Mountainous-Disability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$567

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$57

1 position

First seen

2026-01-22

last 06-08 21:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 42% $-21

Politics

35% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		-85	$-64	67¢	$-57	+$7	06-04 14:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	2	$187	343	343	+0	open	—	06-08 21:21
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$74	39	39	+0	open	—	06-04 14:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$64	0	85	-85	open	—	06-04 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$37	32	32	+0	Down	+$25	05-11 08:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$29	37	0	+37	open	—	05-27 14:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$26	29	0	+29	open	—	05-25 15:41
bitcoin above 90k on january 22	1	$22	0	23	-23	open	—	01-22 15:40
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	2	$18	29	29	+0	open	—	01-24 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$16	55	0	+55	Up	$-16	05-11 08:31
will ethereum dip to 2800 in january 2026 835	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	01-24 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$11	36	0	+36	Down	$-11	05-11 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$10	42	0	+42	Up	$-10	05-11 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$10	32	0	+32	Up	+$2	05-12 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$6	111	0	+111	Down	$-6	05-11 08:04
gc hit 5000 high jan 2026 374 153 895 849	2	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	01-24 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-12 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-12 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	$-5	05-11 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Up	$-5	05-12 02:00
bitcoin above 88k on january 23	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	01-22 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-12 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-12 01:44
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$5	33	298	-265	open	—	01-24 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 21:21:12	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	343	27¢	$93	0x74fd8c…
06-05 04:16:01	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	343	28¢	$95	0xa5791f…
06-04 14:57:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	39	96¢	$37	0x53f431…
06-04 14:57:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	85	75¢	$64	0x0b3a0a…
06-01 13:52:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0x20c44c…
05-27 14:44:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	80¢	$29	0x3bf10a…
05-25 15:41:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$26	0x79c5cc…
05-12 02:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0d6f93…
05-12 02:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x2d9331…
05-12 01:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x91443c…
05-12 01:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9186b0…
05-12 01:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x71da81…
05-12 01:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf3f3d7…
05-12 01:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x592657…
05-11 08:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	55	29¢	$16	0xc5be1e…
05-11 08:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6adddf…
05-11 08:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x30830e…
05-11 08:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xae4494…
05-11 08:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x64af99…
05-11 08:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xbbddfc…
05-11 08:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x5baef1…
05-11 08:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x98159c…
05-11 08:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x760fe7…
05-11 08:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4f98f0…
05-11 08:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8be252…
01-24 14:59:56	will ethereum dip to 2800 in january 2026 835	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x0e7592…
01-24 14:58:54	will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	29	27¢	$8	0x2adf72…
01-24 14:58:38	gc hit 5000 high jan 2026 374 153 895 849	No	SELL	8	6¢	$1	0x051eb6…
01-24 14:58:10	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	Yes	SELL	298	1¢	$4	0x7cbeb1…
01-22 15:55:54	will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	29	36¢	$11	0xadcb8a…
01-22 15:49:18	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1b7ea7…
01-22 15:44:22	gc hit 5000 high jan 2026 374 153 895 849	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x938ff7…
01-22 15:43:42	bitcoin above 88k on january 23	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x2d8473…
01-22 15:40:16	bitcoin above 90k on january 22	No	SELL	23	93¢	$22	0xfea578…