Welcome-Buckle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$95

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.4%

Resolved

492

Trades

4,310

lifetime

Volume

$33.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 05-16 18:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 85% $-95

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 423 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	16	$159	450	0	+450	Down	$-9	05-13 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	19	$128	550	0	+550	Down	$-78	05-13 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	25	$113	112	112	+0	Down	+$29	05-13 14:04
btc updown 5m 1774361100	6	$107	160	0	+160	open	—	03-24 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	33	$95	90	55	+35	open	—	05-15 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	42	$90	186	0	+186	open	—	05-15 06:19
btc updown 5m 1774587600	6	$89	160	0	+160	open	—	03-27 05:00
btc updown 5m 1774368900	6	$86	160	0	+160	open	—	03-24 16:15
btc updown 5m 1774331700	11	$86	167	0	+167	open	—	03-24 05:59
btc updown 5m 1774375800	1	$82	160	0	+160	open	—	03-24 18:10
btc updown 5m 1774351800	1	$80	160	0	+160	open	—	03-24 11:30
btc updown 5m 1774386000	1	$78	160	0	+160	open	—	03-24 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	36	$75	165	0	+165	open	—	05-15 06:54
btc updown 5m 1774674300	1	$74	160	0	+160	open	—	03-28 05:09
btc updown 5m 1774453200	1	$64	120	0	+120	open	—	03-25 15:40
btc updown 5m 1774689900	1	$63	120	0	+120	open	—	03-28 09:25
btc updown 5m 1774648200	1	$62	160	0	+160	open	—	03-27 21:53
btc updown 5m 1774637400	1	$61	160	0	+160	open	—	03-27 18:53
btc updown 5m 1774476600	1	$52	120	0	+120	open	—	03-25 22:11
btc updown 5m 1774691700	3	$48	60	0	+60	open	—	03-28 09:58
btc updown 5m 1774452600	7	$46	80	0	+80	open	—	03-25 15:30
btc updown 5m 1777057200	5	$45	31	21	+10	open	—	04-24 19:04
btc updown 5m 1774671600	3	$44	80	0	+80	open	—	03-28 04:21
btc updown 5m 1774591800	3	$44	80	0	+80	open	—	03-27 06:10
btc updown 5m 1774331400	4	$44	84	0	+84	open	—	03-24 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	19	$43	70	10	+60	open	—	05-15 07:10
btc updown 5m 1774646100	1	$43	80	0	+80	open	—	03-27 21:15
btc updown 5m 1774779600	4	$43	60	0	+60	open	—	03-29 10:20
btc updown 5m 1774780500	1	$43	60	0	+60	open	—	03-29 10:35
btc updown 5m 1774418700	4	$42	80	0	+80	open	—	03-25 06:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 18:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x4cd10c…
05-16 18:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf34477…
05-16 18:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x5a3016…
05-16 18:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0xd172b6…
05-16 18:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x1e6ad0…
05-16 18:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xa914a9…
05-16 17:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0xd0660f…
05-16 17:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x3a1936…
05-16 17:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xd4cbc5…
05-16 17:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xe0be85…
05-16 15:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xd553e1…
05-16 15:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x559da7…
05-16 15:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x1de494…
05-16 15:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xfddf6a…
05-16 15:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe4ec5b…
05-16 13:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xe27faf…
05-16 13:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa3cd20…
05-16 13:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xf26e5b…
05-16 13:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x14be0c…
05-16 12:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x3f1902…
05-16 12:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x4488b9…
05-16 12:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xbe4167…
05-16 12:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x6e14ee…
05-16 11:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x11a2d4…
05-16 11:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x1d843d…
05-16 11:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe88267…
05-16 11:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x369e25…
05-16 11:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xc62e79…
05-16 11:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x081aef…
05-16 11:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x6aa94a…
05-16 10:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x5a311f…
05-16 10:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x60c695…
05-16 10:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x804765…
05-16 10:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xaa0d2a…
05-16 10:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x0c57ea…
05-16 08:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0x65a474…
05-16 08:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xc42869…
05-16 08:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x4f2bde…
05-16 04:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x973cea…
05-16 04:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7fa28d…
05-16 04:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x57f2b2…
05-16 04:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xf74d82…
05-16 04:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x9762a4…
05-16 03:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0xf60a2e…
05-16 03:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa8f8ea…
05-16 03:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x6b114f…
05-16 03:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xdadfd7…
05-16 03:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x3ae127…
05-16 01:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xad8af0…
05-16 01:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x64312e…
05-16 01:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x78c4f9…
05-16 01:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x78d65d…
05-16 01:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x1585f3…
05-16 00:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x0c7e13…
05-16 00:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x6b1701…
05-16 00:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa81bc0…
05-15 23:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xa2a9bb…
05-15 23:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x431dfc…
05-15 22:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0xe71025…
05-15 22:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x6e10d4…
05-15 22:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7056d2…
05-15 22:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x92383a…
05-15 21:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xfa0f1e…
05-15 21:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x6ba56e…
05-15 21:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x85a4bc…
05-15 21:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x601f47…
05-15 21:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0xc69b84…
05-15 21:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x720b47…
05-15 21:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x830096…
05-15 21:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xe60fb8…
05-15 20:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xa93dc8…
05-15 20:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xf4f3b3…
05-15 20:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xef7643…
05-15 20:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x4e531e…
05-15 19:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xdb2ea0…
05-15 19:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x4a375d…
05-15 19:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x366ca8…
05-15 19:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xcab041…
05-15 19:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xd00ae0…
05-15 19:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x0d5181…
05-15 15:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x9a4ae0…
05-15 15:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x7dd765…
05-15 15:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x725f78…
05-15 15:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x462e2a…
05-15 13:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x283eab…
05-15 13:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x3ea8f8…
05-15 13:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe2d61c…
05-15 13:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x724dad…
05-15 13:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe31a68…
05-15 12:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xb3aa4a…
05-15 12:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x065d49…
05-15 12:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x932dc1…
05-15 11:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x3c2275…
05-15 11:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xd1b6ee…
05-15 11:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x7a2161…
05-15 11:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf8b06c…
05-15 11:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x383156…
05-15 11:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x494aea…
05-15 11:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xc0da6f…
05-15 10:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x1951c1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	999	$289.3K	48,820	05-16 15:48
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	996	$353.8K	71,365	05-16 15:48
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	995	$274.1K	101,060	05-16 15:48
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	994	$391.0K	115,956	05-16 15:48
Altruistic-Trust 0xd9a0…dbca	984	$1.66K	4,170	05-16 15:48
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	967	$311.9K	14,508	05-16 15:51
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	958	$671.5K	42,593	05-16 15:47
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	954	$157.1K	17,558	05-16 15:49