Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$69.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$559

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

445

Trades

3,940

lifetime

Volume

$419.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

$15.7K

17 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-20 18:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Politics

76% 42% -$68,221

Other

23% 36% +$1,829

Tech

1% 28% -$2,104

Crypto

0% 50% -$442

Sports

0% 26% -$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 192 trades/day

Open positions (17) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	+5,088	$4,325	84¢	$4.3K	-$25	10-09 20:55
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+4,877	$4,176	85¢	$4.2K	-$13	10-13 07:42
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+2,605	$2,199	92¢	$2.4K	+$211	10-16 05:07
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	+6,193	$1,858	26¢	$1.6K	-$217	10-11 18:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	+1,988	$1,375	72¢	$1.4K	+$46	10-12 14:30
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+3,688	$1,364	34¢	$1.2K	-$129	10-11 15:30
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+321	$250	86¢	$274	+$24	10-10 19:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+1,739	$221	6¢	$113	-$108	10-13 17:48
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	+854	$151	11¢	$96	-$55	10-17 07:06
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	+80	$62	85¢	$68	+$6	10-13 09:43
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	No	+3	-$20	79¢	$2	+$22	10-12 17:21
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	-10	-$1	1¢	$-0	+$1	07-29 07:41
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	+0	-$53	90¢	$0	+$53	07-04 15:01
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	+0	$11	82¢	$0	-$11	10-13 14:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	+0	$14	34¢	$0	-$14	10-13 08:34
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+0	$350	2¢	$0	-$350	10-13 16:17
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	Yes	+0	-$1	2¢	$0	+$1	10-08 19:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	4	$113.1K	58,345	58,345	-0	No	+$2,982	06-07 16:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	6	$82.0K	86,914	0	+86,914	Yes	-$82,044	06-12 20:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	16	$59.4K	33,983	33,983	+0	No	+$8,491	06-01 07:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	33	$12.0K	6,242	6,242	+0	No	+$289	05-26 10:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	14	$11.2K	11,778	11,778	+0	open	—	10-16 15:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	48	$9.2K	6,965	6,965	+0	Yes	+$226	10-12 06:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	16	$6.6K	5,581	5,581	+0	open	—	10-13 20:49
iran closes its airspace by june 8	8	$6.4K	6,177	6,177	+0	Yes	+$5,956	06-08 11:45
another fed rate hike in 2026	5	$5.8K	3,646	3,646	+0	open	—	10-14 12:31
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$5.2K	4,287	1,682	+2,605	open	—	10-16 05:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	85	$4.6K	5,858	5,594	+264	Yes	+$119	10-12 21:10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	3	$4.3K	5,088	0	+5,088	open	—	10-09 20:55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	22	$4.3K	4,597	4,597	+0	open	—	10-13 10:04
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$4.2K	4,877	0	+4,877	open	—	10-13 07:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	22	$3.7K	2,304	2,304	+0	No	+$102	05-24 04:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$3.6K	10,201	10,201	+0	open	—	10-12 17:07
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	16	$3.0K	5,381	0	+5,381	No	+$2,381	05-18 07:16
will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	11	$2.9K	4,449	4,449	+0	Yes	-$139	06-08 21:14
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918	3	$2.8K	2,125	2,125	+0	open	—	10-15 00:09
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-11?	2	$2.7K	2,686	2,686	+0	Yes	+$0	10-11 12:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	58	$2.5K	1,570	1,570	+0	open	—	10-16 06:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	27	$2.4K	1,798	1,798	+0	open	—	10-14 01:34
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	5	$2.4K	1,301	1,301	-0	open	—	10-09 23:51
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	57	$2.3K	2,568	2,568	+0	Yes	-$470	10-12 02:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	2	$2.3K	1,555	1,555	+0	open	—	10-05 07:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	16	$2.1K	2,344	2,344	+0	open	—	10-14 04:47
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	6	$2.1K	1,319	1,296	+24	No	+$83	05-17 14:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	5	$1.9K	1,116	1,115	+0	open	—	10-15 14:10
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	2	$1.9K	6,193	0	+6,193	open	—	10-11 18:39
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	9	$1.8K	5,261	5,261	+0	open	—	10-13 16:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 18:28:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,500	2¢	$31	0x4dba18…
10-20 10:29:15	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	3,684	2¢	$68	0xccf712…
10-18 21:41:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	300	3¢	$9	0x373b0d…
10-17 07:06:00	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	234	15¢	$35	0x7373aa…
10-16 18:53:32	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	23¢	$24	0x6bf078…
10-16 15:32:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	2,370	62¢	$1,469	0x0dba53…
10-16 15:32:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x4a03e9…
10-16 11:46:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	124	4¢	$5	0x1c337c…
10-16 06:47:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	151	75¢	$114	0x15f919…
10-16 05:07:19	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,682	89¢	$1,497	0xdaa555…
10-15 22:56:18	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	58	22¢	$13	0xe4d879…
10-15 22:54:09	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	258	22¢	$57	0xae7742…
10-15 22:51:49	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	38	22¢	$8	0x4e88ba…
10-15 21:12:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	26	62¢	$16	0x2f53c5…
10-15 14:10:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	SELL	1,066	89¢	$949	0x9058ea…
10-15 14:09:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x7b8022…
10-15 00:09:02	us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918	No	SELL	1,976	67¢	$1,333	0xb872f4…
10-15 00:08:11	us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918	No	SELL	149	69¢	$103	0x02e039…
10-14 12:36:27	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	SELL	639	85¢	$541	0xfcf997…
10-14 12:35:50	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	SELL	41	86¢	$35	0x49cb4c…
10-14 12:35:24	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0x1857ef…
10-14 12:35:02	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	SELL	366	83¢	$304	0x9ce50d…
10-14 12:31:11	another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes	SELL	1,832	85¢	$1,552	0x2d5f58…
10-14 12:30:15	another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes	SELL	1,813	83¢	$1,505	0xf4d2f8…
10-14 08:03:22	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	SELL	656	11¢	$72	0x635652…
10-14 04:47:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	1,734	46¢	$798	0x369a33…
10-14 04:46:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0x415899…
10-14 01:34:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	537	70¢	$376	0xa0cfb3…
10-13 23:37:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	42	80¢	$34	0x01201e…
10-13 23:14:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x989d5c…
10-13 23:13:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x41b515…
10-13 23:12:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x6a164c…
10-13 23:11:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0xb68adb…
10-13 23:10:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x67c408…
10-13 23:09:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0xb5f774…
10-13 23:08:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x68d5e4…
10-13 23:07:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x4d20da…
10-13 23:06:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x091e50…
10-13 23:05:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0xa3bcc9…
10-13 23:03:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x72474f…
10-13 23:02:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x6f9590…
10-13 23:01:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x7d2e95…
10-13 23:00:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x4b30e0…
10-13 22:59:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x59a36b…
10-13 22:58:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0xe956cd…
10-13 22:57:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x6fe426…
10-13 22:56:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x85c48d…
10-13 22:55:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x942906…
10-13 22:54:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x8ca8d4…
10-13 22:53:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0xd696c5…
10-13 22:52:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0xf580e7…
10-13 22:51:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x6b8a1b…
10-13 22:50:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x828347…
10-13 22:49:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	61	70¢	$43	0xefed53…
10-13 20:49:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,641	81¢	$1,329	0xc7d5b6…
10-13 20:23:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	16	46¢	$7	0xb31a7f…
10-13 20:22:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0x40448c…
10-13 20:09:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	29	46¢	$13	0x14f88e…
10-13 20:02:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xd4e127…
10-13 20:01:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x61ae74…
10-13 20:00:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xe21b9a…
10-13 19:59:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x805a3d…
10-13 19:52:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	38	46¢	$17	0xb96a3e…
10-13 19:50:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0x82299c…
10-13 19:50:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	22	47¢	$10	0x2207f5…
10-13 19:48:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0x7da41e…
10-13 19:48:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	225	47¢	$107	0x1351ee…
10-13 17:48:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,627	16¢	$260	0xf95fd4…
10-13 17:41:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	2,370	16¢	$379	0x4b804c…
10-13 16:17:16	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,809	14¢	$253	0x3f1051…
10-13 15:06:46	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	135	14¢	$19	0x24ee47…
10-13 14:49:56	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	SELL	495	56¢	$277	0x75992b…
10-13 14:31:22	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,557	14¢	$218	0x330794…
10-13 14:03:53	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,196	16¢	$189	0x8040e5…
10-13 12:56:37	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,759	14¢	$246	0xd02177…
10-13 10:04:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	1,290	73¢	$941	0xb88f33…
10-13 09:43:44	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	80	77¢	$62	0xb6c313…
10-13 09:34:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	208	74¢	$154	0x03dd2a…
10-13 08:37:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	291	74¢	$216	0x3e6787…
10-13 08:34:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	132	25¢	$33	0x20c69f…
10-13 07:42:31	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,150	86¢	$986	0x018b71…
10-13 07:23:26	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	470	86¢	$402	0x5794b4…
10-13 07:03:26	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,628	86¢	$1,394	0xf214c9…
10-13 07:00:17	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,629	86¢	$1,394	0x12b0ea…
10-13 04:46:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	16	85¢	$14	0x0291ef…
10-13 02:54:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xefc494…
10-13 02:53:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x2c5319…
10-13 02:51:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xd394b3…
10-13 02:50:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0x350995…
10-13 02:49:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	17	83¢	$14	0xa6a9ff…
10-13 02:46:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	23	83¢	$19	0x4a4463…
10-13 02:44:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0xbddd24…
10-13 02:43:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	40	83¢	$33	0xfac009…
10-13 02:42:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0xf01172…
10-13 02:41:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0xaeba37…
10-13 02:39:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0xcb8d3d…
10-13 02:38:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0x91ae29…
10-13 02:37:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0x284f77…
10-13 02:36:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0x291482…
10-13 02:35:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0xefda0a…