Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$36,000

Trades

4,480

Unique wallets

1,065

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-05-16

First seen

2026-05-16

last 05-16 03:36

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

All-Peasant-Drug +2,060 Plump-Sauerkraut +1,829 Popular-Insurrection +705 (anon) +615 Kooky-Revolution +581 Little-Fraction +504 Ambitious-Membership +504 Hidden-Pocketbook +500

NO holders

Gargantuan-Obligation-Dancing +2,500 Plump-Sauerkraut +1,704 Orange-Forte +1,550 (anon) +1,440 Unequaled-Title +632 Sophisticated-Leptocephalus +518 Little-Fraction +504 Ambitious-Membership +504

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -4.6¢ (top1%: 14% YES on $18.0K vs crowd: 19% YES on $32.4K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	126	$3.1K	$16.5K	$13.4K
🐬 Dolphin	271	$1.2K	$5.5K	$4.3K
🐟 Fish	406	$1.2K	$3.3K	$2.1K
🦐 Shrimp	262	$692	$943	$251

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	166	$2.6K	$15.5K	$12.9K
🏆 Top 5%	124	$482	$1.9K	$1.4K
✅ Top 10%	58	$84	$260	$176
Median	56	$105	$302	$197
Below median	265	$467	$1.2K	$737
⚠️ Bottom 10%	180	$620	$1.6K	$970
🔻 Bottom 5%	143	$763	$2.9K	$2.2K
💀 Bottom 1%	73	$1.0K	$2.7K	$1.6K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Gargantuan-Obligation-Dancing 0xf3ce…8bc6	Down	+2,500	$2,475	$2,475	8	05-16 03:35
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	Up	+2,060	$376	$396	24	05-16 03:34
Plump-Sauerkraut 0xd950…5e86	Up	+1,829	$443	$443	155	05-16 03:34
Plump-Sauerkraut 0xd950…5e86	Down	+1,704	$1,334	$1,334	85	05-16 03:34
Orange-Forte 0xdeca…ddd5	Down	+1,550	$1,534	$1,534	19	05-16 03:36
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	Down	+1,440	$1,210	$1,210	40	05-16 03:34
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Up	+705	$83	$83	19	05-16 03:34
Unequaled-Title 0x28b9…531f	Down	+632	$620	$620	5	05-16 03:34
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	Up	+615	$158	$158	51	05-16 03:33
Kooky-Revolution 0xd455…71cc	Up	+581	$50	$50	1	05-16 03:32
Sophisticated-Leptocephalus 0x4605…b773	Down	+518	$411	$411	8	05-16 03:33
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	Up	+504	$139	$139	2	05-16 03:33
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	Down	+504	$324	$324	2	05-16 03:32
Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4	Up	+504	$65	$65	15	05-16 03:33
Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4	Down	+504	$438	$438	6	05-16 03:33
Hidden-Pocketbook 0x89c4…976e	Up	+500	$5	$5	1	05-16 03:35
Thoughtful-Greenhouse 0x9395…3a6c	Up	+500	$5	$5	1	05-16 03:35
Overjoyed-Dressing 0x32b8…fe67	Up	+500	$10	$10	5	05-16 03:34
Present-Treasury 0xc9e1…2929	Up	+500	$50	$50	11	05-16 03:34
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	Up	+497	$99	$99	61	05-16 03:34
(anonymous) 0x7969…9fec	Up	+490	$5	$5	1	05-16 03:36
Sophisticated-Leptocephalus 0x4605…b773	Up	+469	$137	$137	7	05-16 03:34
(anonymous) 0x3375…a69c	Down	+468	$441	$1,072	97	05-16 03:35
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	Down	+467	$364	$364	45	05-16 03:34
Scientific-Bargain 0x9de9…ee25	Up	+460	$42	$158	5	05-16 03:34
Perfect-Paperwork-Powder 0xc5aa…55d4	Up	+427	$6	$6	6	05-16 03:35
(anonymous) 0xe226…f76b	Up	+405	$4	$4	24	05-16 03:35
Legitimate-Threshold 0x01a4…8924	Down	+402	$348	$348	14	05-16 03:34
Early-Camera 0x05db…c718	Down	+400	$396	$396	6	05-16 03:35
(anonymous) 0x258d…a942	Up	+400	$200	$200	16	05-16 03:30
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	Up	+400	$134	$134	16	05-16 03:32
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	Down	+400	$328	$328	26	05-16 03:34
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	Down	+352	$256	$256	17	05-16 03:34
Optimal-Door 0xf6d2…86e7	Down	+343	$290	$290	32	05-16 03:34
Complicated-Compassion 0xcd08…ef3b	Up	+318	$49	$71	3	05-16 03:34
Watchful-Tapioca 0x041c…3056	Down	+308	$160	$160	3	05-16 03:32
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Down	+297	$242	$242	11	05-16 03:33
Clean-Talk 0x5070…2416	Up	+286	$20	$20	1	05-16 03:33
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	Up	+284	$45	$45	38	05-16 03:34
Actual-Soy 0xebc6…448e	Up	+279	$44	$44	3	05-16 03:33
Colorless-Camp 0x0748…92a1	Up	+273	$15	$15	6	05-16 03:35
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	Down	+262	$242	$242	12	05-16 03:32
Ill-Informed-Disengagement 0x671d…c1c6	Up	+261	$62	$62	3	05-16 03:33
Smooth-Carbon 0x9a5e…aeae	Down	+257	$203	$203	59	05-16 03:34
(anonymous) 0x25bf…ddfa	Down	+252	$194	$194	66	05-16 03:34
(anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8	Up	+251	$52	$52	55	05-16 03:34
(anonymous) 0x25bf…ddfa	Up	+250	$59	$59	62	05-16 03:34
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	Down	+240	$185	$185	12	05-16 03:32
(anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8	Down	+240	$187	$187	58	05-16 03:34
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	Up	+239	$50	$50	6	05-16 03:34
Smooth-Carbon 0x9a5e…aeae	Up	+235	$56	$56	47	05-16 03:34
Magnificent-Fanlight 0x4c81…8ea1	Down	+227	$172	$172	14	05-16 03:34
Pleasing-Beanie 0xc26c…d62f	Up	+216	$54	$57	4	05-16 03:34
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	Down	+213	$187	$187	11	05-16 03:33
Wooden-Fail 0x57de…20cb	Down	+209	$200	$200	2	05-16 03:34
(anonymous) 0xd9ca…f253	Down	+208	$173	$173	28	05-16 03:34
Vibrant-Alien 0xb3ad…7e0d	Down	+206	$196	$196	2	05-16 03:34
Venerated-Quill 0x7173…7a4c	Down	+202	$200	$200	1	05-16 03:35
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	Down	+200	$152	$152	10	05-16 03:32
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	Down	+200	$176	$176	4	05-16 03:33