Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$267

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-10-21

last 10-28 16:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

73% 0% -$10

Other

27% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+21	$5	11¢	$2	-$3	10-22 21:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	+537	$4	0¢	$2	-$3	10-28 07:37
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+56	$5	2¢	$1	-$4	10-23 21:54
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	+21	$5	2¢	$0	-$5	10-27 08:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	6	$171	1,966	1,966	+0	open	—	10-27 07:31
France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?	2	$28	136	136	+0	open	—	10-27 06:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	6	$12	955	418	+537	open	—	10-28 07:37
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	2	$10	62	62	+0	Yes	-$10	10-25 20:57
Will Iran target an Arab country by November 15, 2026?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	10-27 06:20
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?	2	$9	13	13	+0	open	—	10-27 06:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	2	$6	62	0	+62	No	-$6	10-28 16:18
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	1	$5	21	0	+21	open	—	10-27 08:09
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	1	$5	56	0	+56	open	—	10-23 21:54
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	21	0	+21	open	—	10-22 21:13
Will UKMTO publish 8-11 notices between October 26-November 1?	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	10-27 06:18
Will Vance peak at Category 4?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	10-22 21:31
Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	1	$1	18	0	+18	open	—	10-24 08:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:18:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x56f9fc…
10-28 07:37:05	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	189	1¢	$2	0x74b856…
10-28 07:06:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	229	1¢	$2	0x7a2ce0…
10-27 08:09:12	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb363aa…
10-27 07:31:29	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	1,966	2¢	$41	0x282d19…
10-27 06:50:41	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	1,185	8¢	$100	0x90891b…
10-27 06:34:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	318	0¢	$1	0x9a9b0f…
10-27 06:34:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xa6b033…
10-27 06:21:26	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x4c7394…
10-27 06:20:44	Will Iran target an Arab country by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x7e7f0f…
10-27 06:19:54	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	99	6¢	$6	0xa881f3…
10-27 06:18:51	Will UKMTO publish 8-11 notices between October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x34f6a5…
10-27 06:18:35	Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?	Yes	SELL	13	35¢	$4	0x743e0b…
10-27 06:15:26	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	618	3¢	$18	0xa1b05f…
10-27 06:13:23	France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	136	13¢	$18	0x402a97…
10-26 19:17:38	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x18b9ee…
10-25 20:57:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	62	1¢	$0	0xbb5ef9…
10-24 08:55:29	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x09226e…
10-23 21:54:51	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xc31ffe…
10-23 21:51:39	France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	136	7¢	$10	0xe14bcb…
10-23 08:31:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xe0f83f…
10-22 21:33:27	Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1e6ad3…
10-22 21:31:24	Will Vance peak at Category 4?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf0c5b7…
10-22 21:23:38	Will UKMTO publish 8-11 notices between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x796cf5…
10-22 21:21:27	will iran target an arab country by november 15 2026 20261022	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb2036f…
10-22 21:13:12	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x7e6faa…
10-22 07:30:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7aca81…
10-21 20:45:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0x549a0f…
10-21 20:42:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x15f23b…