1	Seahawks	+$0	02-03 22:26
mwoh usa ger 2026 02 15	1	$1	1	0	+1	USA	+$0	02-15 09:34
nba bos dal 2026 02 03	1	$1	1	0	+1	Celtics	+$0	02-03 22:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 19:25:52	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	41	89¢	$36	0xb1e797…
08-20 19:09:12	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x72e684…
06-05 09:01:36	Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x4ca6b0…
05-23 11:06:18	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0x722071…
05-17 08:03:06	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	26	83¢	$22	0x6091e4…
05-02 12:06:54	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xe417d9…
04-16 21:34:36	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x53eeb3…
04-16 19:51:38	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xdb2d02…
04-05 14:01:07	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd68a74…
04-05 13:51:51	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x99bf51…
03-30 19:16:45	nba 2025 26 spg leader kawhi leonard	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x7e24cf…
03-05 22:17:55	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x4c9aa0…
02-28 12:16:37	bitcoin above 70k on march 1	No	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0x3d6ac7…
02-15 09:39:47	mwoh can fra 2026 02 15	Canada	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x80c972…
02-15 09:34:29	mwoh usa ger 2026 02 15	USA	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc5ec26…
02-15 09:33:03	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xff1bd7…
02-15 09:31:07	cs2 3dmax ast10 2026 02 15	Astralis	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x11c7b0…
02-03 22:39:36	nba bos dal 2026 02 03	Celtics	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x52881b…
02-03 22:37:16	will bitcoin reach 90k february 2 8	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x64a9bb…
02-03 22:28:08	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8a11e9…
02-03 22:26:16	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Seahawks	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb7de15…
01-26 12:17:37	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe12a22…
01-22 23:10:16	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x9d84ba…
01-22 23:08:08	nba sas uta 2026 01 22	Spurs	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xbe7d93…
01-18 16:40:40	will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xdcea32…
01-18 16:38:36	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa03961…
01-16 17:08:44	will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x3c5ee3…
01-16 17:07:14	por spo cas 2026 01 16 spo	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xf58a0c…
01-16 17:02:12	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xe293ee…
01-16 16:58:42	fl1 psg lil 2026 01 16 psg	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x750155…
01-16 16:56:02	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfa7a64…
01-16 16:54:14	will the us next strike iran on january 17 2026 et 219	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xdf56d2…