Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

38.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$303

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-10-18

last 10-28 03:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 33% -$31

Politics

32% 0% -$12

Other

3% 33% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+32	$12	42¢	$14	+$2	10-28 03:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	6	$28	623	623	+0	Yes	-$12	10-21 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	6	$26	18	18	+0	Up	+$4	10-18 12:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$26	57	25	+32	open	—	10-28 03:18
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$22	21	21	+0	open	—	10-18 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	8	$22	16	16	+0	Up	-$2	10-18 12:04
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	4	$19	37	37	+0	open	—	10-28 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	6	$16	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	10-18 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	5	$16	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	10-18 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	5	$12	16	8	+8	Down	-$6	10-18 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	6	$11	107	7	+100	Up	-$1	10-18 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$11	9	5	+4	Down	-$1	10-18 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$10	30	0	+30	Up	-$3	10-18 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	10-18 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	5	$9	2,006	6	+2,000	Down	-$3	10-18 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	4	$8	6	6	+0	Up	$0	10-18 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	4	$8	10	4	+6	Down	-$4	10-18 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$7	15	0	+15	Down	-$7	10-18 10:52
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	+$5	10-20 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	10-18 10:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 18?	1	$5	608	0	+608	No	-$5	10-18 15:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18?	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$5	10-18 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	10-18 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	10-18 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$2	50	0	+50	Down	-$2	10-18 10:38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$2	7	7	+0	open	—	10-20 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	$0	10-18 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$1	7	7	+0	Down	-$1	10-18 12:29
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$1	34	34	+0	No	-$1	10-18 18:01
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$1	333	0	+333	No	-$1	10-18 12:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:18:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x20b218…
10-28 03:17:46	Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x681ad4…
10-21 19:40:05	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	SELL	330	0¢	$2	0xc3653d…
10-20 20:05:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x8a60fa…
10-20 20:05:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x9db83a…
10-20 20:02:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	250	2¢	$6	0x0afd14…
10-20 16:01:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x04df57…
10-18 18:14:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6bdc3e…
10-18 18:14:02	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x591ce6…
10-18 18:01:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0xc3f60b…
10-18 15:17:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	608	1¢	$5	0x0de31e…
10-18 15:17:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x72800b…
10-18 12:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x6a4ca9…
10-18 12:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x422bd9…
10-18 12:33:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb4d562…
10-18 12:33:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xd99256…
10-18 12:31:18	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x4f49c5…
10-18 12:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xc37393…
10-18 12:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x11c238…
10-18 12:28:18	Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x11c3b2…
10-18 12:28:08	Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	No	SELL	31	14¢	$4	0x117e8c…
10-18 12:25:48	Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x16135a…
10-18 12:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf8fb27…
10-18 12:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xac160b…
10-18 12:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3c7175…
10-18 12:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x9c2c97…
10-18 12:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x014745…
10-18 12:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xeb6b3c…
10-18 12:15:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x844e2b…
10-18 12:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x16f767…
10-18 12:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x6dcbd1…
10-18 12:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb7c582…
10-18 12:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x61e79f…
10-18 12:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x28a12b…
10-18 12:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc4bca2…
10-18 12:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x97f569…
10-18 12:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x9a652e…
10-18 12:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0xcd91cf…
10-18 12:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x43332d…
10-18 12:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xee12ba…
10-18 12:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xc1c675…
10-18 12:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0c29c1…
10-18 12:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xb05944…
10-18 12:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xed1a4a…
10-18 12:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xf6c9e3…
10-18 12:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x22adcd…
10-18 12:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x0247c4…
10-18 12:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x6cd17a…
10-18 12:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x4a3a39…
10-18 11:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0e0616…
10-18 11:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x0ed539…
10-18 11:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x57da1a…
10-18 11:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x9ac3ba…
10-18 11:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2e23c0…
10-18 11:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x3553b6…
10-18 11:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xed6539…
10-18 11:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xd12fbc…
10-18 11:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0xd80814…
10-18 11:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x77fbbb…
10-18 11:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xcb5eec…
10-18 11:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x06fb79…
10-18 11:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xb9f329…
10-18 11:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xd8f394…
10-18 11:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x3b1b53…
10-18 11:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x36a975…
10-18 11:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$2	0x04d356…
10-18 11:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xfb66e4…
10-18 11:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9fc035…
10-18 11:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x84fca2…
10-18 11:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x073bcc…
10-18 11:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x2ab653…
10-18 11:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0d645c…
10-18 11:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xfa84b6…
10-18 11:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb9a926…
10-18 11:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xcaaf09…
10-18 11:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x302e8e…
10-18 11:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x59b143…
10-18 11:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x5c4c05…
10-18 11:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xb87686…
10-18 11:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xf65c0d…
10-18 11:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe904d9…
10-18 11:00:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	SELL	293	2¢	$6	0xb90c39…
10-18 10:57:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0x228ed3…
10-18 10:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3f5f22…
10-18 10:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6e14e5…
10-18 10:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4a3639…
10-18 10:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x6ba1bc…
10-18 10:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2132fb…
10-18 10:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xab3478…
10-18 10:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x8492ab…
10-18 10:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x0efec3…
10-18 10:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xb55d11…
10-18 10:24:17	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0xab7f22…
10-18 09:53:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x2811e1…
10-18 09:42:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	293	4¢	$12	0x3d8ba0…
10-18 09:36:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0xe7730e…